Real about history, race, and reality.
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The Nonlinear Library allows you to easily listen to top EA and rationalist content on your podcast player. We use text-to-speech software to create an automatically updating repository of audio content from the EA Forum, Alignment Forum, LessWrong, and other EA blogs. To find out more, please visit us at nonlinear.org
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Hello and welcome to GARP’s Climate Risk Podcast series, where we will be investigating how climate change is impacting the world of business and finance and what this means for risk management. Through the course of this series we will be bringing you insights from those working at the cutting edge of climate change. We will be joined by regulators, business leaders and risk practitioners who will help us build up a holistic view of the risks and opportunities that climate change poses and ...
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A fictional docudrama about a supposed conspiracy to turn Sherlock Holmes from a historical figure to a fictional character over the last hundred years by person or persons unknown.
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Accelerating the Transition: Reflections of a Shareholder Activist
31:42
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Hear from Catherine Howarth OBE, CEO of ShareAction, as we dive into the world of shareholder activism and how it can be used to guide institutional investors towards sustainable behaviours. Moving away from fossil fuels is unambiguously the most crucial step in the transition to a sustainable net-zero world. And yet, governments and institutional …
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AI, ESG and 1.5 Degrees: UNEP FI Reports at the Frontier of Climate Risk
37:48
37:48
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Hear from David Carlin, Head of Risk at the UNEP Finance Initiative, as we dive into their latest reports covering the climate risk tool landscape, the use of AI in disclosures, and 1.5 degree warming scenarios. As the world’s leading authority on the environment, the United Nations Environment Programme (or UNEP), has a mission to inspire, inform,…
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The Psychology of Climate Change: How to Build Consensus through Communication
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Hear from George Marshall, Author of “Don’t Even Think About It: Why Our Brains Are Wired To Ignore Climate Change,” as we dive into the psychology of climate change. If you follow this podcast, you probably already have a good understanding of the nature of climate change, the risks it poses and why we need to act decisively and with urgency. But …
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Five Times Faster: Ways to Accelerate the Transition to Net-Zero
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Hear from Simon Sharpe, Director of Economics at the UNFCCC Climate Champions, as we explore three key problems that are impeding the transition to net-zero and how to address them. We know that reaching net zero emissions quickly enough to avoid the worst impacts of climate change will be very challenging. But are we making it even more difficult …
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The Inevitable Policy Response Forecast: Optimistic or Realistic?
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Hear from Dr. Jakob Thomae, Project Director for the Inevitable Policy Response, as we discuss their latest forecast and what it means for the transition to net-zero. Scenario analysis is the natural tool for anyone wanting to understand how climate-related risks might evolve over coming decades. The vast majority of climate scenarios, regardless o…
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EU Deforestation Directive: Overcoming Challenges in Supply Chain Transparency
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Hear from Thomas Vaassen, Co-Founder and CEO of Meridia, to learn how the EU Deforestation Directive is changing the nature of data required across supply chains. Supply chains are becoming an ever-greater focus for risk professionals. Firms increasingly want to measure the carbon footprint of their suppliers, or better understand their resilience,…
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The footage of the Vanished Detective
1:08:25
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Paul and Talon are joined by tea afficionado Heather Hinson who emphasizes the importance of letting Scotland Yard inspectors have their tea. Oh, and Watson has lost Sherlock Holmes, but we still have a double dose of Sergeant Wilkins, the unwritten hero of Sherlockian lore.By Baker Street Digressions
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What We Learned About Climate Risk in 2023
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Hear from Jo Paisley and Maxine Nelson of the GARP Risk Institute as they look back on key learnings from the latest season of the Climate Risk Podcast. As we head into 2024, Jo and Maxine look back at the past year of Climate Risk Podcasts, reviewing key learnings from our guests and discussing ongoing trends in climate risk management. From acade…
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The Realist Report – Tim Kelly on the State of the World
1:22:20
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On this edition of The Realist Report, we’re joined once again by Tim Kelly, host of Our Interesting Times as well as Powers & Principalities, one of the best podcasts in the alternative media. Tim is back to discuss the state of the world as we wrap up 2023. Wars continue to rage in Ukraine and Palestine, with the full support and blessing of the …
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The AFP Report – Don Jeffries on Lawfare, Trump, GOP
1:04:41
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On this edition of The AFP Report, we’re joined by Don Jeffries, an independent historian, author, and radio host who is also a regular contributor to American Free Press. Don maintains his own Substack page as well. Don is back to discuss the latest issue of the newspaper, the final issue of 2023. We begin by focusing on the recent 4-3 decision ha…
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TBR History Hour – Bishop Richard Williamson
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On this edition of TBR History Hour, we’re joined by Bishop Richard Williamson. Bishop Williamson and I begin by discussing his background, education, and experience serving the Catholic Church. We then move on to address the modern Catholic Church, the Vatican II Council, and the Jewish “converts” to Catholicism that spearheaded many of the more s…
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TBR History Hour – Taylor Young from Antelope Hill Publishing
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On this edition of TBR History Hour, we’re joined by Taylor Young of Antelope Hill Publishing. Taylor joins me to discuss some recent titles published by the dissident publishing house, including The Sword of Christ by Giles Corey, a powerful and eloquent defense of the important role Christianity has historically played in Western civilization. We…
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The Power and Pitfalls of Models in Climate Risk Management
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Hear from Dr. Erica Thompson, as we examine the modelling ecosystem and when we need to escape it to make real-world decisions. Climate science – like many areas of our lives, such as economics or public health – is based upon models. These models are often used to justify certain courses of action, such as investments in climate mitigation or adap…
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The AFP Report – James Edwards: America or Israel First?
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On this edition of The AFP Report, we’re joined by James Edwards, host of The Political Cesspool radio program and one of the most insightful political commentators in the alternative media. James is also a contributor to American Free Press – America’s last real newspaper. James is back to discuss the latest issue of the newspaper, including the f…
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Bridging the Gap between Climate Science and Risk Management
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Hear from David Schimel and Pooja Khosla of Entelligent, as we explore the intersection of climate science and risk management. For over 30 years, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, has reported on the future physical impacts of climate change, based on the best available science. But these predictions have tended to underplay …
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Paul and Talon look into Watson's documentary footage of a Victorian serial killer apparently suppressed by official histories, and Inspector Lestrade's first foray into filming.By Baker Street Digressions
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TBR History Hour – Dr. Jim Fetzer on JFK Assassination
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On this edition of TBR History Hour, we’re joined by Dr. Jim Fetzer, a leading researcher into the JFK assassination, among other controversial topics. Dr. Fetzer joins me to discuss the November/December 2023 issue of The Barnes Review, which features a number of articles dealing with various aspects of the JFK assassination, including a piece by …
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The AFP Report – Dr. Kevin Barrett on Mideast Conflict
1:07:14
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On this edition of The AFP Report, we’re joined once again by Dr. Kevin Barrett, a leading voice in the alternative media and a regular columnist for American Free Press. Dr. Barrett and I discuss some of the recently published articles in the latest edition of American Free Press – America’s last real newspaper – including his provocative piece ex…
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TNFD and Beyond: An Introduction to Nature in Finance
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Hear from Simon Zadek, Executive Director at NatureFinance and Senior Advisor to the TNFD, as we explore the growing intersection of nature and finance. With the recent release of the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures Framework (TNFD), the idea of nature risk is now in the spotlight for many finance professionals. Even though some m…
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The AFP Report – Simon Roche of The Suidlanders
1:03:02
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On this edition of The AFP Report, we’re joined by Simon Roche, a leading spokesman for The Suidlanders organization, which describes itself as “a Bible believing Christian conservative group” whose members are dedicated to “personally preparing for an emergency situation like major civil unrest.” Roche is wrapping up a speaking tour in the U.S., w…
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The Realist Report – Monika Schaefer & Kathleen Dudley
1:13:13
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On this edition of The Realist Report, we’re joined by Monika Schaefer and Kathleen Dudley, two of the most courageous truth-tellers in the alternative media. Monika is the President of the Truth and Justice for Germans Society and Kathleen is a holistic health practitioner, an activist, and independent investigator who has been involved in legal d…
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On this edition of The AFP Report, we’re joined by Cat McGuire, who describes herself on her Substack page as “a grassroots truth and freedom activist in opposition to the globalist agenda.” Cat joins us to talk about her background and experience in the alternative media, her involvement in anti-war and medical freedom activism, her views about th…
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The COP28 Survival Guide: How it Works and What to Expect
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Hear from Nigel Topping, Former UN Climate Change High-Level Champion for COP26, as we set the scene for COP28 in Dubai. The COP, or Conference of Parties, is the annual convention of the signatories of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). This is where all the high-level decision-making around the global transition t…
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Dealing with Uncertainty in Scenario Analysis: Stochastic vs. Deterministic Approaches
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Hear from Ron Dembo, Founder and CEO of riskthinking.ai, as we apply stochastic thinking to the challenge of climate scenario analysis. One of the most difficult aspects of managing climate risk is its inherent uncertainty. Because we can’t know with absolute confidence what our future climate, economy or society will look like, we therefore can’t …
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License to Drill: What New Oil & Gas Extraction Means for the Energy Transition
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Hear from Jane Stevensen of JS Global Advisory, as we examine the overall progress of the global energy transition. We always knew that the transition to net-zero wasn’t going to be smooth. Political realities must be considered, especially during a period of increased concern over energy security. A good recent example of political backsliding is …
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AF - What I would do if I wasn't at ARC Evals by Lawrence Chan
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: What I would do if I wasn't at ARC Evals, published by Lawrence Chan on September 5, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.In which: I list 9 projects that I would work on …
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AF - OpenAI base models are not sycophantic, at any size by nostalgebraist
2:09
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: OpenAI base models are not sycophantic, at any size, published by nostalgebraist on August 29, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.In Discovering Language Model Behaviors…
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AF - Red-teaming language models via activation engineering by Nina Rimsky
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Red-teaming language models via activation engineering, published by Nina Rimsky on August 26, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.Produced as part of the SERI ML Alignme…
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AF - A Proof of Löb's Theorem using Computability Theory by Jessica Taylor
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: A Proof of Löb's Theorem using Computability Theory, published by Jessica Taylor on August 16, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.Löb's Theorem states that, if PA⊢□PA(P)…
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Special Report: The Chimp Who Looked Like Sherlock Holmes
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Paul and Talon jump online for breaking news about a new cover-up in the history of the great detective Sherlock Holmes, this time involving comics.By Baker Street Digressions
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AF - ARC Evals new report: Evaluating Language-Model Agents on Realistic Autonomous Tasks by Beth Barnes
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: ARC Evals new report: Evaluating Language-Model Agents on Realistic Autonomous Tasks, published by Beth Barnes on August 1, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.Blogpost v…
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Climate Risk Taxonomies 101: A User Guide
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Hear from Bob Buhr of the Imperial College Business School, as we explore ways of organizing the risks from climate change. A risk taxonomy is a key underpinning of enterprise risk management. Used by firms to create a common risk language, it underpins a range of activities, such as risk identification, risk appetite setting and risk horizon scann…
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AF - How LLMs are and are not myopic by janus
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: How LLMs are and are not myopic, published by janus on July 25, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.Thanks to janus, Nicholas Kees Dupuis, and Robert Kralisch for reviewi…
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AF - Alignment Grantmaking is Funding-Limited Right Now by johnswentworth
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Alignment Grantmaking is Funding-Limited Right Now, published by johnswentworth on July 19, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.For the past few years, I've generally mos…
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Why Extreme Climate Physical Risks Are Closer Than You Might Think
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Hear from Rohan Hamden, Co-Founder and CEO of XDI, as we examine how climate-related impacts are exceeding our models and why the need for adaptation has never been greater. Despite our best efforts to measure and model the physical risks from climate change, the impacts continue to outpace our expectations. Consequently, we are left dangerously un…
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AF - When do "brains beat brawn" in Chess? An experiment by titotal
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: When do "brains beat brawn" in Chess? An experiment, published by titotal on June 28, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.As a kid, I really enjoyed chess, as did my dad.…
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AF - The Hubinger lectures on AGI safety: an introductory lecture series by Evan Hubinger
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The Hubinger lectures on AGI safety: an introductory lecture series, published by Evan Hubinger on June 22, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.In early 2023, I (Evan Hub…
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The Future of the Carbon Markets Explained for Risk Professionals
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Hear from Mike Azlen, Founder and CEO of Carbon Cap Management, as we explore the ever-changing carbon markets and the future of emissions trading. The carbon markets can be very confusing. Between offsets, credits, permits, and allowances, it can be hard to understand the many ways emissions can be traded, as well as the different mechanisms for p…
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AF - TASRA: A Taxonomy and Analysis of Societal-Scale Risks from AI by Andrew Critch
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: TASRA: A Taxonomy and Analysis of Societal-Scale Risks from AI, published by Andrew Critch on June 13, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.Partly in response to calls for…
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AF - Statement on AI Extinction - Signed by AGI Labs, Top Academics, and Many Other Notable Figures by Dan H
1:14
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Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Statement on AI Extinction - Signed by AGI Labs, Top Academics, and Many Other Notable Figures, published by Dan H on May 30, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.Today, t…
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