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October Surprises and the 2020 Election

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Manage episode 271517843 series 2610829
Content provided by University of Chicago Podcast Network. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by University of Chicago Podcast Network or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

We’re heading into the homestretch of the 2020 election and, as October draws near, we want to take a research focused look at the famed “October Surprise.” It’s a political notion that says, if you want to damage a presidential candidate with a political bombshell you’ve discovered, you should wait until just before the election to release the accusations. But why should candidates wait? What do October Surprises reveal about the politics of scandal? And what can voters can infer from them?

A paper by Gabriele Gratton, a professor at The University of New South Wales in Australia, gives counter intuitive insights into when you should drop a bombshell if you want to cause the maximum amount of damage to your political opponent. We discuss how this research could change the way we view “October surprises” and the 2020 election.

Link to paper: http://www.restud.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/MS23024manuscript.pdf

  continue reading

109 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 271517843 series 2610829
Content provided by University of Chicago Podcast Network. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by University of Chicago Podcast Network or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

We’re heading into the homestretch of the 2020 election and, as October draws near, we want to take a research focused look at the famed “October Surprise.” It’s a political notion that says, if you want to damage a presidential candidate with a political bombshell you’ve discovered, you should wait until just before the election to release the accusations. But why should candidates wait? What do October Surprises reveal about the politics of scandal? And what can voters can infer from them?

A paper by Gabriele Gratton, a professor at The University of New South Wales in Australia, gives counter intuitive insights into when you should drop a bombshell if you want to cause the maximum amount of damage to your political opponent. We discuss how this research could change the way we view “October surprises” and the 2020 election.

Link to paper: http://www.restud.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/MS23024manuscript.pdf

  continue reading

109 episodes

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