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Excess Returns

Excess Returns

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Excess Returns is dedicated to making you a better long-term investor and making complex investing topics understandable. Join Jack Forehand, Justin Carbonneau and Matt Zeigler as they sit down with some of the most interesting names in finance to discuss topics like macroeconomics, value investing, factor investing, and more. Subscribe to learn along with us.
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Two Quants and a Financial Planner bridges the worlds of investing and financial planning to help investors achieve their long-term goals. Join Matt Zeigler, Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau as they cover a wide range of investing and financial planning topics that impact all of us and discuss how we can apply them in the real world to achieve the best outcomes in our financial lives.
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The Acquirers Podcast

Tobias Carlisle

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This is a podcast about finding undervalued stocks, deep value investing, hedge funds, shareholder activism, buyouts, and special situations. We uncover the tactics and strategies for finding good investments, managing risk, dealing with bad luck, and maximizing success.
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The Good Listening To Show: Stories of Distinction & Genius

Chris Grimes - Facilitator. Coach. Motivational Comedian

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Telling the Stories of Humanity, one story at a time with a unique and thoroughly enjoyable Storytelling structure, that's been likened to having a 'Day Spa' for your Brain in an Oasis of Kindness! With the founding premise of the Show being: "Everybody has an interesting story to tell, provided that you give them the courtesy of a damned good listening to!" If you tell your Story 'out loud' then you're much more likely to LIVE it out loud" and that's what this Show is for: To help you to te ...
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In this podcast, Tony Greer and Jared Dillian are joined by Matthew Zeigler of Sunpoint Investments for a high-energy mix of markets, music, and macro. They unpack Trump’s latest stimulus and crypto comments, the 50-year mortgage debate, gold and Bitcoin’s rally, and what’s next for small caps, AI, and global markets heading into 2026. Early Birds …
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James Grant, legendary founder of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, joins us for a wide-ranging conversation on cycles, interest rates, inflation, credit, the Federal Reserve, private markets, gold, and the future of investing. Grant brings five decades of historical perspective to today’s market extremes, explaining why this era of ultra-low interes…
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In this podcast, Tony Greer and Jared Dillian break down the Kevin Hassett Fed pivot, the sharp reversal in bond yields, and the surge in silver as metals regain leadership. They get into the latest moves in Bitcoin, strength in energy and industrials, and why the current sector rotation is catching too many traders offside. They also unravel Jared…
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Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle, and Jake Taylor. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Soldier of Fortune: Warren Buffett, Sun Tzu and the Ancient Art of Risk-Taking⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Kindle⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) We are live every Tuesday at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P. See our latest episodes at…
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In this episode, we’re joined again by Jim Paulsen to break down the key themes shaping markets and the economy heading into 2026. Jim explains why policymakers may be fighting the wrong battle, why real sustainable growth has quietly collapsed over the past 20 years, and how shifts in policy, demographics, productivity, inflation, and investor psy…
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Send us a text Hungry buyers don’t need convincing; they need finding. That’s the heart of our conversation with strategist and storyteller Erica Mackay from the Marketing Detective Agency, where “Giraffes Don’t Eat Steak” isn’t just a catchy title—it’s a sharp reminder that not every audience is your audience. We swap spray-and-pray tactics for re…
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In this special episode of Excess Returns, we share the most important investing lessons from more than 50 of our top guests. After asking more than 200 investors, strategists, academics, and market thinkers the same closing question about the one lesson they would teach the average investor, we compiled the most powerful, timeless, and repeatable …
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In this episode of Excess Returns, Matt sits down with Ben Hunt to break down his new Epsilon Theory essay, World War AI. They explore how the US government, markets, and Big Tech are rapidly shifting the AI narrative from productivity and progress toward a national security arms race with massive implications for energy, capital, jobs, inflation, …
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Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle, and Jake Taylor. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Soldier of Fortune: Warren Buffett, Sun Tzu and the Ancient Art of Risk-Taking⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Kindle⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) We are live every Tuesday at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P. See our latest episodes at htt…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Louis-Vincent Gave of Gavekal Research for one of the most wide-ranging and eye-opening conversations we have ever hosted. Louis breaks down how China transformed its economy over the last seven years, why Western observers consistently misunderstand the country’s growth model, and what this means…
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In this podcast, Tony Greer and Jared Dillian break down the Thanksgiving-week market bounce, with the S&P and Nasdaq snapping back from drawdowns, miners leading, semiconductors stabilizing, Bitcoin rebounding off the $ 82,000 buy zone, and gold and silver pressing toward breakout levels. EARLY BIRD pricing ends Dec 01, 2025. - ⁠⁠https://tgmacro.c…
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Send us a text A quiet letter. A packed car on the way back from university. A house that suddenly feels bigger than your life. These moments whisper the same question: who are you now? Coach and founder Mary Van Eker joins us to share the story behind her new signature 'The Me I Forgot' Programme, a 4 week programme designed for women 45+ who want…
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In this episode, we sit down with Sanctuary Wealth Chief Investment Strategist Mary Ann Bartels to break down her new 2026 outlook. We cover her long-term S&P 500 forecast, why she believes we are still early in a secular bull market, how technological innovation is fueling productivity and profitability, the risks she’s watching in 2026, and the c…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we talk with Carl Kaufman, Co-President and Co-CIO of Osterweis Capital Management, about navigating today’s fixed income landscape. Carl breaks down the major segments of the bond market, explains how credit and interest rate cycles interact, discusses private credit risks, and shares how he builds durable, low-v…
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In this podcast, Tony and Jared sit down with Bob Coleman, founder of Idaho Armored Vaults and Profits Plus Capital Management, to break down the silver squeeze, physical silver shortages, ETF risks, and the global silver deficit, plus Nvidia earnings, Bitcoin volatility, key S&P 500 support levels, and why silver’s chart has traders targeting $200…
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Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle, and Jake Taylor. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Soldier of Fortune: Warren Buffett, Sun Tzu and the Ancient Art of Risk-Taking⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Kindle⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) We are live every Tuesday at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P. See our latest episodes at https:/…
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Follow Us on Substack: https://excessreturnspod.substack.com/ In this episode, we sit down with Rob Arnott for a wide-ranging discussion on bubbles, valuations, AI spending, market history, index construction, and long-term return expectations. Rob explains how to think about bubbles in real time, why today’s market echoes the late 1990s, and what …
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Send us a text A host hands over his own mic, steps into the straw-lit ring, and lets his story breathe. Chris Grimes invites us into “the clearing,” a warm, curated space where presence comes first and stories find their shape. From a Uganda childhood and the hum of a TV showing Laurel & Hardy to the ache of losing a sister and the discipline of a…
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Follow us on Substack https://excessreturnspod.substack.com In this episode, we sit down with Bob Elliott for a wide-ranging conversation about the late-cycle economic backdrop, the Fed’s dilemma, AI’s real economic impact, the cracks forming beneath the surface of private credit and private markets, and the growth of hedge-fund-style strategies in…
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Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle, and Jake Taylor. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Soldier of Fortune: Warren Buffett, Sun Tzu and the Ancient Art of Risk-Taking⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Kindle⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) We are live every Tuesday at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P. See our latest episodes at https://acq…
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Subscribe on Spotify ⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/5IsVVM27KWP6SUW6KN2ife⁠ Subscribe on Apple Podcasts ⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-100-year-thinkers-long-term-compounding-in-a-short-term-world/id1845466003⁠ Subscribe on YouTube ⁠https://youtube.com/@excessreturns In this episode of The 100 Year Thinkers, Chris Mayer, Robert Hagstrom…
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Follow us on Substack https://excessreturnspod.substack.com Bill Bengen, the creator of the 4% rule, joins us to revisit one of the most important ideas in financial planning and retirement research. In this conversation, he explains the origins of the 4% rule, how his thinking has evolved over 30 years, and why he now believes retirees can safely …
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Follow us on Substack https://excessreturnspod.substack.com In this episode, we kick off our book project, The Most Important Investing Lesson: What the World’s Best Investors Would Teach You, with a deep dive into the ideas of Michael Mauboussin. We explore his most enduring lessons—concepts that have reshaped how we think about investing, decisio…
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In this episode, we kick off our book project, "The Most Important Investing Lesson: What the World’s Best Investors Would Teach You", with a deep dive into the ideas of Michael Mauboussin. We explore his most enduring lessons—concepts that have reshaped how we think about investing, decision making, and life. From base rates to expectations invest…
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Rupert Mitchell of Blind Squirrel Macro joins Matt Zeigler to talk global markets, China’s resurgence, the AI CapEx boom, and where investors can still find value in a concentrated, overvalued U.S. market. Rupert shares insights from his recent trip to China, his evolving macro framework, and how he’s positioning across equities, credit, and real a…
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In this podcast, Tony Greer and Jared Dillian break down major market moves, gold’s pullback, uranium’s drop, oil and solar rallies, and the dollar testing key resistance. They dive into tariffs, commodities, and New York City politics, including Mayor Mamdani’s latest headlines, shaking up investors and traders alike. TG Macro Conference, taking p…
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Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle, and Jake Taylor. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Soldier of Fortune: Warren Buffett, Sun Tzu and the Ancient Art of Risk-Taking⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Kindle⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) We are live every Tuesday at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P. See our latest episodes at https://acquire…
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Follow us on Substack https://excessreturnspod.substack.com In this episode, we are joined by Richard Bernstein, CIO and CEO of Richard Bernstein Advisors. We discuss why this is one of the most speculative market environments he has seen in his 40-year career, why he still believes it may also be one of the best eras for patient long-term investor…
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In this episode, we sit down with Victor Haghani, founder of Elm Wealth and one of the original partners at LTCM, to explore his journey from running complex hedge fund strategies to adopting a simplified, evidence-based investment approach. We discuss how investors should think about expected returns, portfolio construction, dynamic asset allocati…
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Follow us on Substack https://excessreturnspod.substack.com In this episode, Cem Karsan returns to Excess Returns to break down the market through the lens of liquidity, reflexivity, and options-driven market structure. We cover why he believes we are in a bubble but still early in its trajectory, the mechanics behind today’s volatility dynamics, t…
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In this podcast, Tony Greer and Jared Dillian break down the unstoppable bull run, S&P near 7,000, gold hovering around $4,000, and Nvidia rocketing past $5 trillion. Tony announces the 1st TG Macro Conference, taking place on February 19–20, 2026, at the Virgin Hotel in Nashville. Grab Early Tickets - ⁠https://tgmacro.com/conference/⁠ Tune in next…
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Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle, and Jake Taylor. ⁠⁠⁠⁠Soldier of Fortune: Warren Buffett, Sun Tzu and the Ancient Art of Risk-Taking⁠⁠⁠⁠ (⁠⁠⁠⁠Kindle⁠⁠⁠⁠) We are live every Tuesday at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P. See our latest episodes at https://acquirersmu…
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Kai Wu of Sparkline Capital joins Excess Returns to discuss his paper Surviving the AI CapEx Boom. In this episode, Kai breaks down the unprecedented level of investment in AI infrastructure, why today’s AI buildout mirrors past technology booms, and what it all means for investors. He explores the parallels between AI and historic bubbles, the imp…
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Send us a text What if your copy worked because you thought better, not because you wrote harder? That’s the challenge David L. Deutsch lays down as we dive into the craft of response-driven writing—from Ogilvy roots to billion-dollar wins—and the mental models that make persuasion stick in the real world. We go beyond formulas and catchy lines to …
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we speak with Nancy Davis, founder and CIO of Quadratic Capital Management and the mind behind the innovative fixed income ETFs IVOL and BNDD. Nancy shares her insights on how investors are unknowingly short volatility in their portfolios, the role of options and convexity in fixed income, and how her ETFs seek to…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, Meb Faber joins the show to discuss valuations, diversification, trend following, value investing, and the evolution of markets and investor behavior over the past two decades. Meb shares insights from his upcoming book, lessons from 400 years of market history, and how investors can position themselves for the ne…
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Eric Freedman, Chief Investment Officer at US Bank Wealth, joins Excess Returns to discuss markets, the economy and his investment process. Freedman shares his “control the controllables” investment framework, why he’s maintained a glass-half-full view on the U.S. economy, and how data—not emotion—drives portfolio decisions. The conversation covers…
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