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The Seasonal Tokens Podcast - Crypto Investing, Not Gambling

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The Seasonal Tokens Podcast - Crypto Investing, Not Gambling

Polar Mil

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These days it may be hard to find ways to grow your wealth in the crypto world and it turns out to be more gambling than investing. Join the seasoned crypto investor & marketer Polar M on his journey to discover ways to properly invest in crypto from experts in the field, project owners and ordinary people. If you are searching for different ways to increase the value of your crypto investments over time, this weekly show is for you.
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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The Nonlinear Library

The Nonlinear Fund

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The Nonlinear Library allows you to easily listen to top EA and rationalist content on your podcast player. We use text-to-speech software to create an automatically updating repository of audio content from the EA Forum, Alignment Forum, LessWrong, and other EA blogs. To find out more, please visit us at nonlinear.org
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - New blog: Planned Obsolescence by Ajeya 1:25

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: New blog: Planned Obsolescence, published by Ajeya on March 27, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.We (Kelsey and Ajeya) just launched a new blog about AI futurism and AI alignment called …
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Draft: Introduction to optimization by Alex Altair 28:44

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Draft: Introduction to optimization, published by Alex Altair on March 26, 2023 on LessWrong.I am posting this draft as it stands today. Though I like it, it does not completely reflect my c…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Casting the Decisive Vote by Toby Ord 14:33

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Casting the Decisive Vote, published by Toby Ord on March 27, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.The moral value of voting is a perennial topic in EA. This piece shows that in any election…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - The salt in pasta water fallacy by Thomas Sepulchre 5:52

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The salt in pasta water fallacy, published by Thomas Sepulchre on March 27, 2023 on LessWrong.There is a particular fallacy I encounter often, and I don't know if it has a name already. I ca…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Practical Pitfalls of Causal Scrubbing by Jérémy Scheurer 22:34

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Practical Pitfalls of Causal Scrubbing, published by Jérémy Scheurer on March 27, 2023 on LessWrong.TL;DR: We evaluate Causal Scrubbing (CaSc) on synthetic graphs with known ground truth to …
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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AF - Lessons from Convergent Evolution for AI Alignment by Jan Kulveit 15:38

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Lessons from Convergent Evolution for AI Alignment, published by Jan Kulveit on March 27, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.Prelude: sharks, aliens, and AIIf you go back far enough, the ancesto…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - EA is three radical ideas I want to protect by Peter Wildeford 5:54

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: EA is three radical ideas I want to protect, published by Peter Wildeford on March 27, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Context note: This is more of an emotional piece meant to capture …
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Introducing Focus Philanthropy by Focus Philanthropy 1:54

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Introducing Focus Philanthropy, published by Focus Philanthropy on March 27, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.We’re excited to announce the launch of Focus Philanthropy, a new organizati…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - What can we learn from Lex Fridman’s interview with Sam Altman? by Karl von Wendt 14:24

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: What can we learn from Lex Fridman’s interview with Sam Altman?, published by Karl von Wendt on March 27, 2023 on LessWrong.These are my personal thougths about this interview.Epistemic stat…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - GPT-4 Plugs In by Zvi 7:43

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: GPT-4 Plugs In, published by Zvi on March 27, 2023 on LessWrong.GPT-4 Right Out of the BoxIn some ways, the best and worst thing about GPT-4 was its cutoff date of September 2021. After that…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - What would a compute monitoring plan look like? [Linkpost] by Akash 0:28

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: What would a compute monitoring plan look like? [Linkpost], published by Akash on March 26, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Libra…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - On what basis did Founder's Pledge disperse $1.6 mil. to Qvist Consulting from its Climate Change Fund? by Kieran.M 4:10

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: On what basis did Founder's Pledge disperse $1.6 mil. to Qvist Consulting from its Climate Change Fund?, published by Kieran.M on March 27, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Disclaimer: I…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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AF - What happens with logical induction when... by Donald Hobson 1:42

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: What happens with logical induction when..., published by Donald Hobson on March 26, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.So this is a bunch of related technical questions about logical induction.…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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AF - Descriptive vs. specifiable values by Tsvi Benson-Tilsen 3:46

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Descriptive vs. specifiable values, published by Tsvi Benson-Tilsen on March 26, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.[Metadata: crossposted from. First completed November 19, 2022.]What are an ag…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Sam Altman on GPT-4, ChatGPT, and the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #367 by Gabriel Mukobi 3:40

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Sam Altman on GPT-4, ChatGPT, and the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #367, published by Gabriel Mukobi on March 25, 2023 on LessWrong.Lex Fridman just released a podcast episode with Sam…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Manifold: If okay AGI, why? by Eliezer Yudkowsky 0:36

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Manifold: If okay AGI, why?, published by Eliezer Yudkowsky on March 25, 2023 on LessWrong.Arguably the most important topic about which a prediction market has yet been run: Conditional on …
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claims about markets and optimization by So8res 13:32

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claims about markets and optimization, published by So8res on March 25, 2023 on LessWrong.(This is a stylized version of a real conversation, where th…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Predicting what future people value: A terse introduction to Axiological Futurism by Jim Buhler 6:14

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Predicting what future people value: A terse introduction to Axiological Futurism, published by Jim Buhler on March 24, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Why this is worth researchingHuma…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - $500 Bounty/Contest: Explain Infra-Bayes In The Language Of Game Theory by johnswentworth 4:08

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: $500 Bounty/Contest: Explain Infra-Bayes In The Language Of Game Theory, published by johnswentworth on March 25, 2023 on LessWrong.Here's my current best guess at how Infra-Bayes works:We w…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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AF - $500 Bounty/Contest: Explain Infra-Bayes In The Language Of Game Theory by johnswentworth 4:08

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: $500 Bounty/Contest: Explain Infra-Bayes In The Language Of Game Theory, published by johnswentworth on March 25, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.Here's my current best guess at how Infra-Bay…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Good News, Everyone! by jbash 4:04

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Good News, Everyone!, published by jbash on March 25, 2023 on LessWrong.As somebody who's been watching AI notkilleveryoneism for a very long time, but is sitting at a bit of a remove from t…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Introducing Artists of Impact by Fernando MG 3:02

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Introducing Artists of Impact, published by Fernando MG on March 25, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.TL;DRAnnouncing a new EA-Aligned org to promote effective giving by leveraging the s…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Nudging Polarization by jefftk 4:47

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Nudging Polarization, published by jefftk on March 24, 2023 on LessWrong.In a polarized political environment like the US, ideas that start out neutral often end up aligned with one side or …
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Exploring Tacit Linked Premises with GPT by romeostevensit 5:10

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Exploring Tacit Linked Premises with GPT, published by romeostevensit on March 24, 2023 on LessWrong.I've been thinking about tacit linked premises on and off for the last few years in the c…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Eradicating rodenticides from U.S. pest management is less practical than we thought by Holly Elmore 1:32

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Eradicating rodenticides from U.S. pest management is less practical than we thought, published by Holly Elmore on March 24, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.The link goes to the Open Sc…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Comparing Health Interventions in Colombia and Nigeria: Which are More Effective and by How Much? by Alejandro Acelas 22:13

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Comparing Health Interventions in Colombia and Nigeria: Which are More Effective and by How Much?, published by Alejandro Acelas on March 24, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.TL;DR: Nige…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Exploring Metaculus’ community predictions by Vasco Grilo 23:21

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Exploring Metaculus’ community predictions, published by Vasco Grilo on March 24, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.SummaryI really like Metaculus!I have collected and analysed in this Sh…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Wittgenstein and ML — parameters vs architecture by Cleo Nardo 7:50

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Wittgenstein and ML — parameters vs architecture, published by Cleo Nardo on March 24, 2023 on LessWrong.Status: a brief distillation of Wittgenstein's book On Certainty, using examples from…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Apply now to rationality camps: ESPR & PAIR - new Program on AI and Reasoning (ages 16-20) by Anna Gajdova 2:29

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Apply now to rationality camps: ESPR & PAIR - new Program on AI and Reasoning (ages 16-20), published by Anna Gajdova on March 24, 2023 on LessWrong.We are happy to announce that the ESPR te…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Reflecting on the Last Year — Lessons for EA (opening keynote at EAG) by Toby Ord 24:26

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Reflecting on the Last Year — Lessons for EA (opening keynote at EAG), published by Toby Ord on March 24, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.I recently delivered the opening talk for EA Gl…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Microsoft Research Paper Claims Sparks of Artificial Intelligence in GPT-4 by Zvi 10:55

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Microsoft Research Paper Claims Sparks of Artificial Intelligence in GPT-4, published by Zvi on March 24, 2023 on LessWrong.Microsoft Research (conflict of interest? what’s that?) has issued…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Holden Karnofsky’s recent comments on FTX by Lizka 7:49

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Holden Karnofsky’s recent comments on FTX, published by Lizka on March 24, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Holden Karnofsky has recently shared some reflections on EA and FTX, but they’…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Abstracts should be either Actually Short™, or broken into paragraphs by Raemon 8:42

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Abstracts should be either Actually Short™, or broken into paragraphs, published by Raemon on March 24, 2023 on LessWrong.It looks to me like academia figured out (correctly) that it's usefu…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - continue working on hard alignment! don't give up! by carado 1:36

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: continue working on hard alignment! don't give up!, published by carado on March 24, 2023 on LessWrong.let's call "hard alignment" the ("orthodox") problem, historically worked on by MIRI, o…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - We have to Upgrade by Jed McCaleb 3:39

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: We have to Upgrade, published by Jed McCaleb on March 23, 2023 on LessWrong.I want to bring up a point that I almost never hear talked about in AGI discussions. But to me feels like the only…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - The Overton Window widens: Examples of AI risk in the media by Akash 0:28

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The Overton Window widens: Examples of AI risk in the media, published by Akash on March 23, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Libr…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Highlights from LPP’s field-building efforts by Legal Priorities Project 21:52

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Highlights from LPP’s field-building efforts, published by Legal Priorities Project on March 23, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.IntroductionThe Legal Priorities Project (LPP) is dedica…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Anki with Uncertainty: Turn any flashcard deck into a calibration training tool by Sage 1:09

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Anki with Uncertainty: Turn any flashcard deck into a calibration training tool, published by Sage on March 22, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.We've developed an Anki addon that lets y…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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AF - EAI Alignment Speaker Series #1: Challenges for Safe & Beneficial Brain-Like Artificial General Intelligence with Steve Byrnes by Curtis Huebner 45:47

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: EAI Alignment Speaker Series #1: Challenges for Safe & Beneficial Brain-Like Artificial General Intelligence with Steve Byrnes, published by Curtis Huebner on March 23, 2023 on The AI Alignm…
 
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The Seasonal Tokens Podcast - Crypto Investing, Not Gambling

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Episode 37: Understanding market cycles and timing in crypto investing with AdValorem Syndicate Lead, Val 42:35

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Join us in this episode as we dive into the world of crypto investing and gain valuable insights from industry expert Val, the lead syndicate of AdValorem Syndicate. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned investor, you'll learn about: How to use market cycles and timing when investing What to look for when investing in crypto projects What are som…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Transcript: NBC Nightly News: AI ‘race to recklessness’ w/ Tristan Harris, Aza Raskin by WilliamKiely 0:34

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Transcript: NBC Nightly News: AI ‘race to recklessness’ w/ Tristan Harris, Aza Raskin, published by WilliamKiely on March 23, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Thanks for listening. To he…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4 | Microsoft Research by DragonGod 2:12

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4 | Microsoft Research, published by DragonGod on March 23, 2023 on LessWrong.AbstractArtificial intelligence (AI) resea…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Transcript: NBC Nightly News: AI ‘race to recklessness’ w/ Tristan Harris, Aza Raskin by WilliamKiely 5:41

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Transcript: NBC Nightly News: AI ‘race to recklessness’ w/ Tristan Harris, Aza Raskin, published by WilliamKiely on March 23, 2023 on LessWrong.Video Link: AI ‘race to recklessness’ could ha…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Making better estimates with scarce information by Stan Pinsent 16:47

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Making better estimates with scarce information, published by Stan Pinsent on March 22, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.TL;DRI explore the pros and cons of different approaches to estim…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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LW - Challenge: Does ChatGPT ever claim that a bad outcome for humanity is actually good? by Yair Halberstadt 1:57

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Challenge: Does ChatGPT ever claim that a bad outcome for humanity is actually good?, published by Yair Halberstadt on March 22, 2023 on LessWrong.Note: this is not a prompt engineering chal…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Books: Lend, Don't Give by Jeff Kaufman 0:26

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Books: Lend, Don't Give, published by Jeff Kaufman on March 22, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please …
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Announcing the European Network for AI Safety (ENAIS) by Esben Kran 5:47

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Announcing the European Network for AI Safety (ENAIS), published by Esben Kran on March 22, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.TLDR; The European Network for AI Safety is a central point f…
 
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The Nonlinear Library

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EA - Free coaching sessions by Monica Diaz 0:53

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Free coaching sessions, published by Monica Diaz on March 21, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.I’m offering free one-on-one coaching sessions to autistic people in the EA community. I’m …
 
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AF - The space of systems and the space of maps by Jan Kulveit 7:59

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The space of systems and the space of maps, published by Jan Kulveit on March 22, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum.When we're trying to do AI alignment, we're often studying systems which don'…
 
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EA - Whether you should do a PhD doesn't depend much on timelines. by alex lawsen (previously alexrjl) 6:33

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Whether you should do a PhD doesn't depend much on timelines., published by alex lawsen (previously alexrjl) on March 22, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum.I wrote this as an answer to a …
 
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