THE US HOUSING MARKET WEAKENS AFTER A SHARP RISE. A SIGN OF A NATIONAL SLOWDOWN?

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Our FEATURE today focuses on one of our nations most critical markets--Housing. It appears from major sources, such as the Wall St Journal, that there has been a sudden change in the US housing market that bears immediate attention since it impacts so many Americans. The Wall St Journal reported on 12/14/18 that the Las Vegas metropolitan area, which had reported a sharp rise in housing values early in 2018, has suddenly reported a surge in inventory listed for sale. The Las Vegas Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes declined 12% in November and they were experiencing a panic in existing listings headlining "Reduction, Reduction, Reduction". Our experience tells us that specific "hot" areas often forecast an emerging trend. For example, we personally witnessed the beginning of panic selling in Ft Meyers in Florida in May 2006--well over a year before the housing crash in the remainder of the US. Other topics include: 50% of US CFOs predict a recession in 2019-80% in 2020, 3 & 5 year T-Notes are inverting over long-term debt, Global slowdown appears evident, Triple bottom breached in all 3 indices, Debt market succumbs to market doom, Commodity prices plunge, Other US presidents who instituted tariffs, Ca to tax text messages, Breaking the back of OPEC, Hi Ho Silver away!, Apple infringes in China and is forced to stop some sales, VPLM / IMHO, FBI labels China a SEVERE security risk, Mueller gets his due and Can't bank on banking. "Disclaimer: This commentary is provided for informational and educational purposes only. The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein reflect our judgment as of this date and are subject to change at any time without notice. They are not intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice or a recommended course of action in any given situation. All investments carry a certain risk and there is no assurance that an investment will provide positive performance over any period of time. Information obtained from third party resources are believed to be reliable but not guaranteed. Past performance is not indicative of future results. H. L. Quist is an Investment Advisor Representative."

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