Ep. 40: Too WEIRD


Manage episode 243386979 series 1260429
By Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, Scott Eastman, Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, and Scott Eastman. Discovered by Player FM and our community — copyright is owned by the publisher, not Player FM, and audio is streamed directly from their servers. Hit the Subscribe button to track updates in Player FM, or paste the feed URL into other podcast apps.

Episode 40 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Atief, Robert, and Scott discuss Bitcoin (4:50), summer forecasts (14:10), hurricanes (21:30), team forecasting (32:15), problems of homogeneity in forecasting (37:00), WEIRD bias (42:50), whether egalitarian groups combat groupthink (45:20), and when political opinions become motivated reasoning (50:10). They close with a serious discussion of which trick is best: consulting a Magic 8 Ball or betting against the most unlucky person you can find. As always, you may reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or nonprophetspod@gmail.com. (recorded 9/13/2017)

162 episodes