Ep. 51: Incoming Ballistic Missile Alert


Manage episode 243386968 series 1260429
By Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, Scott Eastman, Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, and Scott Eastman. Discovered by Player FM and our community — copyright is owned by the publisher, not Player FM, and audio is streamed directly from their servers. Hit the Subscribe button to track updates in Player FM, or paste the feed URL into other podcast apps.

Episode 51 of the NonProphets podcast in which Robert, Atief and Scott discuss:

00:30 Hawaii's Incoming Ballistic Missile Alert – How 38 minutes did not convince Robert to “Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb”

14:20 Problems With a Bloody Nose Strategy in North Korea

15:55 Roman Hagelstein – Superforecaster, uberforecaster, and unassuming good guy

19:20 The Phil Tetlock-Nassim Taleb Twitter War – The debate about “skin in the game” and “tail risk”

34:25 PredictIt – State of the Union questions

38:10 Passion Over Rationality

41:00 Running for the Doors – Why are so many Congressmen retiring?

46:34 Where the Mueller Investigation Is Heading

As always, you may reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or nonprophetspod@gmail.com. (recorded 1/31/2018)

162 episodes