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Rio Scale

 
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Manage episode 177458704 series 1424224
Content provided by McDonald Observatory. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by McDonald Observatory or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Weather forecasts tell us the odds that it’ll rain tomorrow. Betting lines tell us the odds that one team will beat another. And the Rio Scale tells us the odds that a possible signal from ET is either the real thing or just wishful thinking.

Scientists developed the Rio Scale almost two decades ago, after reports of the discovery of intelligent signals from another star turned out to be a hoax. The scientists wanted an easy way to rate the odds that a possible discovery was the real deal — not only for themselves, but for the media and public as well.

So during a conference in Rio de Janeiro, Jill Tarter and Ivan Almar devised a rating system. It evaluates two main factors. One is the importance of a possible discovery. A signal from a star a few light-years away — one we could communicate with over a human lifetime — rates higher than a signal from a star across the galaxy.

The other factor is the credibility of any reported discovery. A signal that’s been detected several times by reputable institutions would get a higher rating than a signal heard by a guy with a backyard radio dish.

When those two factors are combined, they produce a number from zero to 10. Right now, the only discovery that rates as high as a 3 or 4 is Tabby’s Star — an odd system in which many objects routinely pass in front of the star, blocking some of its light. That doesn’t mean ET is there, only that it’s worth doing some more looking — just in case.

Script by Damond Benningfield

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28 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 

Archived series ("HTTP Redirect" status)

Replaced by: StarDate Premium Audio

When? This feed was archived on April 20, 2017 14:46 (7y ago). Last successful fetch was on April 20, 2017 12:56 (7y ago)

Why? HTTP Redirect status. The feed permanently redirected to another series.

What now? If you were subscribed to this series when it was replaced, you will now be subscribed to the replacement series. This series will no longer be checked for updates. If you believe this to be in error, please check if the publisher's feed link below is valid and contact support to request the feed be restored or if you have any other concerns about this.

Manage episode 177458704 series 1424224
Content provided by McDonald Observatory. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by McDonald Observatory or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Weather forecasts tell us the odds that it’ll rain tomorrow. Betting lines tell us the odds that one team will beat another. And the Rio Scale tells us the odds that a possible signal from ET is either the real thing or just wishful thinking.

Scientists developed the Rio Scale almost two decades ago, after reports of the discovery of intelligent signals from another star turned out to be a hoax. The scientists wanted an easy way to rate the odds that a possible discovery was the real deal — not only for themselves, but for the media and public as well.

So during a conference in Rio de Janeiro, Jill Tarter and Ivan Almar devised a rating system. It evaluates two main factors. One is the importance of a possible discovery. A signal from a star a few light-years away — one we could communicate with over a human lifetime — rates higher than a signal from a star across the galaxy.

The other factor is the credibility of any reported discovery. A signal that’s been detected several times by reputable institutions would get a higher rating than a signal heard by a guy with a backyard radio dish.

When those two factors are combined, they produce a number from zero to 10. Right now, the only discovery that rates as high as a 3 or 4 is Tabby’s Star — an odd system in which many objects routinely pass in front of the star, blocking some of its light. That doesn’t mean ET is there, only that it’s worth doing some more looking — just in case.

Script by Damond Benningfield

  continue reading

28 episodes

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