Gist: Trump Will Lose in 2020


Manage episode 238226301 series 2355368
By Discovered by Player FM and our community — copyright is owned by the publisher, not Player FM, and audio streamed directly from their servers.
On The Gist, it’s a good day for those who love quarterly fundraising numbers among Democratic presidential candidates!
In the interview, we’re used to the Nate Silver approach to election forecasting, using constantly changing polling data to predict the likelihood of this or that result. But Rachel Bitecofer, assistant director of the Wason Center for Public Policy, has a better way. Her new model, based on negative partisanship and demographics, is more static, and proved spot-on in 2018. So what does it have to say for 2020?
In the Spiel, a theory on what’s really keeping Kellyanne and George Conway together.

4728 episodes available. A new episode about every 5 hours averaging 38 mins duration .