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Content provided by Bob Froehlich, Bob Froehlich-Retired Chemist, Psychology Professor, and Julia Minton-Technology Consultant. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Bob Froehlich, Bob Froehlich-Retired Chemist, Psychology Professor, and Julia Minton-Technology Consultant or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.
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#39-Bob and Julia discuss the base rate fallacy, superforecasting, and regression to the mean

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Manage episode 241546737 series 1523450
Content provided by Bob Froehlich, Bob Froehlich-Retired Chemist, Psychology Professor, and Julia Minton-Technology Consultant. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Bob Froehlich, Bob Froehlich-Retired Chemist, Psychology Professor, and Julia Minton-Technology Consultant or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

This episode focuses on the power of understanding statistics and probability, including how avoiding base rate neglect can help you make better decisions. Also discussed are: superforecasting (what it takes to make more accurate predictions of future events) and the power of understanding the statistical principle of regression toward the mean.

  continue reading

92 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 241546737 series 1523450
Content provided by Bob Froehlich, Bob Froehlich-Retired Chemist, Psychology Professor, and Julia Minton-Technology Consultant. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Bob Froehlich, Bob Froehlich-Retired Chemist, Psychology Professor, and Julia Minton-Technology Consultant or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

This episode focuses on the power of understanding statistics and probability, including how avoiding base rate neglect can help you make better decisions. Also discussed are: superforecasting (what it takes to make more accurate predictions of future events) and the power of understanding the statistical principle of regression toward the mean.

  continue reading

92 episodes

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