The Risky Science Podcast features conversations with scientists, insurers, investors, portfolio managers, and others about the evolving science of predicting and modeling risk across both natural and man-made perils.
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The Can't Bowl Can't Throw Cricket Show, in which Dan Liebke and Cat Jones talk about cricket on a podcast.
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Climate, Markets and the Limits of Insurability with Dave Jones
51:52
51:52
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51:52In the last episode of Risky Science, we examined skepticism around climate-conditioned catastrophe models with Roger Pielke Jr.—questioning how much weight long-range climate assumptions should carry in near-term insurance and capital decisions. Today’s discussion is a direct counterpoint. My guest is Dave Jones, former California Insurance Commis…
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Climate, Catastrophe Models and the Limits of Prediction with Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.
42:17
42:17
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42:17Register for the January 8 Risky Science Podcast Live In this episode, I’m joined by Roger Pielke Jr., a researcher known for his work on the use—and misuse—of models in risk and policy decisions. Pielke is a polarizing figure in climate research, particularly for his views on how climate change should—and should not—be incorporated into catastroph…
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Cat and Dan are back with the only podcast willing to cover the Ashes! Topics covered include: The Ashes! The Ridiculous Ashes! The WBBL! Plus, another thrilling Muller award www.liebcricket.com/ridiculousashes https://newsletter.danliebke.com/p/shadow-writing-761 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Housing Prices, Climate Signals and Reinsurance Shocks with Dr. Philip Mulder
49:41
49:41
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49:41Register here for the January 8 Risky Science Podcast Live This week on the Risky Science Podcast, I’m joined by Dr. Phillip Mulder of the University of Wisconsin, co-author of a newly released research paper examining how these insurance pressures are influencing who buys, who moves, and who can no longer afford to stay. The research has drawn sig…
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Weather, Risk & Europe’s Energy Upheaval with TP ICAP’s Tim Boyce
45:04
45:04
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45:04Our guest is Tim Boyce of TP ICAP, who has spent more than 25 years in financial markets, from US-dollar swaps in London to commodities in Singapore, before returning to the UK to build out the firm’s European weather business. Tim describes weather as a “sleeping giant,” a market that should be much bigger given how energy, logistics, agriculture,…
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Pandemics, Models and the Limits of Securitization with Dr. Susan Erikson
47:42
47:42
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47:42On today’s episode of the Risky Science Podcast, we’re stepping outside the usual finance lens and into a conversation that will push many of your assumptions about how risk, capital, and human health actually interact. Dr. Susan Erikson: medical anthropologist and author of Investable!, brings a perspective that most risk and financial professiona…
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Cat and Dan are back with the only podcast courageous enough to do an Ashes preview episode! Topics covered include: When will Pat's back allow Pat to be back? Will the number of people talking about Joe Root not having scored a century in Australia reach 100 before Joe Root reaches 100? Barmy Army song suggestions! Plus, plugs for Dan's new book, …
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Opening China’s Weather Risk Markets with climateHedge’s Jim Huang
42:27
42:27
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42:27China was once seen as a vast, untapped frontier for global risk finance — drawing interest from New York to London. Yet a combination of geopolitical headwinds and trade tensions has cooled expansion plans for many executives hoping to grow their Asian footprint. That hasn’t stopped real innovation — especially in weather and physical-risk finance…
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Sweet Earnings, Sour Investors and the Insurance Cycle Reset with KBW’s Meyer Shields
29:01
29:01
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29:01This week I’m joined by Meyer Shields of KBW, one of the most followed insurance analysts on Wall Street. We get into what’s driving that split, how AI and modeling are — or aren’t — starting to show up in real financial performance, and whether today’s property catastrophe discipline is a genuine structural reset or just another hard market waitin…
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Building Trust In AI-Driven Weather and Risk Models With Dr. Hansi Singh
47:04
47:04
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47:04This week’s guest is Dr. Hansi Singh, an Earth system scientist who’s worked at the U.S. Department of Energy, taught in academia, and now leads a startup called Plannette.AI, which blends physics and AI to deliver long-range weather forecasts for industries including finance and insurance. In this conversation, Dr. Singh explains why AI’s biggest …
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: The Women's World Cup The Chappell-Hadlee Trophy Quiz - Who Will Open For Australia in the Ashes? Plus, another thrilling Muller Award www.liebcricket.com/ridiculousashes Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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From Models to Markets and Future of Catastrophe Risk with Dr. Paul Wilson
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41:37
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41:37Dr. Paul Wilson, Head of Catastrophe and Climate Research at Twelve Securis, a leading insurance-linked securities asset manager, sits down for a live recording of the Risky Science Podcast.By Risk Market News
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AI, Climate, Catastrophe and Why Markets Need To Rethink Risk with Dr. Seth Baum
43:07
43:07
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43:07We sit down with Dr. Seth Baum, Executive Director of the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and research affiliate at Cambridge University’s Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. We explore how societies understand and prepare for global-scale threats—from climate change and pandemics to nuclear conflict and artificial intelligence. Dr. Baum e…
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Prediction markets and disrupting insurance with Kalshi's Shannon Magiera
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33:40
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33:40Join the Risky Science Podcast for a live discussion with Dr. Paul Wilson, Tuesday, September 23, 11 a.m. ET. Register HereBy Risk Market News
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Climate, Correlation, and Cat Bond Investing with Plenum Investments’ Dirk Schmelzer
46:55
46:55
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46:55We speak with Dirk Schmelzer, Partner at Plenum Investments in Zurich. Dirk has spent more than 15 years managing catastrophe bond and insurance-linked securities funds, and he brings a practitioner’s perspective on how catastrophe models are actually used in portfolio management and investment decisions. We’ll explore how models have evolved, wher…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Pat's dodgy back Top End ODIs The Hundred x Women's World Cup Preview Plus, another thrilling Muller Award www.whohastheashes.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoicesBy Dan Liebke, Cat Jones
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Why Trust, Transparency, and Testing Define the Future of Cat Bonds And Models with KCC’s Karen Clark
41:40
41:40
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41:40This week we speak with Karen Clark, founder of Karen Clark & Company, about the evolution of catastrophe modeling and the shift toward higher-frequency, climate-driven events.By Risk Market News
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The Modeled Through Line from Hurricane Katrina to Cyber Catastrophe Risk with Fermat Capital’s John Seo
52:48
52:48
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52:48John Seo, founder of Fermat Capital, about the lessons of Katrina for catastrophe bonds and models 20 years later. (00:00) - Introduction (02:00) - Katrina as a Market Catalyst (06:30) - Investor Confidence Under Fire (11:00) - The First True Test of Catastrophe Models (16:00) - Politics, Policy, and Deductibles (22:30) - The In-House View of Model…
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Pricing and Modeling Wildfire Risk in the Nation's Most Expensive Housing Market with Stanford's Michael Wara
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54:01
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54:01Less than a year after the devastating Los Angeles fires, I’m joined by Michael Wara from Stanford University. We explore why Michael is skeptical about California developing a public wildfire model, despite being part of the strategy group that studied it. We'll dig into how the newly approved private wildfire models are about to transform Califor…
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Severe Convective Storms are Reshaping Insurance and Modeling with Dr. Victor Gensini
45:03
45:03
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45:03We talk with Dr. Victor Gensini, a professor at Northern Illinois University and one of the leading experts on severe convective storms. Dr. Gensini works with the Insurance Information Institute and has just launched a new center for convective storm research, bringing together academic research and industry needs to tackle this modeling challenge…
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The Top Ten Moments of the Anderson Tendulkar Trophy
33:49
33:49
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33:49Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Top End T20s England v India, The Best Ten Moments The Hundred x Are You Smarter Than A Fifth Grade Cricketer? - Name The Teams Edition Plus, another thrilling Muller Award www.whohastheashes.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adc…
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Cascading Risks And a Cascadia Mega Quake With Dr. Tina Dura
42:43
42:43
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42:43In this episode we talk with Dr. Tina Dura, a coastal hazard researcher at Virginia Tech, as she unpacks a threat that most risk models still underestimate: Sudden land subsidence from a long expected Cascadia subduction zone earthquake.By Risk Market News
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Multi‑Hazard Events, Messy Data and Climate Insurance Models with Michiel Ingels
38:21
38:21
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38:21We're joined by Michiel W. Ingels, lead author of research that takes stock of the state of climate risk insurance modeling and maps out where it needs to go next.By Risk Market News
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Floods, Risk Models, and the Future of Insurance With ReThought's Cory Isaacson
42:02
42:02
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42:02On this episode of the Risky Science Podcast, we talk with Cory Isaacson, CEO of ReThought Insurance — a longtime tech and insurance executive who’s spent years building new models aimed at making flood risk more accurate, more transparent, and more insurable.By Risk Market News
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Modeling Pandemic Risk: Dr. Neil Ferguson on the Future of Epidemiology, Policy, and Private Markets
43:43
43:43
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43:43In this episode we speak with Dr. Neil Ferguson, a leading voice in infectious disease modeling and Director of the Jameel Institute at Imperial College London. We talk about how disease models are built, how they’ve evolved over the last two decades, and what happens when they move from academic research into policy, politics, and even the private…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Wiaan Mulder's declaration England v India, featuring Pantics, Bazball and Peek-A-Bumrah! Are You Smarter Than A Fifth Grade Cricketer? - Midnight Cricket Edition Plus, another thrilling Muller Award https://newsletter.danliebke.com Learn more about your a…
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Multi-Hazard Modeling, AI, and the Future of Risk With Paolo Bocchini
41:02
41:02
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41:02We're joined by Dr. Paolo Bocchini, Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Lehigh University, a leading researcher in catastrophe modeling and infrastructure resilience. Dr. Bocchini is the director of Lehigh’s Center for Catastrophe Modeling and Resilience, and he’s spearheading a new collaboration with Rice University—the Consortium …
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Wargaming, Combat Modeling, and Escalation Risk With CNA’s Dr. Jeremy Sepinsky
35:32
35:32
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35:32In this episode of the podcast, we are shifting from modeling physical risks to exploring how wargaming and combat modeling is being used to understand the growing threat of geopolitical conflict. Our guest is Dr. Jeremy Sepinsky, Lead Wargame Designer at CNA, a federally funded research and development center that supports national security analys…
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Open Models, Collaboration, and Catastrophe Risk With Oasis’s Dickie Whitaker
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41:01
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41:01In this episode of the Risky Science Podcast, Dickie Whitaker, CEO of the Oasis Loss Modelling Framework, discusses how open-source catastrophe modeling is transforming the risk ecosystem. Whitaker shares the origin story of Oasis and how the platform is working to lower barriers to entry, spur innovation, and increase transparency in a space long …
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Private Credit, Liquidity, Longevity and Life Insurance With S&P’s Carmi Margalit
28:09
28:09
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28:09As insurers seek higher yields in a persistent high-rate environment, private credit has become an increasingly significant part of portfolio strategies. But with that growth comes a new set of questions—about liquidity, transparency, and the long-term implications for credit quality. Carmi Margalit shares S&P’s analytical framework for assessing t…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: RCB - The Red Melbourne of the IPL Australia's opener surplus Cat being fined 50% of her podcast fee The Spirit of Quizmastering Plus, another thrilling Muller Award https://newsletter.danliebke.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/…
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Regular episodes are still on hiatus as we wait for the official end of the IPL. In the meantime, friend of the podcast Tim Wigmore dropped by to talk about his new book, Test Cricket: A History. We cover: The unbeatable Test match Andy Flower's self-hypnosis Why the best teams don't need all-rounders Tim's XI of book interviewees And much, much mo…
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Modeling Risk in a Non-Stationary Climate with Dr. Daniel Swain
1:10:57
1:10:57
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1:10:57After a long hiatus, we’re back—launching a new series of conversations with finance professionals, academic researchers, and technology leaders focused on a rapidly growing and often misunderstood area of risk: modeling. In this episode, we kick things off with a conversation about weather and climate modeling with Dr. Daniel Swain, a climate scie…
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Regular episodes are still on hiatus as we wait for the official end of the IPL. In the meantime, friend of the podcast Jarrod Kimber dropped by to talk about his new book, The Art of Batting and the 50 best Test batters of all time. We cover: The introspection of Mark Waugh Why there is no number between 197 and 199 Bradman ruining everything as a…
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Who Is The Greatest Cricketing Knight of All Time?
25:36
25:36
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25:36With Sir James Anderson joining the ranks of cricketing knights, we've decided to break from our IPL-induced hiatus and determine, once and for all, who is the best cricketing knight of all time. We work through all 31 knights, judging them on important criteria such as: Jousting prowess Chivalry Ability to rescue a princess from a dragon How good …
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The Raygun of Cricket Podcasts is back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: The Sam Konstas Axe The Top 10 Moments of the Women's Ashes Are You Smarter Than A Fifth Grade Cricketer - Bevo To The Rescue - True or False? Plus, another thrilling Muller Award whohasthewomensashes.com Learn more about your ad choices. V…
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The Top 10 Moments of the Border Gavaskar Series
32:27
32:27
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32:27Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Pat Cummins completing cricket The Top 10 Moments of the Border-Gavaskar Trophy Are You Smarter Than A Fifth Grade Cricketer - Shane Warne Bangers Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Subscribe to the Lost Within Lost podcast Can't Bowl Can't Throw Presents …
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Red Melbourne's WBBL win The Border-Gavaskar Trophy Are You Smarter Than A Fifth Grade Cricketer - Special Cricket Monopoly Edition Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Buy Dan's new book, The Best of the Best, liebcricket.com/bestofthebest Learn more about …
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Cat and Dan are back with a double-sized episode to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: New Zealand - The Strongest Cricketing Nation on Earth Australia's Search For An Opener Are You Smarter Than A Fifth Grade Cricketer - Special Book Club Edition Plus, another thrilling, super-sized Muller Award Buy Dan's new book,…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Volini Maxx! The suddenly very funny T20 World Cup Are You Smarter Than A Fifth Grade Cricketer Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Pre-order Dan's new book, The Best of the Best, liebcricket.com/bestofthebest Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcast…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Celebration showdown: Ian Healy v Adam Gilchrist Australia's white ball UK holiday Are You Smarter Than A Fifth Grade Cricketer, featuring a game of They're Not All Squirrels Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Listen to our other podcast, HitchPod, via www…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Alyssa Healy and Pat Cummins teaching children valuable lessons Preview of the women's T20 World Cup More innovations from The Hundred Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Subscribe to Dan's newsletter at https://newsletter.liebcricket.com Learn more about y…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: England v West Indies The Olympics, featuring the Doyen of Diving, Tubby 'Cricket' Taylor The All-New, All-Improved Hundred Plus, another thrilling Muller Award, er, JL Time Listen to The Ridiculous Ashes here: https://megaphone.link/COMG6590528182 Subscribe…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Shafali Verma's Test double century Guinness v Alcopops Trying to remember the T20 World Cup Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Subscribe to Dan's newsletter at newsletter.liebcricket.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Ice cold Meg Lanning Australia World Cup trolling of England The rest of the T20 World Cup Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Subscribe to Dan's newsletter at newsletter.liebcricket.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Calm, relentless, fun Making The Test more cinematic Discretionary settlement as gestures of goodwill Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Subscribe to HitchPod at hitchpodonline.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: JF-M Virat Kohli's waist England eccentricities Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Subscribe to Dan's newsletter at newsletter.liebcricket.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Messed up mankads The Australian women in Bangladesh Cat's Gambling Corner! Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Subscribe to Dan's newsletter at newsletter.liebcricket.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: Ellyse Perry destroying cars and bowling records at the WPL New Zealand messing up another Test series against Australia The Quiz! 'Bairstow v Gill' Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Subscribe to Dan's newsletter at newsletter.liebcricket.com Learn more a…
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Cat and Dan are back to cover the highlights from the last week of cricket. Topics include: England teaching everybody how to score fast Highlights of the Australia v South Africa one-off Test The Quiz! 'Remember When Australia Last Played A Test In NZ?' Plus, another thrilling Muller Award Subscribe to Dan's newsletter at newsletter.liebcricket.co…
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