Each and every Sunday, former Global Chief Strategist of Nordea Bank, Andreas Steno, invites colleagues and friends of Steno Research to share their views on the world of macro and geopolitics with loads of actionable content. We will maintain FULL independence without capital interests in having specific views and provide 100% transparency around how we trade and view the world The podcast will be the most entertaining and yet serious podcast in the Macro Space and as you will notice our tr ...
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Welcome to the Lead-Lag Live podcast, where we bring you live unscripted conversations with thought leaders in the world of finance, economics, and investing. Hosted through X Spaces by Michael A. Gayed, CFA, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report (@leadlagreport), each episode dives deep into the minds of industry experts to discuss current market trends, investment strategies, and the global economic landscape. In this exciting series, you'll have the rare opportunity to join Michael A. Gayed as ...
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Andreas Steno Larsen on Dollar-Yen Carry Trade Turmoil, Chinese Liquidity Trends, and US Construction Sector Risks
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Discover how the recent turmoil in the dollar-yen carry trade has shaken the financial world in an insightful conversation with Andreas Steno Larsen, the esteemed creator of Steno Signals. Andreas brings his wealth of foreign exchange and investment banking experience to the table, shedding light on the significant leverage macro hedge funds placed…
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Dan Gallagher on Macro Hedge Fund Impacts, Deglobalization Effects, and Strategic Financial Coaching
37:56
37:56
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Unlock the secrets of financial markets and discover how macro hedge fund liquidations can trigger market downturns and rallies. Hear from Dan Gallagher, a finance veteran with 50 years of experience, who shares his invaluable insights as a coach for financial advisors. Learn why expertise in taxes could be more vital than investment knowledge for …
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Chris Martenson on Federal Reserve Policies, Wealth Gap Dynamics, and Market Transformation
49:06
49:06
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Is the Federal Reserve inadvertently widening the wealth gap? Tune in as we tackle this provocative question and dissect the proposed tax changes that are shaking up the political and market landscapes. Our special guest, Chris Martsenson of Peak Prosperity, joins us to shed light on these critical issues. We explore the potential increase in capit…
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Dan Russo on Volatility as a Trading Signal, Market Breadth Insights, and Systematic Investing Models
51:42
51:42
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Ever wondered how to effectively use volatility as a trading signal while managing market risks? Join us as we unravel the complexities of tactical investing with Dan Russo from Potomac Fund Management and Chaykin Analytics. Discover Dan's unique insights into the VIX, market breadth, and the necessity of clear rules for risk management. Whether yo…
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Macro Mondays #64 - Was the H1 Rebound a fake?
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We take a closer look at the manufacturing rebound in the first half of 2024. Was is a real rebound or driven by temporary, "fake" circumstances like the China tarriffs? We also dive into our current macro regime which suggests a bleak september. That could also be the case for the oil producing countries, which we take a closer look at this week t…
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Macro Mondays #63 - What to make of Powell's Jackson Hole Speech
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We take a closer look at Jay Powell's Jackson Hole Speech and gauge the unemployment and inflation outlook for the US. Furthermore, we dive into the USDJPY trade and why Powell's cutting season might be a catastrophe for Ueda and Japan Check out the episode on youtube to see the videos & memes we look at. Remember to check out the links below. Toke…
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Mike Green on ETF Innovation, Passive Investing Risks, and the Future of Alternative Assets
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What if the world's largest investment firms aren't giving you the full picture? Join us for an exclusive conversation with Mike Green, Chief Strategist and Portfolio Manager at Simplify Asset Management, as we traverse the fascinating landscape of ETF innovation and competition. Mike shares his extensive industry knowledge and Simplify's unique ap…
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David Keller on Sentiment Shifts, Defensive Sector Trends, and Gold's Strategic Importance
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Unlock the secrets of market sentiment and trends with expert insights from David Keller. Discover how shifts in sentiment and investor psychology drive market movements and learn about the most effective methods for measuring sentiment—from survey data to the VIX and the all-important price action. David reveals the biases lurking in sentiment sur…
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David Nelson on Credit Markets, Global De-Dollarization, and AI's Market Impact
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Can market rhythms mirror musical progressions? Join us as we sit down with David Nelson of Belpointe Asset Management, who shares his one-of-a-kind journey from recording artist to finance professional. David brings a unique lens to understanding the current market environment and its parallels with past financial crises. We'll explore the essenti…
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Peter Boockvar on Market Volatility Drivers, CPI Implications, and Inflationary Investment Strategies
48:47
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How do economic trends shape market volatility? Join us for an engaging discussion with Peter Boockvar, an expert in corporate bond research and investment management, as we unpack the complex factors driving the recent swings in financial markets. Together, we explore the impacts of the unwinding yen carry trades, the sudden shifts in bullish sent…
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Danny Moses on Gold's Role in Economic Stability, Geopolitical Tensions, and Future Investment Risks
51:04
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What if the real safeguard against economic turmoil isn't in stocks or bonds, but in gold? Join us as we sit down with Danny Moses, the insightful investor known for his pivotal role during the Big Short era. Discover how geopolitical tensions and an overreliance on central banks are shaping the modern financial landscape. Danny shares his seasoned…
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Katie Stockton on Market Volatility, Sector Shifts, and Technical Analysis for Active Management
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46:33
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What if you could navigate market volatility like a pro? Join us as we sit down with Katie Stockton, a Chartered Market Technician from Fairlead Strategies, who shares her expert insights on the recent spike in market volatility and its profound implications. Katie walks us through the transition from long-term bullish trends to a more cautious neu…
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Macro Mondays #62 - Shelter, liquidity & is it time to buy again?
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This week we take a look at whats going on in the Ukraine, advisors taking a pessimistic turn, where is liquidity headed & is it time to buy again? Joining us is Bob Elliott from Unlimited Funds. https://x.com/bobeunlimited Check out the episode on youtube to see the videos & memes we look at. Remember to check out the links below. Token2049 week i…
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Mike Silva on Market Volatility Analysis, Risk Management Techniques, and Trading Strategies During Recessions
51:37
51:37
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Can you predict market movements and manage risks like a pro? Join us as we chat with Mike Silva, the brains behind the popular YouTube channel "Figuring Out Money." Mike's fascinating journey from communication professional to market analyst comes with invaluable lessons on technical and intramarket analysis. Discover how recent spikes in the VIX …
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Lyn Alden on Yen Carry Trade Misestimations, US Dollar System Insights, and Global Market Dynamics
50:05
50:05
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Is the widely cited $20 trillion Yen Carry trade figure really exaggerated? Join us as we uncover the truth behind this staggering number with our special guest, Lyn Alden. Bringing her engineering and finance expertise to the table, Lyn helps us dissect the intricate mechanics of market dynamics, recent market volatility, and the reverse carry tra…
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Macro Mondays #61 - Advisors turning pessimistic & The Ukraine
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This week we take a look at the macro regime model, is it time to buy again, where is liquidity headed & what is going on in the Ukraine? Join us! Check out the episode on youtube to see the videos & memes we look at. Remember to check out the links below. Token2049 week in Singapore - 16-22 September. https://www.asia.token2049.com/tickets 15% Dis…
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Mike Larson on Market Cycles, Fed Actions, and Gold Investment Strategies
49:00
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Ever wondered how to strategically navigate the financial market, toggling between being bold and being boring? We promise you’ll gain invaluable insights as we sit down with Mike Larson, the Editor-in-Chief and VP at Money Show. Mike shares his journey from Weiss Ratings to his current influential role, shedding light on his strategic approach to …
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Axel Merk on Market Crisis Signals, Federal Reserve Dynamics, and Gold's Strategic Role in Diverse Portfolios
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What if today's market turbulence signals the onset of another financial crisis akin to 1987, 1998, or 2008? Join me, Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, as I engage in a profound discussion with Axel Merk, an authority in the gold industry. We dissect current market conditions, compare them with past crises, and uncover the diverse pr…
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Weston Nakamura on Yen Carry Trade Risks, Japan's Currency Interventions, and Global Market Implications
54:44
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Unlock the secrets of the global margin call and understand why the yen's strength could be a critical point of failure in finance with macro researcher Weston Nakamura. In this fascinating episode, we uncover the latest developments in the yen carry trade and its ripple effects on markets like the NASDAQ and Russell 2000. Nakamura provides a deep …
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Tavi Costa on Dollar Bearishness, Mining Investment Opportunities, and AI’s Dual Inflationary Effects
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44:42
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Ever wondered how Japan's delayed rate hikes or the U.S.'s soaring interest payments relative to GDP could reshape global markets? Get ready for a deep dive with Tavi Costa from Crescat Capital as we untangle the intricate web of current macroeconomic trends. Discover why Tavi holds a bearish outlook on the dollar and what that means for fiat curre…
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Diego Parrilla on Anti-Bubble Investing, Technological Change, and Global Market Risks
59:39
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Unlock the secrets of intelligent investing with Diego Parrilla, a former commodities and macro trading expert from JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, and Merrill Lynch. Now at Quadriga in Spain, Diego introduces his innovative "anti-bubble" framework, illuminating how misperceptions in the market create undervalued opportunities. His strategy blends gold, …
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Jesse Felder on Insider Trading Insights, Market Dynamics Comparison, and Algorithmic Investing Challenges
42:52
42:52
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What if insider trading activity could reveal hidden market trends? Join us as we sit down with Jesse Felder, the brilliant mind behind The Felder Report, to uncover his remarkable transition from Bear Stearns to co-founding a hedge fund and pioneering financial blogging. Jesse shares his invaluable expertise in market analysis, emphasizing the und…
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Macro Mondays #60 - BoJ Aftermath & The Gold Trade.
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This week we take a look at the Fed meeting and how it went, the middle east turmoil, the BoJ aftermath and much more! Check out the episode on youtube to see the videos & memes we look at. Remember to check out the links below. Token2049 week in Singapore - 16-22 September. https://www.asia.token2049.com/tickets 15% Discount Code: realvision FREE …
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Mark Yusko on AI, Data Security, and the Future of Fintech
53:18
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Can Bitcoin truly be a better form of money than gold? Join us as we sit down with Mark Yusko, founder of Morgan Creek Capital Management, to unravel his transformative journey from traditional asset management to becoming a leading venture capitalist in the digital asset space. Mark opens up about his initial skepticism of Bitcoin, what led to his…
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Matt Stoller on U.S. Monopolies, Political Dynamics of Corporate Power, and Antitrust Enforcement Challenges
49:37
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What if the American economy's foundation was built on small businesses rather than colossal corporations? Discover how we shifted from a decentralized landscape in the 1970s to today's monopolistic giants with our guest, Matt Stoller, an eminent public intellectual and author on monopolies and finance. Stoller reveals the philosophical shift that …
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Jeff Booth on Technology-Driven Deflation, Bitcoin's Role in Global Markets, and Future Financial Systems
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What if the key to a more prosperous future lies in embracing deflation rather than fearing it? Join us as we sit down with Jeff Booth, technology entrepreneur and acclaimed author of "The Price of Tomorrow," to unravel the deflationary nature of technology and the transformative power of decentralized systems like Bitcoin and Nostr. Jeff provides …
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Macro Mondays #59 - Stop worrying about employment and look forward!
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We take a closer look at last weeks correction and the outlook for risk assets. Furthermore, we dive into this week's BoJ and Fed Meetings and preview the non-farm payrolls and ISM manufacturing numbers. Hear why you should stop worrying about employment figures and look forward instead! Remember to check out the links below. Token2049 week in Sing…
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Joseph Wang on Federal Reserve Politics, Rate Cut Implications, and Trump's Dollar Strategy
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Ever wondered how Federal Reserve policies are shaping the markets and economy? Join us as we welcome Joseph Wang, former senior trader at the Federal Reserve's open markets desk and author of "Central Banking 101." Joseph brings an unparalleled perspective to our discussion, shedding light on the Fed's increasing market interventions and its growi…
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Julian Brigden on Tech Market Sustainability, Small vs. Large Cap Dynamics, and Inflation Risks
44:55
44:55
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Can the tech sector sustain its dominance in a volatile market? Join us as we sit down with Julian Brigden, co-founder of MI2 Partners, to uncover the secrets behind his innovative firm that mimics the strategic morning meetings of top macro hedge funds. Julian delves into the unexpected market shifts between small and large caps, and the intricate…
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Laurent Bernut on Japan's Economic Landscape, Sector Rotation Strategies, and the Psychology of Trading
42:54
42:54
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Ever wondered how market psychology shapes investment strategies? In our latest episode, we have the pleasure of hosting Laurent Bernut, whose extensive career spans from the diplomatic halls of the French Embassy to the fast-paced realm of Japanese capital markets and hedge funds. Laurent takes us through Japan’s economic landscape, describing the…
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Macro Mondays #58 - What will Kamalanomics look like?
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Join the team talking Kamala on economics, the great rotation, the CCP plenum & much more. Remember to check out the links below. Token2049 week in Singapore - 16-22 September. https://www.asia.token2049.com/tickets 15% Discount Code: realvision FREE macro newsletter - https://stenoresearch.com/free/ Find out more at www.stenoresearch.com/subscribe…
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Cameron Dawson on Wealth Portfolio Management, Market Trends, and Alternative Investments
52:18
52:18
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Can you anticipate market trends and mitigate risks to protect your wealth? Join us as we engage with Cameron Dawson, the Chief Investment Officer of New Edge Wealth, to unlock the secrets of managing ultra-high-net-worth portfolios. Cameron sheds light on the intricacies of handling substantial assets, emphasizing the critical importance of tax se…
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Anas Alhajji on U.S. Presidential Influence on Oil Prices, Energy Market Geopolitics, and Nuclear Energy's Future
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How much influence do U.S. presidents really have on oil prices? Our latest episode promises an eye-opening discussion with Dr. Anas Alhajji, an esteemed expert in the energy sector, who unpacks this and other critical topics. Dr. Alhajji sheds light on the often-misunderstood relationship between Middle Eastern politics and oil, and how Western me…
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Jim Bianco on Sticky Inflation, Federal Reserve Politics, and Market Concentration Risks
57:16
57:16
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Could the Federal Reserve's next moves be politically driven and potentially reignite inflation? Tune in as we explore this provocative question with Jim Bianco, the president and founder of Bianco Research. Jim provides his expert analysis on the transition from a deflationary cycle to what he calls a "sticky inflation cycle," fueled by remote wor…
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Richard Duncan on the Evolution from Capitalism to Creditism, Global Credit Bubbles, and Economic Interventions
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37:08
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What if our entire understanding of capitalism is fundamentally flawed? Join us on a journey through history as we explore Richard Duncan's compelling argument that capitalism has evolved into what he terms "creditism." Starting from the collapse of the gold standard during World War I and leading through key events like the Great Depression and Wo…
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David Rosenberg's Bold Predictions on Global Markets and Economic Trends
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Curious about why David Rosenberg is shedding his "perma bear" label? Join us for an eye-opening discussion with the esteemed economist as he challenges conventional wisdom and shares his optimistic outlook on markets outside the S&P 500. David dives into the hidden opportunities in Japan, India, and the commodities sector, emphasizing the importan…
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Macro Mondays #57 - It’s a GUNG HO SUMMER!
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This week we take a look at a possible Gung-Ho summer, the Cape of Good Hope traffic jam, the german bitcoin sell-off & much more! Join us! Token2049 week in Singapore - 16-22 September. https://www.asia.token2049.com/tickets 15% Discount Code: realvision FREE macro newsletter - https://stenoresearch.com/free/ Find out more at www.stenoresearch.com…
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Market Rebellion and Options Insights with Jon Najarian
55:25
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Former Chicago Bears player turned trading guru Jon Najarian joins us to share his unique journey from the chaos of open outcry trading floors to the precision of modern digital trading. Feel the rush of the pits as Jon recounts the electrifying highs and lows, and learn why he believes female traders often have the upper hand, thanks to their caut…
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Peter Berezin on AI Stock Overvaluation, Small-Cap Struggles, and Recession Indicators
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Is the allure of AI stocks overshadowing the perilous reality of small-cap struggles? Join us in this episode as we dissect the intricate landscape of the current stock market with Peter Berezin from BCA Research. We promise an in-depth analysis of the bifurcated performance between thriving large-cap AI-driven stocks and the underperforming small-…
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Keith Weiner on How Gold Outshines Bitcoin as a Long-Term Investment
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Step into the world of precious metals with our fascinating guest, Keith Weiner, founder of Monetary Metals. Ever wondered how you can earn interest on gold, an asset traditionally seen as non-yielding? Keith reveals his journey from tech entrepreneur to economics PhD, and unpacks the innovative strategies his company uses to lend and rent gold to …
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Macro Mondays #56 - 3 recession indicators you need to watch
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Election Bonanza this week on Macro Mondays. We take a look at the UK, French & Iranian election. Furthermore, are we moving towards a Recession or not? Join us! FREE macro newsletter - https://stenoresearch.com/free/ Find out more at www.stenoresearch.com/subscribe Host: Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosenvold Find our Crypto coverage here - https://sten…
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Macro Mondays #55 - What is China doing with all it’s copper?
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This week on Macro Mondays the team touch upon China & Japan, Hawkish surprises out of “monetary canaries” & the Biden-Trump debate. Join us! Guest: Marc Myllerup of Copenhagen Merchants https://x.com/MarcMyllerup FREE macro newsletter - https://stenoresearch.com/free/ Find out more at www.stenoresearch.com/subscribe Host: Andreas Steno & Mikkel Ro…
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Understanding Collateralized Loan Obligations with Expert Shiloh Bates
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Unlock the secrets of Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) with industry expert Shiloh Bates from Flat Rock Global. Shiloh, boasting over 20 years of experience, simplifies the complexities of CLOs, comparing them to mini-banks with diversified portfolios of first lien senior secured loans. Learn about the intricate structure of CLOs, from AAA tr…
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Macro Mondays #54 - The Charts YOU NEED TO KNOW This Week
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Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back for another episode of Macro Mondays with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, Steno Research partner and head of geopolitics, to analyze U.S. construction, UK CPI numbers, and Chinese copper markets. They also dig into dollar liquidity and what recent geopolitical events mean for the econom…
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Jan Nieuwenhuijs on China's Gold Strategies: Market Impact, Myths, and Future Prospects
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Could China's gold buying strategies be reshaping the global economy? Join us as we sit down with Jan Nieuwenhuijs, a leading expert in the Chinese gold market, to unpack this fascinating question. Jan shares his unique journey from the glitz of the movie industry to the world of economics and gold analysis, offering a deep dive into China's comple…
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Ophir Gottlieb on Untangling Economic Paradoxes: Wage Inflation, Small Business Challenges, and Bitcoin Diversification
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Can Americans truly be in a recession when wage inflation surpasses overall inflation? Financial wizard Ophir Gottlieb unravels this economic paradox in our latest episode. With a background in financial mathematics, AI, and hedge fund management, Ophir lends his expertise to untangle the complexities of the post-COVID economy. From the Federal Res…
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Macro Mondays #53 - Get the Hell Outta Europe: Inflation, Elections, and Market Moves
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🔥 𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 Real Vision for FREE https://rvtv.io/3MMeRfQ. Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back for another episode of Macro Mondays with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to dig into what’s going on with the European economy. Andreas and Mikkel also cover China, geopolitics, and…
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Unlocking Value Investing Strategies with Daniel Mahncke: Behavioral Insights, Small Cap Analysis, and Portfolio Diversification
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Unlock the secrets of disciplined investing with Daniel Mahncke, a finance and economics student from Frankfurt, Germany. In this episode, Daniel shares his journey into value investing and behavioral finance, shedding light on how legendary investors Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger shaped his investment philosophy. Learn how to mitigate biases w…
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Janet Alvarez on Media Bias, Market Trends, and AI Innovations
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Curious about the behind-the-scenes world of financial journalism? Join us as we sit down with Janet Alvarez, host of SiriusXM's Business Briefing, who shares her compelling journey from print journalism to radio. Janet highlights the different skill sets required for each medium and the importance of curiosity and analytical thinking. Together, we…
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Morning Few: Michael Gayed on Unmasking Semiconductor Market Myths
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What if the impressive performance of a few semiconductor giants is masking the true health of the entire sector? Join us for an engaging conversation with Michael Gayed from The Lead-Lag Report. We'll dissect how ETFs heavily weighted by companies like NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor can create a distorted picture of industry strength. Michael wil…
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