Two amateur sports bettors take a more subjective approach to sports betting. The pros use analytics, Jeff and Mike use the eyeball test. There are plenty of podcasts to listen to the ego driven professionals mock the public and tell you how you should bet. This podcast has some fun with it and owns betting as the public.
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NFL 2024 Week 1; Why am I Pushing a Broom?
58:24
58:24
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The regular season is here! Time for Super Contest Picks. Mike and Jeff are loaded with categories for week one, including a consensus on Ugly Betty and multiple ways to get after New Jersey football. Mike isn't sure he can bring sexy back with his share-of-square, but Jeff is confident he has an exclusive fade against the Browns.…
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NFL 2024 Gambling Theory; Higher Education is Stupid
55:38
55:38
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55:38
Mike has come up with his ten commandments for betting the NFL. Jeff interjects some theories of his own as the guys offer some simple strategies for gambling. You don't need to be a disciple to gain some knowledge that will make you a better handicapper.By Jeff Anton
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NFL 2024 NFC Preview; It's a Bear Tax
1:00:11
1:00:11
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1:00:11
Mike and Jeff are deep diving the NFC. Jeff is fading the Hard Knocks hype following Chicago, while Mike is trying to figure out why their is so much love for the dirty birds in ATL. Bet on teams are in supply with the guys looking at the bottom tier teams as having the good old fashion lose but cover aspect to them.…
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NFL 2024 AFC Preview; They Do This To Me Every Year
57:16
57:16
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57:16
Mike and Jeff are breaking down the AFC. What teams are bet-on teams and which ones are fade city. Jeff uses Super Bowl odds to create a market based power ratings list of all 32 teams. The guys each have a futures bet for division winners and break down how to spot value when odds get skewed towards one perennial favorite.…
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NFL 2024 Super Contest Strategy; Radio, Tape and Newspaper
59:59
59:59
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59:59
Mike and Jeff are discussing Super Contest strategy, where players must pick 5 games, against the spread, every week of the season. To add some fun to the gamble, the guys have decided to choose categories, based on a lifetime of betting theories they have concocted over the years. Some are sharp, some are square, some are outright dumb. Enjoy!…
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NFL 2024 QB Preview; A Tenuous Grip On Their Team
57:46
57:46
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Mike and Jeff are back to rank and grade all 32 starting quarterbacks for the upcoming NFL season. Jeff believes that if you are able to properly evaluate the worth of QB's, you can handicap pro football. Get the quarterback right and get less bets wrong.By Jeff Anton
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 1: Charles McNeil
11:26
11:26
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Jeff explores the legacy of Charles K. McNeil who is credited with inventing the point spread. The episode also goes into the early turf clubs that served as the first betting parlors as well as the first line services that provided consensus odds and game information to bookies and bettors across the country.…
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 2: Bob Martin
10:49
10:49
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Jeff explores the legacy of Bob Martin, considered the best oddsmaker of all time. Long before the internet and computer models, Bob Martin set the point spreads in Las Vegas that every bookmaker would seek out before releasing their own.By Jeff Anton
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 3: Jimmy "the Greek" Snyder
9:31
9:31
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Jeff explores the legacy of Jimmy "the Greek" who became the most well known sports handicapper in the country. His notoriety led him to a spot on the NFL Today pre-game show, decades before networks and sports channels ever thought about talking point spreads as part of game analysis.By Jeff Anton
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 4: Frank "Lefty" Rosenthal
15:24
15:24
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Jeff talks about the legacy of "Lefty" Rosenthal. The U.S. government implemented numerous tactics to stop organized crime. Many of which aimed at gambling. In the 1970's when an excessive tax on sports betting in Las Vegas was greatly reduced, Lefty was at the forefront of bringing the sportsbooks inside the casinos and creating a gambling haven f…
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 5: Scotty Schettler
16:27
16:27
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Jeff is talking about the legacy of Scotty Schettler, who oversaw the sportsbook at the Stardust in the 1980's and introduced the infamous lottery. The line at the Stardust was the most sought after opening number and led to bettors doing whatever they could to get first crack at the purest point spreads in the desert.…
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 6: Roxy Roxborough
8:09
8:09
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Jeff explores the legacy of Roxy Roxborough, a highly successful bettor who provided information services to various Las Vegas sportsbooks. Roxborough was a pioneer in using computer models to fine tune point spreads and was at the forefront for today's application of analytics.By Jeff Anton
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 7: Billy Walters
11:52
11:52
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11:52
Jeff talks about the legacy of Billy Walters who is considered amongst many prevalent handicappers as the best sports bettor of all time. The episode goes into how professionals gather unique information and manipulate lines to get the best value on every point spread they bet.By Jeff Anton
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 8: Jimmy Vaccaro
14:08
14:08
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14:08
Jeff talks about the legacy of Jimmy Vaccaro. Vaccaro has been around the evolution of the point spread and derivative betting throughout his career. He has mentored and advised some of the great bookmakers of the industry today and came up under the tutelage of many legends that preceded him.By Jeff Anton
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 9: Annie Antigua
13:51
13:51
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Jeff is talking about the move offshore and the revolution created by online sportsbooks. The episode goes into the the legislation that aimed to stop the growth of sports betting in the 1990's and early 2000's and the pioneers who found a way to expand the outs for those willing to seek the best point spread digitally.…
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A History of the Point Spread; Episode 10: Steve Fezzik
11:49
11:49
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Jeff is talking about the legacy of sports bettor Steve Fezzik who is the only two time winner of the Westgate Super Contest. When it comes to handicapping contests that judge bettors ability to navigate the NFL point spread, many consider the super contest format one of the most demanding tests. The episode goes into tout services and the emergenc…
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Wrestle Mania XL; Gamblin' on Wrastlin'
1:02:03
1:02:03
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Jeff is joined by Duce, from The Happy Hour Podcast with Ariel and Duce, to talk betting on Wrestle Mania XL. Jeff is heeling off while Duce defends the mama Rhodes family. Duce tries to talk Jeff off of the Sami Zayn-bad-bet ledge, while making ladder match predictions and telling you where to get the best value on the Rollins/Lynch family, book a…
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NFL 2024 Hindsight 20/20; post Super Bowl
32:30
32:30
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Mike and Jeff made some money betting the Superbowl and also enjoyed some old man nostalgia that came with the television production.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 The Big Game; Not Bet?...Not Likely
30:31
30:31
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Full Gambling preview in 30 minutes. Dominoes has nothing on us! Mike and Jeff go through all aspects of betting strategy for the Super Bowl. Spread picks, totals, derivatives, teasers and props included.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 Hindsight 20/20; post Conference Championships
16:20
16:20
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Jeff is recapping the Conference Championship games, talking Chiefs dominance, Baltimore's no show, Detroit's collapse and the 49ers finding another way to win behind the elusive running Brock Purdy.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 Conference Championships; The Swifties Are Gonna Revolt
44:04
44:04
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Mike takes over hosting duties as Jeff is under the weather and it is straight to business. This is a meat and potatoes preview with lots of info on both the NFC and AFC title games.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 Hindsight 2020; post Divisional Round
20:29
20:29
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Jeff is breaking down the four divisional games from the weekend and how the fundamental questions heading into the games, determined the outcome. While he feels for Bills fans, demons are hard to overcome. Lamar erases all doubt about how dominant him and the Ravens are. Dan Campbell trusts his guys to win while Kyle Shanahan sees things different…
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NFL 2024 Divisional Round; A Fan of Hypothermia
52:31
52:31
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52:31
After Mike dominated the first round of the playoff game, Jeff is faking it until he makes it, with bold confidence betting some big favorites. Scared money don't make money. Jeff also explains teaser protection and the value of Wong teasers. Mike has some player props and derivatives for some games where he doesn't want to bet the side, but is fee…
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NFL 2024 Hindsight 20/20; post Wildcard Round
23:13
23:13
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23:13
Jeff goes over all of the action from Super Wild Card Weekend including meltdowns in Dallas and pathetic efforts from Philadelphia. Teams with foundation and execution ruled the day as the contenders for the divisional round separated from the frauds.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 Wildcard Round; Time to Play the Game
1:05:51
1:05:51
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Mike and Jeff discuss bankroll management heading into the playoffs. What to do if you've gone broke and what to do if you are flush with cash. Then it's time for Jeff's playoff game. Find a friend and play at home! All six wildcard games are broken down along with some thought on who can make playoff runs.…
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Mike made the cash in his individual Super Contest! Congratulations.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 Week 18; Who Wins in the Not Good Bowl
1:05:11
1:05:11
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Many think the final week of the season is the hardest week to bet. Mike and Jeff are delving into week 18 specific strategies for how to attack the market. All of the playoff scenarios, all of the resting players and all of the checked out teams making tee times are discussed. Mike also gives his thoughts on the final week of his super contest ent…
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Mike and Jeff are off back-to back winning weeks heading into the final week of the regular season. While the entry is far from the cash, the current 57% win rate is worth playing out. Jeff talks about evaluating your edge percentage to determine whether or not a bet is worth increasing. Spoiler Alert! He doesn't know.…
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Mike and Jeff are coming off of their best week in the Super Contest at 4-0-1. Mike stole all the thunder, however, by going 5-0 and printing money with his cash bets. The guys have to sift through the deep tracks for picks as their is staunch disagreement on multiple categories. The card is filled with an ugly betty, a wagon circle, a share-of-squ…
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The week went well, as the guys best Super Contest entry of the year went 4-0-1 and was not even the highlight, as Mike ventures closer to the money in his individual entry. Jeff got back on the winning side of the ledger, but fear kept him off winners that should have been in his portfolio.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2023 Week 16; It's Christmas, Rudolph Might Play Well
1:32:34
1:32:34
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1:32:34
Jeff opens with an apology for a drunken drone version of last week's hindsight 20/20. To make up for it, he offers invaluable information on how not to place losing bets, in four specific situations. No winners here folks, only not losers... sometimes. This conversation has a lot of insight into betting systems and power ratings. Mike then talks a…
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NCAA Playoff Football; Jobbing out to Georgia
1:19:11
1:19:11
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Jeff his itching to bet some student athlete football this holiday season, so is turning to his resident expert, Duce, from The Happy Hour Podcast with Ariel and Duce. The picks and the expletives are flying as Jeff and Duce discuss the big playoff games, FSU, CM Punk and the Pin Stripe Bowl. Duce closes the show with a plethora of picks as he play…
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Things continue to go poorly as Jeff reverts back to the same losing investment strategies that have cost him money year after year. This is a short and to the point review of a bunch of to be expected, lousy picks.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are back to basics putting together five games for their NFL Super Contest entry. Last week was a soul crushing 1-3-1 that all but eliminated them from squid game. Jeff closes by asking Mike how he bets with such discipline; a trait that escapes Jeff multiple times per year.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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It's time for the annual, Jeff suffers financial ruin and gives up on life because the gambling god's have decided to smite him with guaranteed losers if he shows an ounce of confidence placing his bets, show. Enjoy!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are coming off of back-to-back 4-1 weeks in the Super Contest. Finding themselves close to the money, the contest strategy is in full focus along with some deep, two sided arguments for half of the games this Sunday. If you are into betting on some of the intangibles along with studying the line moves, this one is packed with good ins…
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Mike and Jeff are 3-1 heading into Monday Night Football. Jeff talks about liking the Bengals simply because no one else does. He mentions Seattle not being liked by the officials, while the Patriots aren't liked by the general concept of the forward pass. Arizona was a hard bet to make, which made it the right pick and Detroit soured enough people…
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Forget the picks. This one is a must listen for contest strategy and picking spots to play or fade teams. The guys also get into what causes line moves including media speculation and sharp money plays. Jeff gives his prop bet of the year and talks about getting after a game when you are scared to play the point spread. This one is jam packed with …
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Celebrate rarely. A quick ten minutes on Mike and Jeff's return into the winning column as the guys went 4-1 in week 12 of the Super Contest.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are full steam ahead after their 5-10 collapse over the last three weeks of the Super Contest. Jeff is concerned Devito has celebrated with too much fist pumping and can't get the image out of his head of Cleveland crushing Russell Wilson while he does high knees. Mike is ready to get square with Lamar in primetime and thinks Cincinna…
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NFL Thursday/Friday Slate; Turkey Coma Game
31:10
31:10
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Mike and Jeff Give their opinions on Lions/Packers, including thoughts on totals and some totals game theory when it comes to point spreads. They talk about not denying how dominate teams like Dallas and San Francisco can be and close with some Jets talk so Mike can relive the nightmares of the season. Happy Thanksgiving Everyone!…
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One word... disaster!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2023 Week 11; Take the Stogies to South Beach
53:22
53:22
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53:22
Mike and Jeff are in bounce back mode after back-to-back losing weeks. After discussing the importance of good jibber jabber, the guys jump into chain-of-custody, only to let the perp walk later in the show. The prime-time fade is heading to South Beach while ugly Betty is going to title town. Mike is lending his feel for the Cowboys to the divisio…
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Oh No! Back to back losing weeks for Jeff and Mike following a 2-3 Sunday. Jeff is staying pragmatic, however, looking at the guy's system as close to functioning for a run. Jeff proclaims to give the best gambling advice he can based on how to spot a loser. He may just be an expert here!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike is home this week with a case of the J-E-T-S Dilirium. Betty has a face off between ugly and scary amongst the Browns and Broncos (you choose which is which). Mike must choose what defense will best the other in Jeff's Wacky Weather goes to Florida category. Ultimate decisions from both and Jeff's Circle the Wagon's game goes north of the Oreg…
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Jeff and Mike had a losing week, going 2 - 3 in the Super Contest. Jeff talks about the discipline required to play systems and trends without hesitation and how going off script cost them a winning week. Two really quality wins this week as the handicaps were spot on with the actual game flow. Three other games... not so much.…
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NFL 2023 Week 9; As a Fan I Hope Your Right
1:07:25
1:07:25
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Mike and Jeff are back on track in the Contest after a 3-2 week. This show is jam packed with trends, handicapping lessons and wacky narratives. The guys must narrow down through all the trash to find the premier garbage to play.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are trying to bounce back from a losing week and it all rests on the Lions Monday night in Motown. Jeff talks caution when it comes to using power ratings and betting with negative emotions. The guys nailed the Panthers game and continue get nailed by the Packers. Lastly, Jeff advices people to understand why lines that move in your f…
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NFL 2023 Week 8; I'm Still Seeing Ghosts
1:01:49
1:01:49
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Mike and Jeff are coming off of a losing week in the Super Contest. It's time to grind and get back to finding winners. Lot's of betting trends are discussed to help along the way. Chain of Custody goes to big D and Ugly Betty is visiting the last winless team. A trap lurks on the frozen tundra while ghosts are afoot in San Francisco. The picks clo…
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Jeff is owning up to his and Mike's losing week after finishing 2-3 in the Super Contest. After reviewing the games, Jeff deconstructs Shane Steichen's masterclass in how to eliminate winning from a gameplan.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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