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Moody's Talks - Focus on Finance

Moody's Investors Service, Ana Arsov, Danielle Reed, Mark Wasden, Bruno Baretta, Donald Robertson

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Hosted by Danielle Reed of Moody's Financial Institutions team, Focus on Finance helps you keep on top of developments within the banking, insurance and asset management sectors — from the impact of tech disrupters and cyber risk to the ongoing effects of ESG and lower-for-longer interest rates. Published by Moody's Investors Service.
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Moody's Talks - Muniland

Moody's Investors Service

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Hosted by Nick Samuels of the US Public Finance team, Muniland delves into the latest developments impacting the credit environment for states, local governments, healthcare, higher education and more. In each episode, Moody’s analysts join Nick in exploring the ramifications of the pandemic, climate change, cyber risk, federal policy, pension burdens and other deep-seated challenges.
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On Moody’s Talks - Behind the Bonds, hosts Tania Hall and Jeff Pruzan join analysts from Moody’s corporate finance group worldwide to discuss the market forces shaping credit across industries - from airlines to telecoms and everything in between. These forces include the uneven recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, digital transformation, cyber risk, climate-change imperatives and much more. Please join us as we connect the dots on corporate credit quality.
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Yuval Rooz, CEO of Digital Asset, shares his thoughts on the present and future use cases of blockchain technology at global financial institutions. Speakers: Cristiano Ventricelli, VP – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Yuval Rooz, CEO, Digital Asset Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Ratings…
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The creation of a coalition government following 29 May elections will likely support broad policy continuity and reforms, but the risk of government instability and ineffectiveness is significant. Guest: Aurelien Mali, Vice President-Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Cre…
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We discuss how differences in regional regulatory regimes and market structures affect life insurers’ allocations to private credit investments, and lay out those investments’ benefits and risks. Speakers: Benjamin Serra, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Ratings; Will Keen-Tomlinson, VP-Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior…
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The pharmaceutical market has exploded in recent years with the rise of new drugs to help treat obesity and diabetes. The shift marks a huge opportunity for the pharmaceutical sector, which is pursuing the diabetes and obesity markets with four blockbuster drugs today: Ozempic and Wegovy from Novo Nordisk, and Mounjaro and Zepbound from Eli Lilly. …
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Spending cuts of $25 billion will ease the deficit, though out-migration of high earners remains a drag on revenue. K-12 education will avoid significant cuts, but is vulnerable if the economy slows. Guests: Matt Butler, VP-Sr Credit Officer - Moody’s Ratings; Helen Cregger, VP-Sr Credit Officer ­- Moody’s Ratings Host: Nick Samuels, Senior Vice Pr…
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Moody’s Ratings experts discuss the fragile recovery and new threats in EMs, including macro conditions, default trends, credit risks for sovereigns and corporates, and bright spots. Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Fragile recovery in EM credit conditions will continue Emerging Markets – Global: …
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Moody’s Ratings analysts explain why Japan’s regional banks are vulnerable to yield-curve steepening and predict strong loan growth, and higher funding costs, for India’s non-bank finance companies. Speakers: Kensuke Ogawa, Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; C.J. Wong, AVP- Analyst, Moody’s Ratings Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s R…
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As the regulatory environment continues to evolve, US and European banks have sought regulatory capital relief by offloading the credit risk of loans they make via special types of transactions. Guests: Warren Kornfeld, Senior Vice President at Moody's Ratings; Nick Monzillo, VP-Senior Analyst at Moody's Ratings; Frank Cerveny, VP-Senior Research A…
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We talk to Joe Lyons of Bitsight about the growing risk from deepfakes in the age of GenAI. Speakers: Joe Lyons, VP, Cyber Risk & Ratings Research, Bitsight; Abhi Srivastava, AVP-Analyst, Moody’s Ratings Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Digital Economy – Cross Region: GenAI-powered deepfakes introd…
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Join Scott Phillips, head of EM at Moody’s Ratings, and Maciej Woznica, portfolio manager at asset management firm Coeli, for a tour of the least-developed emerging markets. Guest: Maciej Woznica, Portfolio Manager, Coeli Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Gradual recovery in emerging market credit …
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Shortening the settlement cycle is a complex undertaking for a clearing house and its members, but once the transition is complete, it will reduce counterparty risk. Speakers: Peter Nerby, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Ratings Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Exchanges & Clearing Houses – North Am…
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The commodities sector isn’t looking rosy and that is largely due to the outsize influence of China, which is currently in the grip of an economic slowdown. These pressures come on top of geopolitical damage to trade and supply chains, and the energy transition which is increasing global appetite for some commodities and eroding it for others. Our …
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Alternative asset managers seek removal of barriers to private markets for individual investors. Regulators are supportive but also wary of potential dangers. Speakers: Alexandra Aspioti, VP-Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: As individual investors drive growth in pri…
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The default rate will decline to 3.3% by the end of Q1 2025, far below the peak of nearly 15% at the end of 2022 which was driven by the Russia-Ukraine war and China’s property market woes. Guest: Yang Liu, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Moody's Ratings Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Corporate…
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As climate issues mount, residents face escalating property insurance costs and, in some cases, difficulty obtaining coverage at all, which threatens to hurt the economy and curtail tax collections. Guests: Bola Kushimo, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings and Denise Rappmund, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings Hos…
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Companies have responded to weather-related losses and higher reconstruction costs with sharp increases in premiums and tighter policy terms, and some have exited high-risk regions. Speakers: Evelyn Ocas Salazar, AVP Analyst, Moody’s Ratings Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Property & Casualty Insu…
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Moody’s analysts discuss the increased risk for sovereigns from escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict, and then shift to the growing demand for Islamic finance. Guests: Christian Fang, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings; Badis Shubailat, Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Financial Institutions Group, Moody’s R…
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Anthony Moro, CEO of Provenance Blockchain Foundation, joins us to talk about the technology and infrastructure developments shaping the future of financial asset tokenization. Speakers: Rajeev Bamra, SVP and Head of Strategy, Moody’s Ratings; Anthony Moro, CEO, Provenance Blockchain Foundation Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research Writer, Mood…
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Moody’s analysts explore green finance, discussing greenwashing risk, the EU green loan market, and how clear standards and rules – and blockchain technology – could play a positive role. Speakers: Michael Dion, VP – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Alberto Postigo, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings; Abhi Srivastava, AVP Analyst, Moody’s …
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The outlook for the global real estate market remains negative with the bumpy economy, tight financing conditions and the surge in remote work. In the US, we expect rental income growth for offices to remain poor overall and apartment income growth to moderate this year with supply up, mostly in parts of the Sunbelt. Globally, Japan is a bright spo…
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Growth will slow in 2024 then stabilize in 2025 in most emerging markets. We have raised our forecasts for Asia, Central-Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa but lowered them for Latin America. Host: Scott Phillips, Head of Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings…
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Local governments face a loss of economic vitality and tax revenue as the working-age population declines. Meanwhile, a tighter labor supply remains a chronic issue for the hospital sector. Guests: Frank Mamo, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings and Dan Steingart, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings Host: Nick Samue…
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Basel 3.1 reforms will lead banks to apply high haircuts to unsustainably high property values and adjust mortgage risk weights to better differentiate between low-risk and high-risk loans. Speakers: Alexander Zeidler, VP-Sr Credit Officer at Moody's Ratings; Guillaume Lucien-Baugas, VP-Senior Analyst at Moody's Ratings Hosts: Aaron Johnson, VP-Sen…
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As cyberattacks rise and AI poses new dangers, Moody’s analysts discuss banks’ own views of their cybersecurity defenses and explain the EU’s plan to rein in risks from third-party tech providers. Speakers: Lucas Viegas, VP-Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Brandon O’Halloran, AVP-Analyst, Moody’s Ratings Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research Wr…
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It will take time and effort for sectors like tech and EVs to drive China’s GDP growth, and geopolitics is a risk. But emerging markets supplying relevant goods and services to China stand to benefit. Guest: Gong Cheng, Managing Director - Credit Strategy, Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings…
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Our 2024 Banking System Outlooks show more European systems joining the US on negative as economies slow and loan performance weakens. China stays negative, while India is positive. Speakers: Warren Kornfeld, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Ratings; Effie Tsotsani, VP-Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Juwon Lee, VP-Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings Hos…
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Swedish lender Klarna’s AI assistant is driving material credit improvement this year. In the US, disclosures from Wells Fargo point to what’s ahead for banks’ commercial real estate loan performance. Speakers: Stephen Tu, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings; Allen Tischler, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Ratings Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Sen…
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In our opening segment, we discuss the slight slowdown in global market share growth for battery electric vehicles (BEVs) as some incentives to buy have ended, yet prices remain high. A scarcity of charging stations in Europe and the US also remains a deterrent for consumers. Our second segment, which starts at 9:40, focuses on the charging shortag…
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China’s 2024 policy priorities and influence across Asia, the state of European consumers, Romania’s fiscal deficit, Argentina’s economy and Ecuador’s state of emergency are among the top stories. Guests: Lillian Li, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings; Ruosha Li, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Ariane Ortiz-Bo…
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As water shortages threaten to curb economic growth, governments in many parts of the country are stepping up investment in water management and conservation. Guests: Sunny Zhu, AVP – Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Maddie Atkins, Analyst ­- Moody’s Ratings Host: Nick Samuels, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Ratings Related content on Moodys.com (may only…
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Over the next several years private credit in Europe will grow, largely because of companies’ substantial refinancing needs. But banks are already fighting to gain back market share. Speakers: Guillaume Lucien-Baugas, VP-Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Jeanine Arnold, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Ratings Host: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Research…
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Positive developments include strong GDP growth in Côte d’Ivoire and Senegal, a lifting of sanctions on Niger, and a few countries tapping international bond markets so far this year. Speaker: Mickaël Gondrand, Assistant Vice President-Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Emergi…
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We discuss the severe thunderstorms' rising insured costs. Plus: Earnings weakness in the Medicare Advantage business and US commercial real estate exposure of German banks. Speakers: Bernhard Held, VP-Sr Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Dean Ungar, VP-Sr Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Evelyn Ocas Salazar, AVP-Analyst, Moody’s…
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These instruments provide flexibility on debt-service payments and can help bridge differences in restructuring talks. Protracted talks delay critical structural reforms and increase default risk. Guest: David Rogovic, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Di…
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Artificial Intelligence or AI is predicted to have a profound impact on many areas of business. In this episode of Behind the Bonds we assess where AI innovation is already showing significant potential. Which industries can expect to see improved productivity and what are the potential timelines for any positive impact on credit quality? We also d…
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Suspension of commercial shipping in the Suez Canal and reduced activity in the drought-afflicted Panama Canal have the potential to reduce revenue at key US ports. Guest: Moses Kopmar, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Nick Samuels, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Investors Service Related content on Moodys.com (may o…
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Steve Tu, Farooq Khan and Petr Paklin of Moody's, with Joe Lyons of Bitsight, on how AI will change banks; On Fast Finance, we discuss Evergrande's liquidation and upcoming FHLBank reforms. Speakers: David Yin, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Allen Tischler, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Investors Service; Stephen Tu, VP – S…
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Recent interest rate cuts in Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Hungary are among the signs that EM financial conditions are improving. The primary market for EM bond issuance is likely to remain strong. Hosts: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets at Moody's Investors Service; Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets at Moody's …
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Cristiano Ventricelli explains how recent improvements to digital finance systems could help them gain scale. Plus, we discuss BlackRock’s recent acquisition and the SEC’s approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Speakers: Abhi Srivastava, AVP – Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service; Neal Epstein, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Cristiano V…
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Conditions are more stable for sovereigns, banks and companies in the Gulf Cooperation Council region than in North Africa and Levant. An escalation of the Israel-Hamas military conflict is main risk. Speakers: Christian Fang, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group at Moody’s Investors Service; Badis Shubailat, Assistant Vice Preside…
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Our global outlook for the sector remains negative for 2024, but the picture for non-bank finance companies is more varied than a year ago, with easing conditions in some markets and businesses. Speakers: Bruno Baretta, AVP – Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Michael Porta, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Investors Service…
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In 2024 we see an uneven picture for companies across the globe. For those in North America and Asia-Pacific, excluding China, the credit outlook is stable. But in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and Latin America the outlook is negative. Driving this testing global environment are higher for longer interest rates which are raising the cost of …
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Pension liabilities for large local governments are falling because of higher interest rates. This dynamic — and greater contributions —bodes well for credit quality, though investment risk lingers. Guest: Tom Aaron, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Nick Samuels, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Investors Servic…
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Weak results in personal lines drive the negative outlook for property and casualty insurance, while life insurance benefits from higher interest rates. Speakers: Bruce Ballentine, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Christian Badorff, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service Hosts: Danielle Reed, VP – Senior Researc…
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Redefault risk in Argentina, general elections in South Africa, financial conditions and debt affordability in Egypt, monetary policy in Turkiye and economic growth in China are top stories this year. Speaker: Marie Diron, Managing Director - Global Sovereign Risk - Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerg…
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James Eck and Brandan Holmes explain how rising physical climate-related claims complicate insurers' risk management; Olivier Panis discusses benefits for banks of enhanced climate change reporting. Speakers: Olivier Panis, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Investors Service; James Eck, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Brandan Holm…
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While pandemic pain lingers, our higher education outlook has improved to stable from negative as revenue grows, margins steady and balance sheets remain generally healthy. Guest: Chris Collins, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Nick Samuels, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Investors Service Related content on Moodys.c…
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This year has been a very weak one for leveraged finance deals as aggressive global monetary tightening hit markets. In this episode we explain why we see a gradual improvement in 2024, with refinancings driving new issuance in the US and EMEA. Guests: Chris Padgett, Associate Managing Director of North America Leveraged Finance Research and Jeanin…
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The boost banks have enjoyed for the last two years will start to fade as high rates translate into higher funding costs and lower growth. But the outlook for banks is not so gloomy everywhere. Speaker: Felipe Carvallo, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Erin McDermott, AVP – Research Writer, Moody’s Investors Service…
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Carbon transition, adaptation to climate change and climate finance – core topics at COP28 – are crucial for EMs because of their exposure to environmental risks and limited capacity to respond. Speakers: Rebecca Karnovitz, VP-SCO – ESG Research & Outreach at Moody’s Investors Service; Matt Kuchtyak, VP-Sustainable Finance at Moody’s Investors Serv…
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