Best The Lance Roberts Show Podcasts (2024)

1
Rough Week For Stocks As Credit Spreads Issue Warning | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart 2:00:42

1h ago2:00:42

2:00:42

Well, portfolio manager Lance Roberts has been warning for a while now that stocks were materially overbought and due for a 5%+ correction. And it looks like that started this week, with the S&P selling off 3% over the past 3 trading days.Interestingly, it began with a massive flow of capital into small cap stocks, though that moderated a bit as th…

1
Frances Tanzer, "Vanishing Vienna: Modernism, Philosemitism, and Jews in a Postwar City" (U Pennsylvania Press, 2024) 1:07:58

2h ago1:07:58

1:07:58

In Vanishing Vienna: Modernism, Philosemitism, and Jews in a Postwar City (U Pennsylvania Press, 2024) historian Frances Tanzer traces the reconstruction of Viennese culture from the 1938 German annexation through the early 1960s. The book reveals continuity in Vienna's cultural history across this period and a framework for interpreting Viennese c…

1
7-19-24 Has the Economy Put Your Retirement Plans on Hold? 46:11

3h ago46:11

46:11

Richard Rosso opines on Houston driver, CrowdStrike IT fail, and why he's changed his tune in thinking now might be a good time for the Fed to slip in a rate cut. Does the Fed have performance anxiety? Take care in benchmarking risk; market pullbacks are like a "Thanksgiving Oven," keeping things warm to use later. Study shows Gen-X'ers more likely…

1
7-19-24 Has the Economy Put Your Retirement Plans on Hold? 46:10

5h ago46:10

46:10

Richard Rosso opines on Houston driver, CrowdStrike IT fail, and why he's changed his tune in thinking now might be a good time for the Fed to slip in a rate cut. Does the Fed have performance anxiety? Take care in benchmarking risk; market pullbacks are like a "Thanksgiving Oven," keeping things warm to use later. Study shows Gen-X'ers more likely…

1
7-18-24 Irrational Exuberance Then & Now 46:08

2h ago46:08

46:08

ey, kids--what day is it? Lance reorients himself and shares foreigners' perspectives of the U.S. Advice: Avoid the negativity and don't feed the fear. Looking at astronomical rotation from Large- to Small-cap stocks over the past five days: Russell 2000 is elevated by 4.4 standard deviations from its moving average. Markets needed a healthty rotat…

1
7-18-24 Irrational Exuberance Then & Now 46:07

1h ago46:07

46:07

Hey, kids--what day is it? Lance reorients himself and shares foreigners' perspectives of the U.S. Advice: Avoid the negativity and don't feed the fear. Looking at astronomical rotation from Large- to Small-cap stocks over the past five days: Russell 2000 is elevated by 4.4 standard deviations from its moving average. Markets needed a healthy rotat…

1
Michael Green: The Stock Market Is Now A Giant Ponzi Scheme 1:08:15

1h ago1:08:15

1:08:15

There is a mechanical force that pushes asset prices higher as capital flows passively into the market every month.As more money flows in, it must be used to purchase assets, at whatever current price they're trading at. That valuation-insensitive purchasing results in higher and higher prices.Today's guest refers to this current system as the "gia…

1
7-18-24 Astronomical Rotation from Large to Small Cap 4:07

1h ago4:07

4:07

The rotation from large-cap to small-caps continue for the largest such moves we've ever seen. The Russell 2000 is now over four standard deviations from its moving average. "Astronomical" comes to mind...and headlines are screaming, "is this the end of the great AI chase?" The reality is that we've simply had a rotation in the market, and a bit of…

1
7-17-24 Avoiding the Sexy Stock Plays 45:52

36m ago45:52

45:52

ay-3 of the RNC convention: Markets are already beginning to shift in anticipation of a presumed presidency and policies, with an eye on taxation and monetary policy. Donald Trump has said he will allow Jerome Powell to finish his term as Fed Chair, with Jamnie Dimon as Treasury Secretary. Meanwhile, we're watching major moves in the Russell 2000 w…

1
7-17-24 Avoiding The Sexy Stock Plays 45:51

2h ago45:51

45:51

ay-3 of the RNC convention: Markets are already beginning to shift in anticipation of a presumed presidency and policies, with an eye on taxation and monetary policy. Donald Trump has said he will allow Jerome Powell to finish his term as Fed Chair, with Jamnie Dimon as Treasury Secretary. Meanwhile, we're watching major moves in the Russell 2000 w…

1
7-17-24 The Rotation Continues 3:47

1h ago3:47

3:47

Futures are pointing sharply downward this morning: After grinding ever higher for the past few days, it's inevitable to have a correction at some point. Not saying that's happening today, necessarily, but...markets are highly deviated and overbought. We need a pullback. S&P 5,510 is a potential test of the 20-DMA, so a day or two of correction is …

1
Yaakov Beasley, "Joel, Obadiah, and Micah: Facing the Storm" (Maggid, 2024) 40:02

15m ago40:02

40:02

Joel, Obadiah, and Micah all prophesied not after a calamity struck but right before a potential crisis or during the crisis itself. Facing immanent catastrophe, the Jewish people had to decide where their loyalties lay. Join us as we speak with Rav Yaakov Beasley about his book Joel, Obadiah, and Micah: Facing the Storm (Maggid, 2024). He draws fr…

1
7-16-24 Relationship Between Fed Rate Cuts and Treasury Yields Explained 46:04

4h ago46:04

46:04

Lance Roberts begins with an earnings and economic reports preview; there is now a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates sooner than later, and odds-makers now expecte three rate cuts. Small- and Mid-cap stocks are now three standard deviations above their averages; might be time to take profits. Lance explains the correlation between Fed funds rate …

1
7-16-24 Relationship Between Fed Rate Cuts And Treasury Yields Explained 46:03

3d ago46:03

46:03

Lance Roberts begins with an earnings and economic reports preview; there is now a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates sooner than later, and odds-makers now expecte three rate cuts. Small- and Mid-cap stocks are now three standard deviations above their averages; might be time to take profits. Lance explains the correlation between Fed funds rate …

1
What If A Coming Recession & Bear Market Are The LEAST Of Our Worries? | John Rubino 1:34:33

1h ago1:34:33

1:34:33

History is full of examples where nations resorted to taking on ever-increasing amounts of debt to maintain a positive economic growth rate.But it never works out well for those who do. Most often, they end up sacrificing the purchasing power of their currencies in the process.Many analysts are now raising such concerns about the fast growing natio…

1
7-16-24 Time to Take Profits? 4:02

4d ago4:02

4:02

Small- and Mid-cap stocks have been in the news, outperforming the large caps over the past few days by a few large degree. There's a nice buy-signal on mid-caps, which are extremely overbought by three standard-deviations above the moving average. This generally doesn't last for long. Recall how we've discussed the performance of large-caps of lat…

1
Yosefa Raz, "The Poetics of Prophecy: Modern Afterlives of a Biblical Tradition" (Cambridge UP, 2023) 1:15:56

1d ago1:15:56

1:15:56

Since the mid-1700s, poets and scholars have been deeply entangled in the project of reinventing prophecy. Moving between literary and biblical studies, Yosefa Raz's book The Poetics of Prophecy: Modern Afterlives of a Biblical Tradition (Cambridge UP, 2023) reveals how Romantic poetry is linked to modern biblical scholarship's development. On the …

1
Rebecca Scharbach Wollenberg, "The Abrahamic Vernacular" (Cambridge UP, 2024) 49:23

19m ago49:23

49:23

Contemporary thought typically places a strong emphasis on the exclusive and competitive nature of Abrahamic monotheisms. This instinct is certainly borne out by the histories of religious wars, theological polemic, and social exclusion involving Jews, Christians, and Muslims. But there is also another side to the Abrahamic coin. Even in the midst …

1
7-15-24 The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism 46:14

22m ago46:14

46:14

That was the week that was: Hurricane Beryl, celebrity deaths, Trump assassination attempt, & Lance's Vacation. PPI show inflation trending downward, setting up for a Fed rate cut: July or September? Investor sentiment remains positive as markets continue to grind higher; investor eschew put-options, which are very cheap now...just like this time, …

1
7-15-24 The Broken Clock Fallacy & Art Of Contrarianism 46:13

14h ago46:13

46:13

That was the week that was: Hurricane Beryl, celebrity deaths, Trump assassination attempt, & Lance's Vacation. PPI show inflation trending downward, setting up for a Fed rate cut: July or September? Investor sentiment remains positive as markets continue to grind higher; investor eschew put-options, which are very cheap now...just like this time, …

1
7-15-24 Markets Are Back on a Buy Signal | Before the Bell 3:52

2h ago3:52

3:52

Markets are back on a buy-signal, but still over-bought. This is something we saw this time last year, with markets moving higher, everything just fine...but eventually, markets corrected. What happens when there are no more buyers? Sellers must liquidate at a much lower price, and markets go through a correctional phase at that point. The only que…

1
Jonathan Marc Gribetz, "Reading Herzl in Beirut: The PLO Effort to Know the Enemy" (Princeton UP, 2024) 28:08

1h ago28:08

28:08

How the Palestine Liberation Organization Research Center informed the PLO's relationship to Zionism and Israel In September 1982, the Israeli military invaded West Beirut and Israel-allied Lebanese militiamen massacred Palestinians in the Sabra and Shatila refugee camps. Meanwhile, Israeli forces also raided the Palestine Liberation Organization R…

1
Michael Pento: Stocks "Running On Fumes", Risk Of A 30-80% Crash 1:40:32

3h ago1:40:32

1:40:32

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testified in front of Congress this week to defend his current monetary policy.While we don't have the results of that testimony as of the time of this recording, Powell has recently stated that he is now seeing the kind of disinflationary path for the US economy that he's wanted to. This of course has Wall Stree…

1
Fed Fears Too-High Rates Are Starting To Crush The Economy | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart 1:18:28

13h ago1:18:28

1:18:28

Yes, Federal Reserve Jerome Powell is hoping he can cut rates soon.But it's less because he's proud he's won the inflation battle. It's more because he's afraid the Lag Effect from his "higher for longer" interest rates are starting to visibly damage the economy.Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz stands in for Lance Roberts this week to talk about …

1
David Joseph, "Burgenland: Village Secrets and the First Tremors of the Holocaust" (Amberley, 2023) 1:13:54

1d ago1:13:54

1:13:54

When Hitler marched into Austria in March 1938, he was given a rapturous reception. Millions lined the streets and filled the squares of Vienna. Tobias Portschy, a self-appointed regional Nazi chief, considered what to give the Fuhrer for his birthday, and devised a particular gift from the Austrian people: the elimination of Jewish life in the Bur…

1
"It Will Feel Like A Recession" When Unemployment Hits 4.5% By Year-End | Bloomberg's Anna Wong 1:07:41

2d ago1:07:41

1:07:41

The US economy appears to be slowing down. Final Q1 GDP growth came in at just 1.4% and, as of this recording, Q2 GDP is currently estimated to be little better, at 1.5%.Retail sales for May, the most recent data we have, only grew at 0.1%.And unemployment is starting to tick up, too, rising last week to 4.1%.Now, none of these stats are particular…

1
Luke Gromen: Expect Market Turbulence Ahead Due To Tightening Dollar Liquidity 1:04:05

4d ago1:04:05

1:04:05

Former Vice President Dick Cheney famously said "Reagan proved that deficits don't matter"True or not, running greater and greater federal budget deficits has become standard operating procedure for Washington DC.When Cheney uttered those words, the annual deficit was in the low hundreds of billions. It's projected to be $2 trillion this year.At th…

1
Rachel Z. Feldman, "Messianic Zionism in the Digital Age: Jews, Noahides, and the Third Temple Imaginary" (Rutgers UP, 2024) 1:05:28

4d ago1:05:28

1:05:28

Judaism in the twenty-first century has seen the rise of the messianic Third Temple movement, as religious activists based in Israel have worked to realize biblical prophecies, including the restoration of a Jewish theocracy and the construction of the third and final Temple on Jerusalem’s Temple Mount. Through groundbreaking ethnographic research,…

1
Robert E. Jones, "Priesthood, Cult, and Temple in the Aramaic Scrolls from Qumran: Analyzing a Pre-Hasmonean Jewish Literary Tradition" (Brill, 2023) 52:19

5d ago52:19

52:19

The Hellenistic period was a pivotal moment in the history of the Jewish priesthood. The waning days of the Persian empire coincided with the continued ascendance of the high priest and Jerusalem temple as powerful political, cultural, and religious institutions in Judea. The Aramaic Scrolls from Qumran, only recently published in full, testify to …

1
Tap Into The Same Advantage That Hedge Funds Do | Andrew Beer 51:39

6d ago51:39

51:39

When I graduated from Stanford Business School 25 years ago, a classmate announced he was going to work for a hedge fund and the rest of us asked "What's that?"Fast forward two and a half decades and the financial markets are practically overrun by hedge funds collectively managing over $5 trillion dollars.And while certain hedge fund managers have…

1
Jonathan Judaken, "Critical Theories of Anti-Semitism" (Columbia UP, 2024) 1:16:29

6d ago1:16:29

1:16:29

Despite its persistence and viciousness, anti-Semitism remains undertheorized in comparison with other forms of racism and discrimination. How should anti-Semitism be defined? What are its underlying causes? Why do anti-Semites target Jews? In what ways has Judeophobia changed over time? What are the continuities and disconnects between mediaeval a…

1
"Massive Deviation" Between The Markets & The Economy | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart 1:50:59

7d ago1:50:59

1:50:59

There is a massive deviation between stock valuations and earnings growth: growth in the former is far outpacing the latter.This is unsustainable warns portfolio manager Lance Roberts.And unless economic growth suddenly surges (and no catalyst for that is on the radar), then asset prices will need to come down in order to bring the ratio back into …

1
Chris Whalen: The Economy's At A Tipping Point 56:30

9d ago56:30

56:30

Today's guest wrote the book "Inflated: How Money & Debt Built The American Dream"In it, he wrote: "The first rule of any fiat system is no fiscal deficit"Well, the US -- and virtually every other G7 country -- is breaking that rule six ways to Sunday given the unprecedented record levels of deficit spending currently underway.Does that mean we're …

1
7-3-24 Why Berkshire Hathaway's 100-Year Strategy Won't Work for You 45:28

13d ago45:28

45:28

The saga of the Roberts' Rental house concludes, at the cost of a coffee maker and other electrical appliances. How much will it cost to feed your hoard on July 4th? Market Commentary: light volume expected for the remainder of the holiday-shortened week. Adam Taggart, Jon Huntsman analysis: Symptoms vs reality. The importance of doing your own due…

1
7-3-24 The 100 - Year Strategy For Berkshire Hathaway 45:27

16d ago45:27

45:27

The saga of the Roberts' Rental house concludes, at the cost of a coffee maker and other electrical appliances. How much will it cost to feed your hoard on July 4th? Market Commentary: light volume expected for the remainder of the holiday-shortened week. Adam Taggart, Jon Huntsman analysis: Symptoms vs reality. The importance of doing your own due…

1
7-3-24 Market Movers Before the 4th 4:22

13d ago4:22

4:22

Everything is tenuous in a holiday-shortened week (markets are closed July 4th, and open only a half day on the 5th). While the S&P DID hit a new, all-time high of 5,500 on Tuesday, you can't really tell. Marginal highs are no big deal while markets remain entrenched in a consolidation range. Markets may be up a little today, but it will be on ligh…

1
7-2-24 How To Beat Earnings Estimates 46:13

17d ago46:13

46:13

Lance previews Q2 GDP estimates: The lag effect is showing up in GDP Estimate revisions, as the economy slows. The difference betweeen Inflation vs Deflation: The rate of change is slowing, but prices are remaining high. Commentary on interest rate behavior at end of Quarter; quarter-end rebalancing and dividend payments. The next chapter in the sa…

1
7-2-24 How to Beat Earnings Estimates 46:14

18d ago46:14

46:14

Lance previews Q2 GDP estimates: The lag effect is showing up in GDP Estimate revisions, as the economy slows. The difference betweeen Inflation vs Deflation: The rate of change is slowing, but prices are remaining high. Commentary on interest rate behavior at end of Quarter; quarter-end rebalancing and dividend payments. The next chapter in the sa…

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