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What's Not Priced In EP8: CPI Headfake

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Manage episode 371335519 series 3479196
Content provided by Greg Canavan, Fat Tail Investment Research, Greg Canavan, and Fat Tail Investment Research. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Greg Canavan, Fat Tail Investment Research, Greg Canavan, and Fat Tail Investment Research or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Australia has a new Reserve Bank governor! But don't let that distract you from what matters. This episode, we ponder the the implications of the positive inflation data in the US. The key question is the cause behind the disinflation -- falling aggregate demand or normalising supply? The former doesn't bode well for markets. We then discussed the divergence between market fundamentals and stock valuations with real yields still high but stocks rising. The market always looks ahead, but how far is too much? Greg then takes us through some gold stocks, ending on a general discussion of his valuation approach. The takeaway? Remember, it's not a stock market but a market of stocks.

  continue reading

35 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 371335519 series 3479196
Content provided by Greg Canavan, Fat Tail Investment Research, Greg Canavan, and Fat Tail Investment Research. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Greg Canavan, Fat Tail Investment Research, Greg Canavan, and Fat Tail Investment Research or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Australia has a new Reserve Bank governor! But don't let that distract you from what matters. This episode, we ponder the the implications of the positive inflation data in the US. The key question is the cause behind the disinflation -- falling aggregate demand or normalising supply? The former doesn't bode well for markets. We then discussed the divergence between market fundamentals and stock valuations with real yields still high but stocks rising. The market always looks ahead, but how far is too much? Greg then takes us through some gold stocks, ending on a general discussion of his valuation approach. The takeaway? Remember, it's not a stock market but a market of stocks.

  continue reading

35 episodes

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