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Will First Rate Cut be in September or November?
Manage episode 424798041 series 3140429
In today's episode of "One Rental at a Time," we dive into the latest economic data and forecasts, including a hot jobs report and upcoming CPI and PPI releases. We discuss the implications of these numbers on potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and debate whether the first rate cut will come in September or November. We also examine the accuracy of current job numbers and what it means for the economy. Join us for an in-depth analysis and expert opinions on the future of interest rates.
[00:00] - Introduction and discussion on the hot jobs number and its implications.
[00:30] - Analysis of potential inaccuracies in the job numbers and their adjustments.
[02:00] - Examination of the unemployment rate and its importance over other job metrics.
[03:55] - Discussion on household vs. establishment surveys and their reliability.
[05:27] - The significance of the birth-death adjustment in job reports.
[07:01] - Forecasting the next rate cut based on unemployment and CPI data.
[08:00] - Presentation of recession watch indicators and their current status.
[09:00] - Detailed analysis of CPI trends and predictions for the coming months.
[16:00] - Debate on the timing of the first rate cut, with perspectives on both September and November.
[27:20] - Call to action for listeners to share their opinions on the timing of the rate cut.
- Break Point Trading: https://breakpointtrading.net - Visit Dan Byrd's website for more insights and access to his newsletter.
- One Rental at a Time School: https://onerentalatatime.com/school - Join the school community for masterclasses, boot camps, and live sessions with real estate experts.
Thank you for tuning into today's episode of "One Rental at a Time." If you enjoyed the discussion, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform, and leave us a review. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from these real estate investing insights. Follow us on social media for more updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action, and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!
📖 BUY One Rental at a Time https://amzn.to/3jt3JFx 📣 Audible Version Here https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ OR 🏆 Buy 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires https://amzn.to/3JwEsVm Dion from Dion Talk is Narrator!!! NOW ON AUDIBLE https://www.audible.com/pd/B0BDPSZW3Y/?source_code=AUDFPWS0223189MWT-BK-ACX0-322007&ref=acx_bty_BK_ACX0_322007_rh_us 📸 INSTAGRAM: Please follow. Daily original content! https://www.instagram.com/onerentalatatime/ 📬 (MUST JOIN!) PRIVATE Facebook Group: One Rental at a Time Works This is a VERY private group that is only available to my students of "How to Get Started One Rental at a Time" In the group, you will be around hundreds of other students all doing the work. Please introduce yourself when you join! JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3tEQhRm TEACHABLE COURSES: Join the THOUSANDS of students changing their financial future with DAILY execution! 💎 How to Get Started One Rental at a Time: This course is changing lives! Investors focus and do the daily work required to learn their market and only do GOOD Deals. JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3uDrkHq 💸 Get Money Right: This course is about making you the CFO of your money. It shows you how choices can keep you poor or set you free. It highlights your Financial Health Score and provides a monthly budget to help you track spending. JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3wbN9yr 📲 MENTORING OPTION: I built my courses to run without me but some folks find themselves in interesting situations and they want to ask questions directly. So after much thought I have created this option that includes one “30 Minute Mentoring” session that can be used at students request. JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3hivsc5 ✍️ FREE COURSE: I put together a Free Course so people can get to know me a little more and have fun getting started with no cost. JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3hdMbgK 📣AUDIOBOOK: https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ PLEASE LEAVE 5 Stars! *** Tag me on IG with a book selfie! 🧢 MERCH: I have created some fun merchandise designed by my daughter. Check out Merch Page here: https://one-rental-at-a-time.myshopify.com/
5617 episodes
Manage episode 424798041 series 3140429
In today's episode of "One Rental at a Time," we dive into the latest economic data and forecasts, including a hot jobs report and upcoming CPI and PPI releases. We discuss the implications of these numbers on potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and debate whether the first rate cut will come in September or November. We also examine the accuracy of current job numbers and what it means for the economy. Join us for an in-depth analysis and expert opinions on the future of interest rates.
[00:00] - Introduction and discussion on the hot jobs number and its implications.
[00:30] - Analysis of potential inaccuracies in the job numbers and their adjustments.
[02:00] - Examination of the unemployment rate and its importance over other job metrics.
[03:55] - Discussion on household vs. establishment surveys and their reliability.
[05:27] - The significance of the birth-death adjustment in job reports.
[07:01] - Forecasting the next rate cut based on unemployment and CPI data.
[08:00] - Presentation of recession watch indicators and their current status.
[09:00] - Detailed analysis of CPI trends and predictions for the coming months.
[16:00] - Debate on the timing of the first rate cut, with perspectives on both September and November.
[27:20] - Call to action for listeners to share their opinions on the timing of the rate cut.
- Break Point Trading: https://breakpointtrading.net - Visit Dan Byrd's website for more insights and access to his newsletter.
- One Rental at a Time School: https://onerentalatatime.com/school - Join the school community for masterclasses, boot camps, and live sessions with real estate experts.
Thank you for tuning into today's episode of "One Rental at a Time." If you enjoyed the discussion, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform, and leave us a review. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from these real estate investing insights. Follow us on social media for more updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action, and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!
📖 BUY One Rental at a Time https://amzn.to/3jt3JFx 📣 Audible Version Here https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ OR 🏆 Buy 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires https://amzn.to/3JwEsVm Dion from Dion Talk is Narrator!!! NOW ON AUDIBLE https://www.audible.com/pd/B0BDPSZW3Y/?source_code=AUDFPWS0223189MWT-BK-ACX0-322007&ref=acx_bty_BK_ACX0_322007_rh_us 📸 INSTAGRAM: Please follow. Daily original content! https://www.instagram.com/onerentalatatime/ 📬 (MUST JOIN!) PRIVATE Facebook Group: One Rental at a Time Works This is a VERY private group that is only available to my students of "How to Get Started One Rental at a Time" In the group, you will be around hundreds of other students all doing the work. Please introduce yourself when you join! JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3tEQhRm TEACHABLE COURSES: Join the THOUSANDS of students changing their financial future with DAILY execution! 💎 How to Get Started One Rental at a Time: This course is changing lives! Investors focus and do the daily work required to learn their market and only do GOOD Deals. JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3uDrkHq 💸 Get Money Right: This course is about making you the CFO of your money. It shows you how choices can keep you poor or set you free. It highlights your Financial Health Score and provides a monthly budget to help you track spending. JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3wbN9yr 📲 MENTORING OPTION: I built my courses to run without me but some folks find themselves in interesting situations and they want to ask questions directly. So after much thought I have created this option that includes one “30 Minute Mentoring” session that can be used at students request. JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3hivsc5 ✍️ FREE COURSE: I put together a Free Course so people can get to know me a little more and have fun getting started with no cost. JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3hdMbgK 📣AUDIOBOOK: https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ PLEASE LEAVE 5 Stars! *** Tag me on IG with a book selfie! 🧢 MERCH: I have created some fun merchandise designed by my daughter. Check out Merch Page here: https://one-rental-at-a-time.myshopify.com/
5617 episodes
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