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Why do exit polls get it wrong so often?

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Manage episode 424864803 series 2910805
Content provided by Ideabrew Studios. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Ideabrew Studios or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

There are several structural problems with the way exit polls are conducted in India – from inadequate sample sizes to the blending of irrelevant historical data into the projection, an improper understanding of the demographics, voters withholding their true choices from researchers and many more. Also, inadequate budgets mean pollsters cut corners.

It’s a flawed exercise and even harmful at times, as we saw with the stock market surge based at least partly on exit poll results and the subsequent crash on counting day.

Please listen to the latest episode of All Indians Matter.

  continue reading

371 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 424864803 series 2910805
Content provided by Ideabrew Studios. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Ideabrew Studios or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

There are several structural problems with the way exit polls are conducted in India – from inadequate sample sizes to the blending of irrelevant historical data into the projection, an improper understanding of the demographics, voters withholding their true choices from researchers and many more. Also, inadequate budgets mean pollsters cut corners.

It’s a flawed exercise and even harmful at times, as we saw with the stock market surge based at least partly on exit poll results and the subsequent crash on counting day.

Please listen to the latest episode of All Indians Matter.

  continue reading

371 episodes

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