Six lifelong friends play the high-stakes Circa Millions professional NFL gambling contest. One works in the sports betting industry, while the other five... do not. Listen to this dedicated group of confirmed non-experts play a weekly high-stakes betting contest with millions of dollars on the line.
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BetMGM handicapping expert Chase Kiddy dives into sports betting every week with knowledgeable guests. We're talking college football, NFL, hoops, baseball, tennis and more, with lines provided by the BetMGM online sportsbook. Listen for betting strategies, weekly picks and thoughtful analysis.
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This Episode Was Not Sponsored By Honda Odyssey (NFL Week 9 Bets)
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It's a major week of NFL sports betting at the Square Bets podcast... The boys are coming off a 5-0 week that launched them into the top 100 entries at Circa Millions. (We're as shocked as you are.) This week, the boys navigate a difficult board of football odds with incredibly high stakes. Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season is the final week of the Q2 …
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It's Always Smelly In Philadelphia (NFL Week 8 Bets)
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Football! Sports Betting! Best NFL Bets This Week! Yeah! The boys return to an important question first posed during an infamous 2018 trip to Philadelphia. Oh, and they make their picks for Week 8 of the Circa Millions contest, too. Andrew is 6-0 on his picks but needs a last-minute change after checking Tua's Twitter account. Ethan isn't afraid to…
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Don't Tell Wifey About 7-Eleven Dinner (NFL Week 7 Bets)
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The gang now has back-to-back winning weeks and remains in the top 15%, but they're still in need of one big performance to jump the team contest entry up toward the top 100 of Circa Millions. In this episode, Chase takes garbage food into a car wash, while Andrew decides to change things up and actually record from inside his apartment. Carl likes…
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Robert Saleh Practices Safe Bets (NFL Week 6, Circa Millions 2024)
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This is quite the chaotic Week 6 show. Andrew is talking with a lisp because of Boost Mobile, or something. Tyler likes the Jets but is unaware of the Robert Saleh firing. Ethan's poor record on pick submissions finally catches up with him. Chad and Chase both like the Giants. WEEK 6 NFL GAMES DISCUSSED IN THIS EPISODE: Jaguars vs. Bears (NFL Londo…
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We'll Never Let Go, CJ Stroud. We'll Never Let Go. (NFL Week 5)
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After a perfect 4-0 quarter, Tyler assumes control of the podcast entry. His first pick after the change is... controversial. WEEK 5 GAMES DISCUSSED IN THIS EPISODE: Buccaneers at Falcons (Thursday Night Football) Vikings vs. Jets (The NFL London Game) Panthers at Bears Colts at Jaguars Bills at Texans Ravens at Bengals…
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Let's Just Keep Ignoring the Guy Whose Picks Are Always Right (NFL Week 4)
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The boys are coming off their first losing week of the season after a particularly square week of picks. Week 4 is a tough board, and this week's show begins with an early debate between Tyler and Carl in the Eagles vs. Bucs game. Later: Ethan nabs the gang's first Thursday Night Football side of the season, and Chad & Chase both like some very non…
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Stop Playing Frogger In Downtown Charlotte (NFL Week 3, Circa Millions 2024)
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The boys remain within striking distance of early pole position in the 2024 Circa Millions contest after a respectable 3-2 weekend that left a lot of bettors with empty account balances. Chase opens the show with a brief recap of his awful weekend before broadening the conversation out to the worst weekends of the last 15 years. After that, the boy…
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More Cell Towers In Bedford; Less Talking In the Intro (NFL Week 2)
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After a few false starts, Chase recaps a surprising 4-1 opening week for the boys in the Circa Millions contest. The hot start means Square Bets is in the running for a $150,000 Quarter 1 cash prize... but can the podcast pickers keep their winning processes working, or will they crack under the pressure? WEEK 2 NFL GAMES DISCUSSED IN THIS EPISODE:…
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An Unfortunately Timed Murder (NFL Week 1, Circa Millions 2024)
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Chase recaps a crowded Saturday schedule before the boys dive into their favorite bets for NFL Week 1. Carl's Chiefs -3 bet was thrown out by Ethan. Listen in to hear which five sides did make the cut for the first week of the 2024 Circa Millions contest!By Chase Kiddy
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With one week left before the Circa Millions competition begins, the boys take a second practice round – this time, in the realm of college football.By Chase Kiddy
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No Meat, No Cheese, No Beer at the Baby Birthday Party
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The boys begin preparation for the 2024 Circa Millions NFL betting competition by simulating a practice round using point spreads from Week 3 of the preseason.By Chase Kiddy
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Hot NFL Bets Ahead of College GameDay at JMU! Plus: The College Football Week 12 Betting Guide
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Chase is FIRED UP for College GameDay's return to his alma mater, James Madison. Here are the picks ahead of a fun weekend on the road. Some relevant reading for this week... A written version of this episode: College Football Week 12 Best Bets Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement Chase's College Football Power Rankings, upd…
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Best Bets For College Football Week 11 & NFL Week 10: A Week For NCAA Contrarian Favorites
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31:59
After a very successful week, Chase is back to handicap the board, gravitating toward contrarian favorites in the college football space. Some relevant reading for this week... A written version of this episode: College Football Week 11 Best Bets Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement Chase's College Football Power Rankings, u…
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College Football Playoff Rankings Got It Right; Big-Time Bets for College Football Week 10 & NFL Week 9
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26:45
The CFP committee got it... right? Huh. That's weird. So I guess there's not much to complain about. Let's get into bets for CFB Week 10 and NFL Week 9. Some relevant reading for this week... A written version of this episode: College Football Week 9 Best Bets Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement Chase's College Football Pow…
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College Football Week 9/NFL Week 8 Best Bets. PLUS: Michigan Overtakes Georgia In NCAA Futures Market
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Chase caught a cold after a bit too much partying after last week's JMU/Marshall game. Nonetheless, here's your market breakdown for CFB Week 9 and NFL Week 8, starting (as always) with Thursday Night Football. Some relevant reading for this week... A written version of this episode: College Football Week 9 Best Bets Chase's weekly College Football…
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College Football Week 8/NFL Week 7 Best Bets. PLUS: How to Bet Thursday Night's CFB/NFL Doubleheader, Jags/Saints & JMU/Marshall.
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It's a better-late-than-never kind of week, with Chase checking in with both CFB Week 8 and NFL Week 7 bets on a Thursday. Some relevant reading for this week... A written version of this episode: College Football Week 8 Best Bets Chase's weekly College Football Odds Report on Line Movement Chase's College Football Power Rankings, updated weekly CF…
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NFL Week 6 Betting: Just How Square Are Big NFL Favorites?
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On a week without many strong feelings, Chase is leaning hard into big favorites that are classically square. But can our old-school market tendencies correctly account for the differences between a team like the Dolphins and a team like the Panthers? This week's Week 6 NFL picks & leans include the following games: Thursday Night Football: Broncos…
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Mid-Season Observations From the College Football Futures Markets; College Football Week 7 Best Bets
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Before launching into his best bets for Week 7 of the college football season, Chase breaks down a few observations from key NCAAF futures markets, including the national championship odds, playoff odds, and Heisman odds. This week's official picks include the following games: Louisville at Pittsburgh (+8) Illinois at Maryland (-14) Miami (OH) at W…
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NFL Week 5 Betting: Contrarian Favorites and Bad Numbers As the Public Keeps Winning
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After a slow Week 4 with not much to offer, Chase is back for NFL Week 5 with a ton of picks he likes. Some even trend toward the square side of the market, but given how much the public has won so far this season, that might not be a bad thing... This week's Week 5 NFL leans include the following games: Thursday Night Football: Bears at Commanders…
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College Football Week 6 Best Bets: Weeknight Underdogs, SEC Must-Bets, and the One CFB Future I Love Right Now
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The podcast is hot right now! Picks and leans are coming in green across both NFL and college football, and Chase has another deep group of picks he really likes on this week's podcast. There's also the curious case of one G5 team, which is badly mispriced in its conference futures market... This week's official picks include the following games: W…
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Week 4 NFL Odds: Overvalued Teams & Best Bets on an Ugly Board (W/ Nick Hennion)
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Chase hates this week's NFL board, but at least he's in good company. BetMGM Senior NFL Writer Nick Hennion stops by the show to talk early season impressions, overrated & underrated teams, Week 4 bets, futures, and more. This week's Week 4 NFL leans include the following games: Thursday Night Football: Lions at Packers (+1.5) Commanders at Eagles …
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College Football Week 5 Bets: Five Sides & Three Totals, Including Utah/Oregon State, Georgia/Auburn, Clemson/Syracuse, and Florida/Kentucky
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After a really strong week of betting results, Chase is back with an excellent crop of Week 5 sides, totals, and leans. This week's official picks include the following games: Clemson at Syracuse (+7) Florida at Kentucky (-3) Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech (+2.5) Georgia at Auburn (+14.5) Troy at Georgia State (-1.5) Plus total plays from the followin…
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NFL Week 3 Betting With Ryan Horvat. PLUS: Notre Dame/Ohio State & The Imminent Colorado Football Crash
1:01:27
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BetMGM Tonight cohost Ryan Horvat stops by the show to break down early NFL reactions, Week 3 picks, the imminent demise of Colorado Football, and a Saturday night showdown between his beloved Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Ohio State Buckeyes. This week's official Week 3 NFL bets include the following games: Thursday Night Football: Giants at 4…
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College Football Betting Reset: Who's a Real Playoff Contender? Who's Not? PLUS: CFB Week 4 Bets, Including Ole Miss/Alabama and Ohio State/Notre Dame
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With conference play now kicking off across most of the college football landscape, it's time to lay down some markers on which teams are real playoff contenders and which teams are not. Get ready to kick out the old guard. LATER: as always, Chase walks listeners through his official plays for the week, adding in some more thoughts about another ha…
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Week 2 NFL Betting: Diagnosing Line Movement In Vikings/Eagles; Navigating a Tough Board; Bypassing Obvious Survivor Candidates
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Week 2 NFL odds are here, and it's important not to overreact or bet too much. This week's lines are tough. Chase breaks down the line movement for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Vikings and Eagles (-6.5) before highlighting his favorite bet from the game. He's also got only a couple of straight bets for this weekend's difficult…
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CFB Week 3 Best Bets, Including... Georgia Southern? Charlotte?! The G5/FCS Spotlight (With Sam Herder & Colton Pool)
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With another week left before conference play really begins in earnest, many teams have FCS and G5 games scheduled for this week. And with only a couple of data points now in the books for most teams, that's created some really valuable spots in games that few CFB fans are paying attention to. Chase covers five official plays, three road favorites,…
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Moneyline Underdogs for Week 1 NFL Betting. PLUS: Keeping It Simple in NFL Survivor Pools
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Week 1 of the NFL is here, which means it's time to lock in for a small handful of official plays. Thursday Night Football odds for Week 1: Lions at Chiefs (-4.5). With Chris Jones and Travis Kelce both potentially missing the NFL opener, a torrent of action has pushed the line from Chiefs -6.5 to Chiefs -4.5. Should you chase the movement, counter…
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College Football Week 2 Bets, Including App State/North Carolina, UCF/Boise State, and Nebraska/Colorado. PLUS: Unpacking the Deion Sanders Experience
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29:41
A lot of handicappers got absolutely blasted in Week 1, so Chase is feeling fortunate to have gotten out of the long weekend with a 3-3 record on last week's official plays. This week's official picks include the following games: App State at North Carolina (-18) Wisconsin at Washington State (+6.5) Texas State at UTSA (+12.5) UCF at Boise State (+…
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College Football Week 1 Bets: Six Official Plays, Including Texas A&M/New Mexico, Ohio State/Indiana, and Georgia Tech/Louisville
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Last week was the appetizer; now, it's time for the main course. Chase returns to the classic Lion's Edge in-season schedule, offering mid-week NCAA analysis ahead of his official college football picks column dropping on the BetMGM blog. This week's official picks include the following games: Ohio State at Indiana (+30) New Mexico at Texas A&M (-3…
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College Football Season Preview & Predictions (With Phil Steele)
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With Week 0 now over, college football begins in earnest this week. We've got an appropriately huge show this week -- the full college football season preview & predictions episode! College football preview legend Phil Steele returns to the show to break down Ohio State vs. Michigan, Georgia vs. the SEC, Big 12 newcomers, championship sleepers, FBS…
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College Football Week 0 Bets: The Four Sides I'm On This Weekend
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College Football is here! We're just days away now from Week 0, and Chase has a quick breakdown on the early games to target. Some relevant reading for this week... You can check out a written version of this Week 0 college football picks episode at the BetMGM blog: -CFP Odds & Analysis -Your complete guide to Heisman odds -CFB odds & analysis for …
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NFL Futures Betting: 20 Tickets To Bet Right Now. PLUS: Drew O'Dell on Data in Sports Betting
1:06:37
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Fresh off a later-than-everyone-else bout with Covid, Chase catches up with BetMGM data analyst Drew O'Dell about preferences and observations in the data of sports betting. LATER: Not one, not two, but TWENTY NFL Futures bets that Chase has already bet. (Hope you like the Falcons this year.) Some relevant reading: If you're looking for a written c…
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Sports Betting Not-So-Secrets With BetMGM Trading Manager Christian Cipollini. PLUS: My Trip to Vegas & Week 1 of NFL Survivor
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Chase is back from Las Vegas and has some notes. But first, check out a 25-minute conversation with BetMGM trading manager Christian Cipollini. In a conversation from late last week, Chase and Christian cover a variety of topics inside the sportsbook, including common pop gambling myths and the markets that Christian absolutely hates the most. LATE…
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College Football Playoff Odds: 2023 Market for NCAA Football Futures and National Championship Odds
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33:30
BetMGM has a fresh futures market up: College Football Playoff odds. Sure, you can bet on the national champion... but wouldn't you rather take a softer approach and nail that Final Field of Four?AIRHORN: Jets +100. More on Thursday's Hall of Fame Game odds analysis: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/nfl/hall-of-fame-game-prediction-odds-nfl-2023-j…
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Lion's Edge Is Back! Plus: My Offseason Epiphany
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Lion's Edge is back! There are lots of new, exciting episodes with great guests just around the corner.But before we get to that... Chase has been thinking a lot about his status in sports betting over the last few months. He's got some thoughts, and they're relevant to the future of the show.By andrew.doughty@betmgm.com (Chase Kiddy)
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The Only Four Ways to be Successful in Online Sports Betting. PLUS: NBA Championship Eliminator; Sweet 16 Bets
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Here's a LOADED podcast episode! Chase breaks down the evolving dynamic between Houston and Alabama at the top of the national championship market before highlighting the four sides he likes for upcoming Sweet 16 games.AIRHORN: Vanderbilt pk; Charlotte -4.5; Ashlyn Krueger -155.LATER: Chase has been thinking big picture lately, so he breaks down th…
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Every Bet I've Made for the NCAA Tournament (So Far); Sweet 16 & Final Four Futures
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27:31
Chase is updating and expanding his March Madness analysis with every bet he's made (so far) for this year's NCAA Tournament. And here's some more content to consider, from the blog:Most likely upsets/Potential Cinderella candidates: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/ncaab/march-madness-upsets-ncaa-tournament-odds-college-basketball-bm06/How to Bet…
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March Madness Odds Are Here! Bracket Predictions, Futures Betting, and First-Round Notes for the 2023 NCAA Tournament. PLUS: How to Bet All the First Four Games
52:55
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52:55
March Madness is here! We finally know the NCAA Tournament bracket, and Chase has been pounding the pavement for 24 hours collecting news, trends, notes, and bets. Here's your initial Monday download to help you identify some winning bets *and* get started on a winning bracket.AIRHORN: Picks of varying confidence for all 4 of the First Four games i…
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Conference Tournament Preview: 11 Teams to Bet (Or Fade?) During This Week's March Madness Preview
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Chase is back with a fresh pod for conference tournament week. When the lines come out, here are a dozen or so teams that you might want to pay attention to... but that doesn't mean they're all teams you'll want to bet on.Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/Find college basketball odds …
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Is the Eagles' Championship Window Already Over? Super Bowl Reaction (W/ Colton Pool)
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37:49
Chase reacts to the Chiefs' epic Super Bowl win over the Eagles, wondering what's next for both teams.LATER: Chase chats with BetMGM staffer Colton Pool, who was on site in Arizona throughout the week of the Super Bowl.AIRHORN: Four Thursday picks across hockey, tennis, and college hoops.Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Ro…
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Super Bowl Prop Bets! Emptying the Briefcase with All 22 Bets I Have for Chiefs/Eagles
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21:38
With Super Bowl LVII just two days away, Chase explains every single prop bet from the BetMGM sportsbook that he currently likes. Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/NFL here: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/sports/football-11/betting/usa-9/nfl-35Social media links:Lion's Edge Twitter: htt…
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The Most Idiotic Prop You Can Bet for Chiefs vs. Eagles; Updated Ticket & Handle Data for Super Bowl LVII. PLUS: Tuesday Night College Basketball & ATP Montpelier
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19:22
The full props episode is later this week! For now, Chase drops in with updated ticket & handle info for Super Bowl LVII's major betting markets. He's also got the most popular prop bets at BetMGM so far, one of which is... well, let's just say it's a waste of your money. AIRHORN: Chicago State -4.5; two bets from ATP Montpelier.Make sure to read o…
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Super Bowl MVP Odds: Looking Beyond Hurts/Mahomes for Viable Candidates, and the Strange Player Available at +6600. PLUS: More Tennis Betting From Thailand
19:54
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19:54
The Super Bowl content marathon marches on, as Chase has a fresh episode of Lion's Edge examining the MVP market. Here's the explanation for why you should be skeptical of Hurts/Mahomes at these prices, plus an exploration of the other names you should consider throwing darts at.AIRHORN: More winners from WTA Hua Hin.Make sure to read our team's co…
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Super Bowl Odds Reaction: The Side I've Already Bet for Eagles vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl 57. PLUS: Tennis Betting Opportunities at the Thailand Open
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20:04
Super Bowl LVII is set, and the early opening line movement is already dramatic. Chase walks through some of the details on the virgin numbers before explaining why modern Super Bowl history seems to heavily lean toward one side of the Chiefs/Eagles matchup. AIRHORN: Three matches to watch at the Thailand Open, WTA Hua Hin.Make sure to read our tea…
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NFL Divisional Round Betting Analysis; Australian Open Reaches Third Round; Fading the College Basketball AP Top 25
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This week's loaded show includes analysis for all four games in the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs, plus some show bets from the third round of the men's Australian Open.LATER: why you should consider fading the AP Top 25 in college basketball.Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/N…
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Epic Sports Betting Weekend: Australian Open Odds & NFL Playoffs W/ Pamela Maldonado
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49:44
It's time for one of our favorite sports betting weekends of the year: NFL Playoffs + Australian Open tennis! Chase walks through all eight quarters of the men's & women's singles draws at the Aussie Open in Melbourne. He also recaps some of this week's line movement in the NFL Playoff Odds market and how that's effected his betting strategies and …
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Instant NFL Playoff Odds Reaction: Early Bets & Leans I Like for Super Wild Card Weekend. PLUS: A Very, Very Easy Handicap for Tonight's College Football National Championship Game (TCU/Georgia)
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25:02
The NFL Playoffs are set! Chase sits down with fresh odds on Monday morning to break down any opening thoughts he has on the six Wild Card playoff matchups.LATER: the obvious right side for Monday's FBS National Championship Game, TCU at Georgia (-13).Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog…
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A Deep Dive on Odds & Scenarios for Every Week 18 NFL Game. PLUS: How to Bet the FCS Championship Game (SDSU vs. NDSU)
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29:40
Lion's Edge hasn't closed the NFL season with a bang, posting a couple of losing weeks in a row. But Chase is confident we're going out with a bang this weekend!Here's every scenario for every NFL game in Week 18. Make sure you know your context in what is annually the weirdest NFL betting slate of the year!LATER: How to bet the FCS Championship ga…
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How I'm Betting the College Football Playoff; NFL Week 17 Odds Preview
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23:50
Chase has the internal scoop from BetMGM regarding line movement and ticket splits for the College Football Playoff games between Georgia/Ohio State & Michigan/TCU. He also explains the variety of ways he's betting the CFP this year, which includes one side, one exotic, and one 3-team moneyline parlay.He also has leans for the Alamo Bowl (Texas -3 …
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Sports Betting Reflections: 11 Things I Learned (or Re-Learned) About Handicapping in 2022
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After a loaded 2022 calendar year, BetMGM betting analyst Chase Kiddy offers some reflections on the 2022 season -- including some very specific analysis from NFL, tennis, college basketball and more. Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roar: https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/You can view the college football betting page her…
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