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Sertalp B Cay Podcasts

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FPL Optimized

Bas Belfi, Sertalp B. Cay

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Everyone in Fantasy Premier League heard about the data and analytics revolution and realized that the landscape is changing rapidly, but not everyone has time to keep up with the news. We are here to bring you the latest and best about data, analytics, Moneyball approaches to FPL, how it works, advantages, pitfalls, and more. Bas, the eye-test manager, and Sertalp, the analytics manager, compare their notes and talk about FPL from two different angles. https://twitter.com/sertalpbilal https ...
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Episode 104. GW7 Optimal Team 34:43

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Vote for FPL Optimized website and podcast in Football Content Awards (Fantasy Sports / Organization): https://footballcontentawards.com/voting After a terrible GW, Bas and Sertalp is back to review their GWs and share their views on future GWs and Wildcard chip timing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Episode 94. How to win FPL? Q/A with Jonas 54:39

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Bas and Sertalp host Jonas Sand Låbakk, winner of the 2023/2024 FPL season, for a Q/A episode. They cover Jonas' FPL history, play style, how he leveraged analytics, how he approached to risk aspect, and what he is planning for the next season. Our FPL Analytics Discord community has over 1500 members now. Join us: https://discord.gg/HRjcXrTM54 Lea…
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Episode 90. Optimal WC35 Teams 1:04:58

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Bas and Sertalp are both on Wildcard 35 and Bench Boost 37 chip plan, so in this episode they cover everything related to WC35: Fixture Ticker GW Odds Optimal WC35 teams from different models Optimal WC35 teams based on risk preference Robust optimal WC35 teams using injury simulations WC35 scenarios Captaincy choices between GW35 and GW38 Learn mo…
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Episode 89. FH34 Considerations 46:16

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Bas is back and is ready to pull the trigger for Free Hit in GW34. In this episode, they cover: - GW Updates - Projected Point Averages for GW34-38 - Optimal Wildcard 34 team with and without Bench Boost 37 - Transfer Plans for the Optimal Wildcard 34 teams - Optimal Free Hit 34 teams - Captaincy Options Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podc…
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Episode 88. Risk in FPL 1:27:57

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In this special episode, Sertalp hosts 3 analytics oriented managers: James (@ff_trout), Jonny/JC (@FPL_Spaceman), and Sigurd (@FPLPresident). In this panel discussion, they talk about measuring risk and variance in FPL, how it is applied, its side effects, and ways to incorporate it into decision making. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit pod…
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Episode 86. GW30: WC30 Options 49:48

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Bas and Sertalp talk about upcoming horizon and optimal chip GWs for people with FH or BB chips. Join our FPL Optimized mini league: https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Analytics Community Discord: https://discord.gg/HRjcXrTM54 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Episode 85. Jack Squared 1:00:28

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Sertalp hosts two analytics-driven managers (both named Jack!) while Bas gets a rest. The first guest is Vamps, who is a predictive modeler for 17 different fantasy games. The second guest is Jack Bones, who is an overachiever in many of the said games using Vamps' models. They talk about how they approach the game, their analytics journey, how muc…
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Episode 84. GW29: Blank GW Options 40:39

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Bas and Sertalp talk about how they approach GW29. Sertalp is on Free Hit chip, while Bas is hoping to save it for a rainy day. In this episode: - GW28 Review - Fixture Ticker / Projected Point Averages - Optimal FH29 Teams - Optimal WC29 Team and Transfer Plan - Captaincy Options from Projection Models Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premi…
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Episode 83. FPL: DGW28 and BGW29 44:56

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Jonny Currie (JC) joins Bas in this episode, while Sertalp needs a rest. JC and Bas covers the usual content, fixture ticker, optimal teams, captaincy and mini-league updates. Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Analytics Community Discord https://discord.gg/HRjcXrTM54 Learn more about you…
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Episode 82. GW27: Optimal Chip Plans 48:29

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In this episode, Bas and Sertalp have a deep dive on chip strategies and how fixtures can shape optimal chip plans. For the solver, visit https://tinyurl.com/colab-solver Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Analytics Community Discord https://discord.gg/HRjcXrTM54 Learn more about your ad …
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Episode 79. GW25: Q/A with FPL Tactician Andy Martin 1:00:41

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Sertalp hosts FPL Tactician (Andy Martin) in an attempt to convert him to analytical play style. In this Q/A Andy answers questions about his chip strategy, FPL mindset, approach to analytics, and answers questions from Twitter and Discord. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Episode 78. GW24: Preparing for the Doubles and Blanks 47:56

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As FPL managers prepare for doubles and blanks, Bas and Sertalp have a look at the period between GW24 and GW29. In this episode: - Projected point averages - Optimal WC24 team - Optimal transfers for WC team - Sensitivity analysis results - Captaincy selections from projection models Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/league…
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Episode 75. Mid GW21: Panel Q&A Session 53:58

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While GW21 is still going on, Bas and Sertalp is back with a Q&A episode. This time, 5 awesome people helped them answer questions from the audience: Neil Rankin, Talha Nadeem, Alastair, Chase, and Trout. In this episode: - Projection data findings - TC25/BB25 discussion - Potential chip plans - Chip usage thresholds - Brentford in GW25-29 - How to…
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Episode 74. GW21: The Looong Gameweek 50:09

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Bas and Sertalp talk about the long GW: GW21. In this GW with so many players out (Salah, Son, Bowen, TAA) they cover the usual topics: - Projected point averages at team level - Gameweek Odds - Projection changes at player level - Optimal WC21 team based on FPLReview and Mikkel Tokvam models - TAA Replacements - Mini-league updates Thanks to @robt…
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Episode 73. Pre GW21: Q&A Session 1:12:08

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Bas and Sertalp are back this GW with an Q/A episode. They discuss a wide range of topics: - Optimization parameters - Ensemble model weights - Ideal horizon length - Differential / risk balance - Being patient vs quickly adapting - Impact of longer games on GK/DF points - Over and underperforming GKs - Ideal chip times - Salah & Son replacements -…
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Episode 72. GW20: Last GW of the Year 42:40

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Bas and Sertalp try their best to review their red GWs and share information about GW20. In this episode: - GW18 and GW19 review - Fixture ticker for upcoming horizon - Gameweek odds by RobTFPL - EV Changes - Optimal wildcard 20 teams - Optimal captains Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL …
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Episode 71. GW18 & 19: The Busy Festive Season 36:17

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Bas and Sertalp review their GW17 and talk about GW18 & GW19. In this short episode they cover: - Fixture ticker for upcoming horizon - Optimal wildcard teams for both GWs - Optimal captains Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Analytics Community Discord We have over 1000 members now! http…
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Episode 70. GW17: Suspensions, Injuries, and Salah's Favorite Fixture 40:20

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Sertalp and Bas talk about - GW16 Review - Fixture Ticker (Projected Point Averages) - Gameweek Odds - EV Changes - Optimal Wildcard 17 Team - AFCON/Asian Cup Impact - Captaincy Options - Mini-league Updates Thanks to RobT for the data and analysis. Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Anal…
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Episode 69. FPL GW16: Mbeumo Replacements and More 44:39

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Sertalp is back, and with Bas they cover the the following topics: - GW14 and GW15 reviews - Fixture Ticker (Projected Point Averages) - Gameweek Odds - EV Changes - Optimal Wildcard 16 Team - Mbeumo Replacements - Captaincy Options - Mini-league Updates Thanks to RobT for the data and analysis. Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague…
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Episode 68. GW14: Big Scores Expected & WC 25:49

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In this solo performance, Bas covers the usual topics: GW13 Review, Fixture Ticker, Gameweek Odds, EV Changes, and Optimal Wildcard team. Bas is on his wildcard and hoping for a jump in ranks! Big thanks to Chase (@FPL_Chase), and RobT (@robtFPL) for their analysis and visualizations. Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/league…
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Episode 67. GW13: Options for a Tough Gameweek 44:03

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Bas and Sertalp review their GW12 and talk about GW13 and beyond. Bas is getting ready for using his wildcard in GW14, so he is mainly looking for single GW punts. In this episode they cover: - Projected minute accuracy (preliminary) - Fixture ticker (projected point averages) - Gameweek odds - Top EV gains and losses (who's hot, who's not) - Optim…
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Episode 66. International Break: A Chat with Luke 1:01:25

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Bas and Sertalp is hosting Luke Williams, one of the hosts of the Inspected Goals podcast, and one of the well-known FPL players of the community. Luke talks about his Sky FF and FPL history, interesting things he has done, and place he has been through his journey. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Episode 65. GW12: Things Can Only Get Better 49:53

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After a really weird GW, Bas and Sertalp is back to talk about GW12 and beyond. In this information and data packed episode, they cover: - GW11 Review - Model Accuracy - Model Utility Results - Projected Point Averages (Ticker) - Gameweek Odds - Top EV Gains and Losses - Top Players by Models - Optimal Wildcard Teams - Captaincy Choices Big thanks …
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Episode 64. GW11: No Haaland Panic 41:10

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Bas is scaring Sertalp for going no Haaland as it seems likely for him to get a haul. Even though Halloween is over, the fear of Haaland is not. They cover the usual topics: - Model utility measure - Fixture ticker (Projected point averages) - Top 10 players by models - Optimal WC11 teams by models - GW11 captaincy 😓 Big thanks to Neil Rankin (@Nei…
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Episode 63. GW10: Optimal Wildcards 50:10

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Bas and Sertalp cover the usual topics with an emphasis on wildcard: - Model utility measure - Average projected points (team-level) - Fixture ticker - EV changes (player-level) - Optimal wildcard teams (ensemble/Review) - Sensitivity analysis results - Captaincy Big thanks to Chase (@FPL_Chase), Neil Rankin (@NeilRankinZA), and RobT (@robtFPL) for…
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Episode 62. GW9: FPL is Back 36:41

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In this short episode Bas and Sertalp cover the regular topics as the international break comes to an end: model utility measure, fixture ticker with projection averages, EV changes at player level, and optimal wildcard team. 🎃 Thanks to FPL_Chase (https://twitter.com/FPL_Chase) and NeilRankinZA (https://twitter.com/NeilRankinZA) for their analysis…
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Episode 61. Saluting the General 1:18:20

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As we enter the international break, Bas and Sertalp had the pleasure of hosting Mark McGettigan (@FPLGeneral) on the pod this week. They asked questions about how Mark is approaching to analytics, whether he thinks analytics is ruining the fun, or a threat to content creators. As a veteran of the game, Mark shares his wisdom and talks about being …
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Episode 60. GW8: Wildcard Special 1:26:13

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Bas is out, and Sertalp hosts James (@FF_Trout) in this episode to talk about Wildcard 8. They talk about why they are wildcarding, what players are the key, go over several raw optimal drafts to justify going without Haaland might be the play! Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Analytics…
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Episode 59. GW7: Luton, Really? 51:53

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Bas and Sertalp is back for Double GW7! As we approach to an exciting and interesting GW, Bas is trying his best to convince himself to buy doubling players. They cover the usual content: model accuracy, fixture ticker with projection data, data changes, optimal wildcard team, and captaincy options. Thanks to Neil Rankin (NeilRankinZA) and Chase (F…
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Episode 58. GW6: Chasing Points 58:21

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Bas is traveling again and our viz expert Chase (@Chase_FPL) joins Sertalp to talk about GW6 and beyond. They talk about model accuracy report, favorable fixtures between GW6-GW11, projection changes, optimal wildcard team, and captaincy. Thanks to Neil Rankin (NeilRankinZA) and FPL_Chase for the analysis and visualizations. Join our mini league at…
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