Join Chief Economist Mark Zandi, Marisa DiNatale and Cristian deRitis as they discuss key indicators and other aspects of the global economy. Contact us at insideeconomics@moodys.com. Visit online at www.economy.com/economicview
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Moody’s Talks: KYC Decoded is your window into the world of financial crime fighters and the industries that arm them against the illegal actors that threaten people, companies and society. Listen and learn from subject matter experts, authors and practitioners to find out how you can better address and mitigate the risks to your business and community.
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Market Pulse is a monthly podcast by Equifax, in partnership with Moody’s Analytics. Equifax hosts bring you interviews with industry experts on the latest economic and credit insights that can help drive better business decisions. Whether you’re in financial, mortgage, auto or another service industry, we help make sense of the latest economic conditions that impact you. This podcast series supplements our Market Pulse webinars, which occur on the first Thursday of each month.
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An exploration of the intersection between technology, culture and innovation. Published by Moody's Analytics.
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1
VASP vigilance: Leading the charge in crypto compliance
54:17
54:17
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As digital assets continue to evolve and enrich investment portfolios, they simultaneously demand innovative anti-money laundering (AML) and compliance strategies to counteract potential exploitation by bad actors. There is a critical need for financial service firms to adapt to these changes, understanding the money laundering risks tied to crypto…
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Decoding Economic Uncertainty: Fed Moves, Budget Deficits, and Global Risks
48:59
48:59
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In this illuminating panel discussion, Tom Aliff, Risk Advisors Leader at Equifax, delves into key economic concerns and forecasts with economists Amy Crews Cutts, President at AC Cutts and Associates LLC; Robert Wescott, Founder and President of Keybridge; and Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody's Analytics. They explore the implications of budge…
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Brendan LaCerda (not Canadian) joins Mark, Cris & Marisa to discuss a plethora of topics, including the Canadian railroad workers strike, the revisions to the employment numbers, Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, and the Moody’s Analytics election model. The team takes a few thought-provoking listener questions on the housing market and the savi…
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Bridging the gap: Public-private partnerships in AML and financial crime
1:11:24
1:11:24
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Some of the most crucial actors in the world of regulatory compliance exist within the public sector. But, with so many private sector players gathering data and making risk-based decisions, how can the two groups bridge any divides to overcome increasingly sophisticated criminals? In this episode of KYC Decoded, host Alex Pillow is joined by publi…
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With the release of July’s consumer price index this week, the Inside Economics team discusses the current state of U.S. inflation. As they dig into the underlying details, they debate what they see as root causes. Specifically – are corporations taking advantage of consumers by keeping prices higher than they should? If so, are recent policy propo…
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It has been a hair on fire couple weeks for global investors. Stock, bond, commodity and foreign exchange markets have been buffeted by wild swings. No better person to discuss this with than Robin Brooks, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and formerly of the Institute of International Finance, Goldman Sachs and the IMF. Robin weighs in …
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Strategies for Managing the Surging Auto and Home Insurance Costs
36:34
36:34
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Bob Homer, General Manager and VP of Insurance and Alliances at Equifax, and Stephen Crewdson, Senior Director of Global Business Intelligence at JD Power, discuss the sharp rise in home and auto insurance premiums, driven by both economic and social inflation, and the impact on consumer affordability and behavior. Bob and Stephen explore how insur…
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July Jobs: Ugh! Yikes! Eesh! Hmmm….
1:17:26
1:17:26
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Nick Bunker from Indeed joined the podcast to break down July’s surprisingly weak employment report. The team put forward their favorite interjections before breaking down the report into causes for concern, potential measurement issues and (a few) reasons for cautious optimism. The discussion turned to the “Sahm Rule” as the group pondered whether…
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KYC origin stories, chapter 6 – Entity Verification API (EVA)
33:48
33:48
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As regulatory stakes grow higher, so does the need for reliable, comprehensive data when evaluating risk. Enter: the Moody’s Entity Verification API. In a single source, this powerful tool layers curated data on over 525 million global companies along with real-time entity information from primary sources. Here to share more on the making of this t…
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Bonus Episode: Muzaffar Chishti on Immigration
58:07
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Muzaffar Chishti, senior fellow at the Migration Policy Institute, shares his insights with the Inside Economics podcast on the challenges and opportunities posed by the recent surge in foreign immigration. He dispels various misconceptions around immigration and lays out a cogent immigration reform plan. Immigration policy will be at the top of th…
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John Leer, Chief Economist from Morning Consult and frequent Inside Economics guest, joins the team to discuss the past week’s slew of (mostly) very good economic data. John discusses the latest consumer sentiment surveys and why they have diverged so sharply from observed consumer behavior. He also talks about changing expectations for the upcomin…
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The Impact of Inflation on Consumer Behavior
26:31
26:31
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The Equifax Risk Advisors team explores the complexities of the current economic landscape, discussing key topics such as the K-shaped recovery, inflation's impact on consumer sentiment, and rising delinquency rates. They also respond to recent comments by economists on trends in consumer spending, credit risk, and the nuanced effects of economic p…
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Faucher on the Fed and Fiscal Policy
1:20:42
1:20:42
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The CrowdStrike debacle delayed this week's Inside Economics podcast but did not deter it. PNC Chief Economist Gus Faucher joined the team to talk about his outlook for the economy, the conduct of monetary policy and his thinking around the election and what it means for policy and the economy. Despite living in Pittsburgh now, it was good to hear …
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Who are you doing business with? A simple question with a complex answer
42:29
42:29
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The term “Entity Verification” can mean different things to different people. Perhaps it brings to mind beneficial ownership, identity checks, or third-party risk management. Regardless, Entity Verification is the bedrock for understanding who you are doing business with. We are pleased to welcome back guest, Paul Nola, Partner at Context Consultin…
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Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Boston Consulting Group’s Global Chief Economist, joins the Inside Economics team to share his views on the economy and discuss his newly published book. He makes the case that macroeconomic threats are intensifying and can no longer be ignored by decisionmakers. He also provides a nifty framework for how to assess the ser…
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You may recognize him as Moody’s Talks: KYC Decoded editor and producer, but, Mark Rundle, has a passion for storytelling that extends beyond podcasting. Mark is also a brilliant documentary filmmaker, and we are excited to have him join us behind the microphone in this week’s episode, discussing his recent three-part documentary series, The Infini…
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Dante joins the podcast to break down the June employment report. While everyone agreed that the report was mostly good, concerns remain around the concentration of job gains and the slowdown in hiring. With job growth moderating and the unemployment rate edging higher, the team argues that the time is now for the Fed to start cutting rates. Link t…
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Bonus Episode: Assessing the Macroeconomic Consequences of Biden vs. Trump
1:06:25
1:06:25
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President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump will pursue very different economic policies if reelected. Both have put forward a wide range of proposals to change the tax code, government spending, and trade, immigration and regulatory policies that if implemented could have significant consequences on the economy’s performance for years to…
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The team gives their impressions of Thursday night’s Presidential debate (hint: it involves existential dread). Then, the focus switches to the latest inflation data. Matt Colyar joins to give an overview of May’s encouraging PCE deflator report and what it implies for Fed policy. The episode closes with a roundtable discussion about the long and v…
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The Inside Economics podcast welcomes Jason Dorsey to talk about the generations that characterize the American population. The conversation takes up what event(s) define each generation, from 9/11 for the Millennials to COVID for Gen Z, and then turns to each generation’s traits and behaviors. The podcast was generationally well-balanced, with Mar…
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Credit and Lending Insights for Small Business
12:48
12:48
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With 93% of small business owners anticipating growth, the timing of potential Fed interest rate cuts remains a critical factor. Sarah Briscoe, lead commercial statistical analyst at Equifax, sheds light on the latest trends in small business lending, delinquency, and default rates, highlighting the unique insights from the Equifax small business i…
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Intelligent screening: How machine learning is changing the game
46:01
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The art and science of screening in the KYC and AML world has certainly come a long way from the days of manually checking for names and organizations against a short list. Risk factors have evolved exponentially, increasing regulations have influenced risk appetites, and powerful technologies like Machine Learning (ML) and Generative AI (GenAI) ha…
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As long as inflation remains above the Fed’s target, and the Fed maintains its higher for longer interest rate policy in response, it is premature to conclude the economy has soft-landed. This episode is a replay of the “Stubborn Inflation, Reluctant Fed” webinar hosted by Chief Economist Mark Zandi and team, as they discuss what it will take for i…
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Matt and Marisa join Mark, who called in from an undisclosed location, to discuss this week’s CPI report and FOMC meeting on interest rates. They all agree that the CPI numbers were unambiguously positive and that the Fed will begin to cut interest rates this fall. They play the statistics game, made more difficult by the dearth of economic release…
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In a rare Saturday morning taping of the podcast, Dante and Matt join Mark (where’s Cris and Marisa?) to disentangle the considerable crosscurrents in the May jobs report. Surging immigration is complicating interpretation of the numbers. Next week’s all-important report on consumer price inflation was also the fodder of discussion, as was Mark’s W…
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A compliance evolution: Empowering business expansion
51:02
51:02
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Anti-financial crime (AFC) departments can get labeled as the team that says “no” - seen as preventing innovation from reaching customers. But, this line of thinking overlooks the immense value AFC teams can bring in the product development process. How can AML and compliance professionals break through the stereotype to become more influential par…
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Mark, Marisa, and Cris are joined by their colleague Matt Colyar as they delve into the resilience of the U.S. economy. Matt kicks off the conversation with a rundown of the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data and its implications for monetary policy. Following a brief, engaging Stats Game, the team explores the reasons be…
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Stock prices, house values, and even gold and crypto prices have never been higher. The team discuss the reasons why, whether it is a bubble, where prices are headed and what it all means for consumers and the broader economy. They also play the game and take listener questions. Keep them coming dear listener. Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, M…
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Luxuries and larceny: ‘Following the goods’ for AML prevention
35:29
35:29
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Fancy cars. Diamond-covered watches. Luxury vacations at 5-star resorts. These are some of the many high-ticket purchases money launderers might illegally make to disguise the origins of their wealth. So, what actions can be taken to fight this nefarious activity? How can businesses and consumers avoid complicity and prevent financial crime in the …
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Jonathan Smoke from Cox Automotive and Mike Brisson of Moody’s join the crew for a discussion of inflation and autos. The team dissects this week’s CPI report, which while not great, at least wasn’t worse than expected. Mark argues that the Fed should be looking through the inflation data that’s mixed up with the problematic measures of housing inf…
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Q&A: Consumer Credit, Loans & Economic Trends
23:40
23:40
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Our all-female panel of financial experts answer your burning questions about consumer credit, loan performance, and economic trends shaping affordability. Our panelists including Amy Crews Cutts, president and chief economist at AC Cutts & Associates, and Equifax’s own Maria Urtubey, Anna Fisher, and Mariette de Meillon address questions submitted…
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Houser on the Green Energy Transition
1:19:17
1:19:17
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The Inside Economics team is joined by Moody’s Analytics colleague Chris Lafakis along with Trevor Houser from the Energy & Climate practice at Rhodium Group for a discussion on how the Inflation Reduction Act promotes the U.S.'s transition to green energy. Podcast host Mark Zandi kicks things off with a quick overview of recent economic developmen…
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Open banking: A revolution or evolution for KYC?
1:01:47
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Open finance, API banking, Payment Services Directive (PSD2)...the concept of open banking can be called many things. But how exactly is this technology changing the world for risk and compliance professionals today and what potential does it have to mold the profession going forward? Join us for another episode of KYC Decoded as we welcome Alessio…
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Jobs Friday: On the Couch with Dr. Zandi
1:06:38
1:06:38
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Inside Economics regular Dante DeAntonio joins the podcast to discuss the April jobs report. It was something of a surprise, but a happy one, at least for Dante and Mark. The job market remains strong, but is cooling, opening the window just a bit for the Fed to begin cutting rates. But Cris and Marisa weren’t so sure, worried that the report may s…
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Decoding Interest Rates and their Economic Impact
25:55
25:55
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Join the Risk Advisors Group at Equifax as they discuss the current state and future trends of interest rates and their profound impact on the U.S. economy. The conversation delves into the Federal Reserve's strategies in response to inflation and economic shifts, exploring how these changes affect various sectors including banking, mortgages, and …
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Philly Thrives, More Immigrants Arrive
1:12:28
1:12:28
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The Inside Economics team is down a regular with Cris on the road, but two Moody’s Analytics colleagues, Adam Kamins and Laura Ratz, try to fill the void. Mark and Marisa recap a busy week by talking about GDP, inflation, and even Fed independence. The discussion of domestic migration features a healthy dose of Philadelphia homer-ism, and the team …
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Decrypting Privacy Enhancing Technologies (PETs)
39:17
39:17
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What if your anti-financial crime program could build investigation models using sensitive data you may not have direct access to – in a totally compliant way? In this episode, we learn from Privacy Enhancing Technology (PET) expert, Michael Hughes, Chief Business Offer at Duality Technologies, about the potential PETs have to change the game of KY…
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Deputy Chief Economist at Cushman Wakefield, Rebecca Rockey, joins the Inside Economics crew to talk about the outlook for commercial real estate and the economy in general. After unpacking the week’s economic events and a quick primer on outrigger canoe paddling, Rebecca walks the IE team through the different segments of CRE and how they’re farin…
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Debating Inflation Significant Digits
1:17:58
1:17:58
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The disappointing March report on consumer price inflation is the fodder for this week’s Inside Economics podcast. The team considers just how big of a disappointment it was, and conclude it turns on second and third significant digits. Yes, that’s what it has come to when assessing just when Fed officials will feel sufficiently confident that infl…
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Bonus Episode: Narrowing the Gender Participation Gap
1:05:13
1:05:13
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Moody’s Analytics colleagues Elise Burton, Dawn Holland and Olia Kuranova join the podcast this week to discuss global female labor force participation and how it has changed since the pandemic. They identify a few key reasons for the recent narrowing of gender participation gaps, explore the economic impact of increased female participation, and d…
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For good or for evil: Tech’s role in the world of financial crime
48:39
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It is safe to say technology has done wonders when it comes to AML professionals tackling financial crime, but, on the flip side, it is important to understand how technology is being used by those committing the crimes. From video game online marketplaces to virtual currency mixers, how can we follow the money when tech is used to cover its tracks…
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Automotive Insights: Trends, Fraud, and Future
47:58
47:58
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Scott McMahon, alliance manager for Automotive Partnerships at Equifax, leads a panel discussion on current trends, the rising challenge of fraud in the automotive space, and the industry's outlook, with a special focus on consumer affordability and the evolving electric vehicle (EV) market. His esteemed panel includes Steve Greenfield, general par…
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Employment, Earthquakes, and the Eclipse
1:00:55
1:00:55
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The March 2024 jobs report was picture perfect. Cris thought he had found a blemish in the numbers, but on closer inspection, not so much. Dante and Marisa explained how the economy could create so many jobs without fanning wage and price pressures. Think foreign immigration. And like stock investors, Mark found plenty to like in the report. Follow…
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The Inside Economics team is joined by their Moody's Analytics colleagues, Mike Brisson and Steve Cochrane, to discuss the economic fallout from the tragic collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge and the subsequent closure of the Port of Baltimore. Mark Zandi kicks off the show with a rundown of the latest economic data and a healthy debate on the…
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How Inflation and Rising Delinquencies are Impacting Different Consumer Segments
17:58
17:58
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We’re joined by Jeff Richardson from VantageScore to discuss how inflation is impacting households. We dig into factors contributing to rising delinquencies, the expected continuation of this trend, and the impact on different consumer segments. Additionally, we address the role of stimulus on credit scores and the strategies that organizations sho…
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Inequality, Interest Rates, Immigration,…
1:23:21
1:23:21
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Heidi Shierholz, President of the Economic Policy Institute, joins the podcast to discuss the ongoing skewing of the income distribution. There’s a lengthy list of reasons why more of the economic pie is going to those in the top of the distribution, from less unionization and lax enforcement of labor laws, but you would be surprised to hear what’s…
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Change is essential to survive and thrive in any enterprise. As we narrow in on the world of AML and KYC, the adaptation of sophisticated criminals is evident, so the question arises: what disruptions are needed to outsmart these bad actors? In this episode of KYC Decoded, Head of Strategy & Content at Sardine, Simon Taylor, lends us his astute and…
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Listeners of Inside Economics have been demanding a podcast on the nation’s debt, and now they have it. At least one side of it. We talk deficits and debt with Paul Sheard, former Chief Economist of S&P Global. To Mark and team’s surprise, Paul explains why he isn’t worried about the nation’s fiscal trajectory. More views on this to come. For more …
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The Inside Economics team dissects yet another upside surprise in the February jobs report and ponders the mixed messages between the payroll and household surveys. Employment is coming in hot but the unemployment rate rose to its highest level in over a year and wage growth cooled. The team theorizes on why the two surveys are so at odds with each…
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Amid all the optimism regarding a soft landing for the economy, the Inside Economics team considers what bothers them most about the economy’s near-term prospects. Cris focuses on GDP vs GDI, Marisa on the soft global economy, and Mark on the internals of the labor market. They remain upbeat about the economy, but…. Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cr…
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