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The Negative Fundamentals For Oil Are Now Reversing. Higher oil Prices In 2023? AIA Weekly 12-17-22
Manage episode 350053225 series 2896442
Content provided by John Polomny. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by John Polomny or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.
The fundamentals in the oil market that were causing weakness in the oil market over the last six months now appear to be reversing and becoming tailwinds.
-Chinese economy opening up from three years of zero Covid policy. This could result in 2-3 million barrels of demand.
-SPR releases ending. Biden administration now announcing refills of SPR. 1 million barrels per day of supply off the market.
-Russian supply was juiced due to get ahead of sanctions earlier this month. 500-800k of supply off the market.
-The continued reluctance of producers to spend money on new production and development due to negative policies including windfall profit taxes being imposed by governments.
-Strong demand from emerging markets like India.
The economy in the US and EU are now entering recessions. How much will this contribute to demand destruction? If the world does not experience a GFC or Covid lockdown economic scenario, there is a good chance oil prices continue moving higher next year.
148 episodes
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Manage episode 350053225 series 2896442
Content provided by John Polomny. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by John Polomny or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.
The fundamentals in the oil market that were causing weakness in the oil market over the last six months now appear to be reversing and becoming tailwinds.
-Chinese economy opening up from three years of zero Covid policy. This could result in 2-3 million barrels of demand.
-SPR releases ending. Biden administration now announcing refills of SPR. 1 million barrels per day of supply off the market.
-Russian supply was juiced due to get ahead of sanctions earlier this month. 500-800k of supply off the market.
-The continued reluctance of producers to spend money on new production and development due to negative policies including windfall profit taxes being imposed by governments.
-Strong demand from emerging markets like India.
The economy in the US and EU are now entering recessions. How much will this contribute to demand destruction? If the world does not experience a GFC or Covid lockdown economic scenario, there is a good chance oil prices continue moving higher next year.
148 episodes
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Similar to Actionable Intelligence Alert
Bitcoin pioneer Charlie Shrem peels back the layers on the lives and backgrounds of the world's most impactful innovators. Centering around intimate narratives, Shrem uncovers a detailed, previously unspoken story of the genesis and evolution of bitcoin, cryptocurrency, artificial intelligence, and the web3 movements. Join Shrem as he journeys through the uncharted territories of tech revolutions, revealing the human side of the stories that shaped the digital world we live in today.
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continue reading
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