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Increasing Probability for Large-Scale Collision Between Israel & Iranian Proxies in 2019
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As we enter 2019, the probability over the next year, of a large-scale military confrontation between Israel and Iranian proxies has significantly increased.
In order to prevent that scenario these are my recommendations:
The United States must employ and lead a strategy that is backed by major European factors that will focus on stabilizing the situation in the eight arenas of the escalating and intensifying power struggle between Iran and its proxies, and the Arab states and the Gulf Monarchies led by Saudi Arabia. As I outlined above, those eight arenas are: Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Bahrain, The Gulf, Yemen, the Gaza Strip, and, the Iranian Nuclear and Ballistic Missile Project.
The specific focus on that strategy should be:
Sustain and increase the pressure on the Lebanese Hezbollah;
Strengthen the Iraqi government’s ability to restrain the Iranian affiliated militias within the PMU;
Accelerate the process of securing a political arrangement in Syria that will prevent Iran from completing its Land Corridor;
Strictly implement the Hodeidah Agreement, and actively promote a political arrangement to end the war in Yemen that will focus on thwarting Iranian efforts to control Yemen and the surrounding waterways and water passages;
Increase United States military presence in The Gulf;
Lay the foundation for a NATO-style Alliance of the Arab Gulf States, Jordan, and Egypt that will be designated to maintain and protect the integrity and sovereignty of Arab states
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