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Ep 36: Labour Economics Versus the World

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Manage episode 327884690 series 2981859
Content provided by Pradyumna Prasad. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Pradyumna Prasad or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

What is the labour market like? What are the largest barriers in the labour market? Nathan Young and I spoke to economist Bryan Caplan about his new book Labor Econ Versus The World. We also talk about

  • Censorship and dictatorships
  • Bets he is willing to take
  • Malengo and international migration
  • DALLE-2 and writing graphic novels
  • The literature on education
  • Why he is not an experimental economist
  • The effect of AI on jobs

Bets Bryan is willing to take

  • No important disruption to the politics of countries where Ukrainian refugees immigrate
  • Poland will gain over 3x of the GDP Ukraine loses with regards to immigration
  • Less than 20% chance of humanity ending by 2100
  • Less than 60% chance that he will consider misaligned AI to be a problem in 20 years
  • If >5% of people immigrate to a developed nation there will be no civil wars
  • Upper bounds on religious fundamentalism in the EU
  • What are the odds that mainstream psychiatry accepts his view of mental illness?

Papers referenced in the podcast

  continue reading

57 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 327884690 series 2981859
Content provided by Pradyumna Prasad. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Pradyumna Prasad or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

What is the labour market like? What are the largest barriers in the labour market? Nathan Young and I spoke to economist Bryan Caplan about his new book Labor Econ Versus The World. We also talk about

  • Censorship and dictatorships
  • Bets he is willing to take
  • Malengo and international migration
  • DALLE-2 and writing graphic novels
  • The literature on education
  • Why he is not an experimental economist
  • The effect of AI on jobs

Bets Bryan is willing to take

  • No important disruption to the politics of countries where Ukrainian refugees immigrate
  • Poland will gain over 3x of the GDP Ukraine loses with regards to immigration
  • Less than 20% chance of humanity ending by 2100
  • Less than 60% chance that he will consider misaligned AI to be a problem in 20 years
  • If >5% of people immigrate to a developed nation there will be no civil wars
  • Upper bounds on religious fundamentalism in the EU
  • What are the odds that mainstream psychiatry accepts his view of mental illness?

Papers referenced in the podcast

  continue reading

57 episodes

All episodes

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