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Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI “Mania”
Manage episode 424311001 series 3300108
Content provided by Blockworks. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Blockworks or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
Follow Citrini on Twitter https://x.com/Citrini7
Follow Citrini on Substack https://www.citriniresearch.com/
Citrini 1-Year Anniversary Piece: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/citrindex-one-year-anniversary
Citrini, “Election 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations”: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/election-2024-investment-implications
Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
__
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:20) How Citrini Is Thinking About Markets Right Now
(07:21) Just How Narrow Is The AI Bull Market?
(20:04) VanEck Ad
(20:44) Election 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations
(26:18) Fannie Mae and Glass Producers
(28:34) Onshoring vs. Nearshoring Stocks
(29:48) Trump Election Would Cause Epic 2s10s Steepeners
(33:41) Deficits Under Biden, Deficits Under Trump
(37:07) Trump's Aggressive Tax Policy (TCJA Tax Cuts To Expire In 2025)
(40:13) China
(46:32) Trump on Crypto
(48:15) Would The S&P 500 Perform Better Under Biden or Trump, and Why?
(54:12) Tarriff Basket
(56:05) Tarriffs on Chinese Electric Vehicles (EVs)
(58:31) Citrini on Tesla as an AI Company And As A Robotaxi Company
(01:01:40) The Hottest New Coding Language Is English
(01:06:21) Why Software and Saas Stocks Have Underperformed
(01:09:32) Margin Of Safety Has Been Extraordinarily Diminished
(01:12:43) What Are The Odds That The Top Is In For AI Stocks?
(01:19:03) China's AI Stocks
(01:34:54) Hedging For A Recession Is Pretty Straightforward Right Now
(01:37:18) Hedging Via The VIX
(01:42:34) Citrini: "I Think I'm Underweight Nvidia Relative to the S&P 500"
__
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
389 episodes
Share
Manage episode 424311001 series 3300108
Content provided by Blockworks. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Blockworks or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
Follow Citrini on Twitter https://x.com/Citrini7
Follow Citrini on Substack https://www.citriniresearch.com/
Citrini 1-Year Anniversary Piece: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/citrindex-one-year-anniversary
Citrini, “Election 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations”: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/election-2024-investment-implications
Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
__
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:20) How Citrini Is Thinking About Markets Right Now
(07:21) Just How Narrow Is The AI Bull Market?
(20:04) VanEck Ad
(20:44) Election 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations
(26:18) Fannie Mae and Glass Producers
(28:34) Onshoring vs. Nearshoring Stocks
(29:48) Trump Election Would Cause Epic 2s10s Steepeners
(33:41) Deficits Under Biden, Deficits Under Trump
(37:07) Trump's Aggressive Tax Policy (TCJA Tax Cuts To Expire In 2025)
(40:13) China
(46:32) Trump on Crypto
(48:15) Would The S&P 500 Perform Better Under Biden or Trump, and Why?
(54:12) Tarriff Basket
(56:05) Tarriffs on Chinese Electric Vehicles (EVs)
(58:31) Citrini on Tesla as an AI Company And As A Robotaxi Company
(01:01:40) The Hottest New Coding Language Is English
(01:06:21) Why Software and Saas Stocks Have Underperformed
(01:09:32) Margin Of Safety Has Been Extraordinarily Diminished
(01:12:43) What Are The Odds That The Top Is In For AI Stocks?
(01:19:03) China's AI Stocks
(01:34:54) Hedging For A Recession Is Pretty Straightforward Right Now
(01:37:18) Hedging Via The VIX
(01:42:34) Citrini: "I Think I'm Underweight Nvidia Relative to the S&P 500"
__
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
389 episodes
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Similar to Forward Guidance
Bitcoin pioneer Charlie Shrem peels back the layers on the lives and backgrounds of the world's most impactful innovators. Centering around intimate narratives, Shrem uncovers a detailed, previously unspoken story of the genesis and evolution of bitcoin, cryptocurrency, artificial intelligence, and the web3 movements. Join Shrem as he journeys through the uncharted territories of tech revolutions, revealing the human side of the stories that shaped the digital world we live in today.
…
continue reading
How will countries around the world cope with persistent inflation and high borrowing costs? Are central bankers helping to abate the cost-of-living crisis or are they moving us all closer to recession? On Stephanomics, a podcast hosted by Bloomberg Economics head Stephanie Flanders—the former BBC economics editor and chief market strategist for Europe at JPMorgan Asset Management—we combine reports from Bloomberg journalists around the world and conversations with internationally respected ...
…
continue reading
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…
continue reading
Bitcoin groundbreakers share personal stories of how Bitcoin is changing lives for the better. Host Mauricio Di Bartolomeo, co-founder and CSO of Ledn, speaks with leading Bitcoin voices, entrepreneurs, and human rights advocates to hear their unique journey and practical real-world examples of how Bitcoin has made a positive impact in their lives. Brought to you by Ledn, a leading financial services company built for Bitcoin & digital assets. Ledn offers a suite of lending, saving and tradi ...
…
continue reading
Motley Fool Money is a daily podcast for stock investors. Weekday episodes offer a long-term perspective on business news with The Motley Fool's investment analysts. Weekend shows are a mix of investing classes and longer-form interviews. The show is hosted by Dylan Lewis, Ricky Mulvey, and Mary Long.
…
continue reading
Kara Goldin, founder of Hint, sits down with today’s most fascinating entrepreneurs, disruptors, and change-makers for a no-holds-barred discussion of how they overcame long odds on the road to start-up success. Guests such as Guy Kawasaki (Apple, Canva), Julie Bornstein (The Yes, Stitch Fix), Mindy Grossman (WW), and Amy Errett (Madison Reed) share wisdom and anecdotes that will inspire you – and challenge you to think differently about achieving your goals. For more on the podcast as well ...
…
continue reading
Navigating today's global economy and deciphering investment choices can be an intricate endeavor. The influx of opinions and ever-shifting financial data adds to the challenge. For those committed to success, staying informed through market education and unbiased guidance is paramount. This realization has led an increasing number of individuals to integrate KPP Financial's 'InvestTalk' radio program and podcast into their investment strategies. InvestTalk, a daily program, delves into a ra ...
…
continue reading
Bloomberg Radio host Barry Ritholtz looks at the people and ideas that shape markets, investing and business.
…
continue reading
1
Wholesaling Inc with Brent Daniels
Find distressed properties for pennies on the dollar and turn them for huge profits!
Let’s face it, Real estate education has lost the script. Everybody “claims” to have the secret sauce. They get you to sign up, get you to bite on a “magic” formula, but there’s no real tools to get there. There’s so much talk, no practical steps. It’s not instructional, it’s hype. The ideas aren’t focused on your success, it’s focused on theirs. Well, it doesn’t have to be that way. If you’ve been searching for a way to escape the rat race and achieve true financial freedom wholesaling real ...
…
continue reading
Outsource Acelerator Podcast, hosted by Derek Gallimore, explores business and outsourcing mastery. Inside-knowledge from the outsourcing capital of the world - Manila, Philippines.
…
continue reading
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