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Nick Givanovic: Treasury Bonds Are “Historically Unattractive” To Leveraged Investors

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Manage episode 418559468 series 3300108
Content provided by Blockworks. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Blockworks or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.

Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.

__

Follow Nick Givanovic on Twitter https://twitter.com/nickgiva1

Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96

Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

__

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:30) Nick Favors Stocks Over Bonds Until He Sees Data That Say Otherwise

(05:25) Potential For An Bond Auction Failure

(06:44) U.S Government Borrowing: Treasury Bills vs. Treasury Coupons

(21:49) Conditions At Recent Treasury Market Auctions

(25:13) Short Bonds, But Not Wildly Bearish

(26:13) VanEck Ad

(27:14) Is Yield Curve Steepener Trade Positive Carry or Negative Carry?

(28:43) Inflation Volatility Is Bad For Term Premia

(33:13) Bull Steepener vs. Bear Steepener: How Will The Yield Curve Uninvert?

(39:10) Bull Steepeners Usually Occur Faster Than Bear Steepeners (Nick Thinks Bull Steepener Could Be More Likely)

(54:24) Volatility In The Bond Market

(01:02:21) Relative to Bonds, Nick Is Bullish On Stocks

(01:07:49) The Labor Market

(01:09:53) GameStop and the Return of Meme Stocks

__

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  continue reading

380 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 418559468 series 3300108
Content provided by Blockworks. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Blockworks or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.

Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.

__

Follow Nick Givanovic on Twitter https://twitter.com/nickgiva1

Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96

Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

__

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:30) Nick Favors Stocks Over Bonds Until He Sees Data That Say Otherwise

(05:25) Potential For An Bond Auction Failure

(06:44) U.S Government Borrowing: Treasury Bills vs. Treasury Coupons

(21:49) Conditions At Recent Treasury Market Auctions

(25:13) Short Bonds, But Not Wildly Bearish

(26:13) VanEck Ad

(27:14) Is Yield Curve Steepener Trade Positive Carry or Negative Carry?

(28:43) Inflation Volatility Is Bad For Term Premia

(33:13) Bull Steepener vs. Bear Steepener: How Will The Yield Curve Uninvert?

(39:10) Bull Steepeners Usually Occur Faster Than Bear Steepeners (Nick Thinks Bull Steepener Could Be More Likely)

(54:24) Volatility In The Bond Market

(01:02:21) Relative to Bonds, Nick Is Bullish On Stocks

(01:07:49) The Labor Market

(01:09:53) GameStop and the Return of Meme Stocks

__

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  continue reading

380 episodes

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