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Ian Harnett: Can the US sidestep recession? And the big risk no one is talking about

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Manage episode 371190565 series 2973891
Content provided by Antipodes Partners. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Antipodes Partners or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Ian Harnett is a co-founder and chief investment strategist of Absolute Strategy Research (ASR) one of only a handful of highly regarded independent global macro research firms.

In this conversation with Alison Savas, Ian discusses why he believes the west has a "vanishingly small" chance of avoiding recession, but explains how a new source of liquidity in global markets could be a game changer.

He also shares his views on stock market valuations and one big risk factor he believes most are overlooking.

Key times:

  • Can the US & the West sidestep recession? 02:20
  • The critical data points ASR is monitoring closely 05:30
  • Can the Fed restore balance in the labour market? 8:50
  • Non-bank financials & the liquidity crunch: 11:10
  • Outlook for non-residential investment and fiscal deficits: 16:00
  • Why US equities are overvalued: 20:30
  • Valuations of European and Chinese equities: 21:30
  • Can China keep growing? 22:30
  • The big risk investors are overlooking in today’s market: 28:10
  continue reading

45 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 371190565 series 2973891
Content provided by Antipodes Partners. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Antipodes Partners or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Ian Harnett is a co-founder and chief investment strategist of Absolute Strategy Research (ASR) one of only a handful of highly regarded independent global macro research firms.

In this conversation with Alison Savas, Ian discusses why he believes the west has a "vanishingly small" chance of avoiding recession, but explains how a new source of liquidity in global markets could be a game changer.

He also shares his views on stock market valuations and one big risk factor he believes most are overlooking.

Key times:

  • Can the US & the West sidestep recession? 02:20
  • The critical data points ASR is monitoring closely 05:30
  • Can the Fed restore balance in the labour market? 8:50
  • Non-bank financials & the liquidity crunch: 11:10
  • Outlook for non-residential investment and fiscal deficits: 16:00
  • Why US equities are overvalued: 20:30
  • Valuations of European and Chinese equities: 21:30
  • Can China keep growing? 22:30
  • The big risk investors are overlooking in today’s market: 28:10
  continue reading

45 episodes

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