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Robin Hanson — Boxing with the King of Prediction Markets

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Manage episode 300041996 series 2970761
Content provided by Mike Elias & James Ellis, Mike Elias, and James Ellis. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Mike Elias & James Ellis, Mike Elias, and James Ellis or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

A pioneer of prediction markets since the 1980s, Robin Hanson is the author of two books (The Elephant in the Brain, The Age of Em) and has a popular blog called Overcoming Bias. Hanson is also an Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University, and Research Associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University.

In this episode:

(00:00) — Episodes begins

(01:07) — What inspired idea futures?

(06:00) — Decision markets for organisations

(09:16) — Using prediction markets to overcome bias

(14:25) — Honesty razors in today's world

(17:08) — "An autist in the C-suite"

(24:25) — Ideamarket discussion begins

Round 1

(43:10) — Why Ideamarket results are not tied to any external truth

Round 2

(55:44) — Informed traders vs Noise traders

Round 3

(1:16:34) — The Colour Wheel of Truth — is Ideamarket a Keynesian Beauty Contest?

EPISODE LINKS:

- Robin on Twitter

- Overcoming Bias

- Robin's Bio

- Book: The Age of Em: Work, Love, and Life when Robots Rule the Earth

- Book: The Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life

IDEAMARKET LINKS

- Ideamarket Website

- Ideamarket on Twitter

- Ideamarket Discord

- Apple Podcasts

- Spotify

The Ideamarket Podcast is where venture philosophers share the ideas, trends, and concepts they're most bullish on.

About Ideamarket:

Ideamarket is the credibility layer of the internet.

Ideamarket allows the public to mainstream the world's best information using market signals, replacing media corporations as arbiter of credibility.

Get started now.

  continue reading

21 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 300041996 series 2970761
Content provided by Mike Elias & James Ellis, Mike Elias, and James Ellis. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Mike Elias & James Ellis, Mike Elias, and James Ellis or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

A pioneer of prediction markets since the 1980s, Robin Hanson is the author of two books (The Elephant in the Brain, The Age of Em) and has a popular blog called Overcoming Bias. Hanson is also an Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University, and Research Associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University.

In this episode:

(00:00) — Episodes begins

(01:07) — What inspired idea futures?

(06:00) — Decision markets for organisations

(09:16) — Using prediction markets to overcome bias

(14:25) — Honesty razors in today's world

(17:08) — "An autist in the C-suite"

(24:25) — Ideamarket discussion begins

Round 1

(43:10) — Why Ideamarket results are not tied to any external truth

Round 2

(55:44) — Informed traders vs Noise traders

Round 3

(1:16:34) — The Colour Wheel of Truth — is Ideamarket a Keynesian Beauty Contest?

EPISODE LINKS:

- Robin on Twitter

- Overcoming Bias

- Robin's Bio

- Book: The Age of Em: Work, Love, and Life when Robots Rule the Earth

- Book: The Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life

IDEAMARKET LINKS

- Ideamarket Website

- Ideamarket on Twitter

- Ideamarket Discord

- Apple Podcasts

- Spotify

The Ideamarket Podcast is where venture philosophers share the ideas, trends, and concepts they're most bullish on.

About Ideamarket:

Ideamarket is the credibility layer of the internet.

Ideamarket allows the public to mainstream the world's best information using market signals, replacing media corporations as arbiter of credibility.

Get started now.

  continue reading

21 episodes

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