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How Will The Pandemic Playout Some Possible Scenarios, From Research - LeadLout
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For the last several months, the key questions on everybody’s mind have included how long the Covid-19 pandemic will run, and whether the disease will resurface season by season. Two new studies, first reported in The New York Times, project various shapes the Covid-19 curve can take.
One study, published in Science, projects that winter outbreaks will probably recur. It suggests prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022 to prevent the case load from exceeding critical care capacities.
The other study is a viewpoint published by the US Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy (CIDRAP). It projects various conceptual courses that the pandemic “wave” may take. These are based on historic patterns of previous pandemics as well as the findings of the paper in Science.
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