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#1: Scott Eastman on Ukraine
Manage episode 383890117 series 3524300
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A podcast about the chance of important events.
Superforecaster Scott Eastman discusses the chances of different outcomes in Ukraine. Scott's probability model: https://tinyurl.com/UkraineScott My model after thinking afterwards: https://tinyurl.com/UkraineNathan Article on taking land piece by piece: https://samf.substack.com/p/salami-slicing-boiled-frogs-and-russian
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