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Quoth the Raven #345 - George Gammon Explains The Yen Carry Trade Chaos

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Manage episode 433539315 series 2969126
Content provided by Quoth the Raven. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Quoth the Raven or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

George Gammon hosts the Rebel Capitalist Show on YouTube and runs the Rebel Capitalist Pro platform. George is one of my favorite economic commentators and has been a friend of mine, and my podcast, for years. I often describe his podcast as similar to mine, just more well thought out, more educational and more useful with less dick and fart jokes. Hey, everybody’s got their own style.

This is a discussion I had with George on Monday 8/5/2024 following the chaos in U.S. markets on Monday, which followed a 12% drubbing in Japanese stocks Sunday night heading into Monday.

On this podcast, we discussed:

  • What the yen carry trade is and why it’s screwing up the works in the U.S.

  • Other risks to U.S. markets and the U.S. economy

  • Whether George thinks we are heading for a debt crisis (the answer might surprise you)

  • What the bond market is telling us

  • How George thinks the Fed is going to react to this volatility

  • What George thinks the market is going to do in both the short and medium term

Support QTR

My near-daily blog, Fringe Finance. Get 40% off a subscription: https://quoththeraven.substack.com/subscribe?coupon=fa90a2a2&utm_content=

Contribute a donation to the podcast via Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/QTRResearch

Follow me on YouTube, and Twitter

Please show love to those who support the QTR Podcast: Longest Running Supporters
  1. Max Mulvihill - Since 2/2018
  2. Mark Heywood - Since 3/2018
  3. Kyle Thomas - Since 4/2018
  4. Chris Bede - Since 5/2018
  5. Dariusz Kordonski - Since 5/2018
  6. Chris Gerrard - Since 5/2018
  7. Shear Luck - Since 5/2018
Founding Members Of My "FRINGE FINANCE" Column
  1. Kashumba - Since 8/2021
  2. Randy Carder - Since 8/2021
  3. T Gaggiotti - Since 8/2021
  4. Jamie - Since 8/2021
  5. A Farmer - Since 9/2021
  6. Harvest Moon Research - Since 9/2021
  7. John H. H. - Since 11/2021
  8. Mark Hutchinson - Since 11/2021
  9. Joseph K. H. - Since 10/2021
  10. A Farmer - Since 9/2021
  11. Tsniezyk - Since 9/2021
  12. Chris - Since 12/2021
All podcast content is subject to this disclaimer, which you should read slowly, multiple times. QTR’s Disclaimer: Please read my full legal disclaimer on my About page here. This podcast represents my opinions only. In addition, please understand I am an idiot and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning. Contributor posts and aggregated posts have been hand selected by me, have not been fact checked and are the opinions of their authors. Guests have not been fact checked. Guest opinions and my opinions are not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities, just opinions. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in. I may add any name mentioned in this podcast and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. None of this is a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I may or may not own names I talk, write or think about and are watching. Sometimes I’m bullish without owning things, sometimes I’m bearish and do own things. Just assume my positions could be exactly the opposite of what you think they are just in case. All positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice and at any point I can be long, short or neutral on any position. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog. I exist on the fringe. The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can’t guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. I edit after my posts are published because I’m impatient and lazy, so if you see a typo, check back in a half hour. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it twice because it’s that important.

  continue reading

100 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 433539315 series 2969126
Content provided by Quoth the Raven. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Quoth the Raven or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

George Gammon hosts the Rebel Capitalist Show on YouTube and runs the Rebel Capitalist Pro platform. George is one of my favorite economic commentators and has been a friend of mine, and my podcast, for years. I often describe his podcast as similar to mine, just more well thought out, more educational and more useful with less dick and fart jokes. Hey, everybody’s got their own style.

This is a discussion I had with George on Monday 8/5/2024 following the chaos in U.S. markets on Monday, which followed a 12% drubbing in Japanese stocks Sunday night heading into Monday.

On this podcast, we discussed:

  • What the yen carry trade is and why it’s screwing up the works in the U.S.

  • Other risks to U.S. markets and the U.S. economy

  • Whether George thinks we are heading for a debt crisis (the answer might surprise you)

  • What the bond market is telling us

  • How George thinks the Fed is going to react to this volatility

  • What George thinks the market is going to do in both the short and medium term

Support QTR

My near-daily blog, Fringe Finance. Get 40% off a subscription: https://quoththeraven.substack.com/subscribe?coupon=fa90a2a2&utm_content=

Contribute a donation to the podcast via Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/QTRResearch

Follow me on YouTube, and Twitter

Please show love to those who support the QTR Podcast: Longest Running Supporters
  1. Max Mulvihill - Since 2/2018
  2. Mark Heywood - Since 3/2018
  3. Kyle Thomas - Since 4/2018
  4. Chris Bede - Since 5/2018
  5. Dariusz Kordonski - Since 5/2018
  6. Chris Gerrard - Since 5/2018
  7. Shear Luck - Since 5/2018
Founding Members Of My "FRINGE FINANCE" Column
  1. Kashumba - Since 8/2021
  2. Randy Carder - Since 8/2021
  3. T Gaggiotti - Since 8/2021
  4. Jamie - Since 8/2021
  5. A Farmer - Since 9/2021
  6. Harvest Moon Research - Since 9/2021
  7. John H. H. - Since 11/2021
  8. Mark Hutchinson - Since 11/2021
  9. Joseph K. H. - Since 10/2021
  10. A Farmer - Since 9/2021
  11. Tsniezyk - Since 9/2021
  12. Chris - Since 12/2021
All podcast content is subject to this disclaimer, which you should read slowly, multiple times. QTR’s Disclaimer: Please read my full legal disclaimer on my About page here. This podcast represents my opinions only. In addition, please understand I am an idiot and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning. Contributor posts and aggregated posts have been hand selected by me, have not been fact checked and are the opinions of their authors. Guests have not been fact checked. Guest opinions and my opinions are not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities, just opinions. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in. I may add any name mentioned in this podcast and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. None of this is a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I may or may not own names I talk, write or think about and are watching. Sometimes I’m bullish without owning things, sometimes I’m bearish and do own things. Just assume my positions could be exactly the opposite of what you think they are just in case. All positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice and at any point I can be long, short or neutral on any position. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog. I exist on the fringe. The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can’t guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. I edit after my posts are published because I’m impatient and lazy, so if you see a typo, check back in a half hour. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it twice because it’s that important.

  continue reading

100 episodes

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