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Decision Making (EP.02)

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Manage episode 287177031 series 2508179
Content provided by ReSolve Asset Management. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by ReSolve Asset Management or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Philip Tetlock’s research on the qualities of Super-forecasters explains why forecasting is hard and how diverse models and systematic thinking can help close the gap.

We discuss:

  • Improving predictions by regularly updating data
  • The Brier Score and why it really matters
  • Why larger samples permit more accurate short term predictions
  • The difficulties with the “Long Now” narrative

Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

  continue reading

22 episodes

Artwork

Decision Making (EP.02)

ReSolve's Masterclass

29 subscribers

published

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Manage episode 287177031 series 2508179
Content provided by ReSolve Asset Management. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by ReSolve Asset Management or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Philip Tetlock’s research on the qualities of Super-forecasters explains why forecasting is hard and how diverse models and systematic thinking can help close the gap.

We discuss:

  • Improving predictions by regularly updating data
  • The Brier Score and why it really matters
  • Why larger samples permit more accurate short term predictions
  • The difficulties with the “Long Now” narrative

Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

  continue reading

22 episodes

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