2019 Predictions & How My 2018 Predictions Fared

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At the end of 2017, I made my predictions for 2018. Although I got a couple of things wrong, I was surprisingly accurate.

Since the point of this exercise is to prove how wrong we can all be, I need to do the same exercise for 2019 with the hope that I get more things wrong. I encourage you to make predictions in the comments. It's a humbling experience.

Here are seven predictions of what I think we'll witness in 2019:

1. Donald Trump will NOT be impeached

Yes, this contradicts the prediction I made after the first 100 days of his administration and that I repeated at the end of 2017. Those original predictions were based on my assumption that there would be a huge backlash in the 2018 midterm elections, which would turn the entire Congress to the Democratic side. Instead, the Senate remained under Republican control. As a result, the Democrats won't get the votes to give Trump the boot unless he grabs Andrea Merkel by the pussy.

2. Bitcoin will double in value in 2019

My Bitcoin prediction in 2017 was surprisingly close to reality. I predicted that it would lose about 80% of its value and it did. I was lucky. Let's see if I can get lucky again.

I predict that Bitcoin it will go from $3,650 (its price on Dec 31, 2018) to over $7,300 by the end of 2019. If the Bitcoin ETF happens in 2019 (and I think it will), Bitcoin might pass $10,000 again. I'll give more cryptocurrency predictions later.

3. The S&P 500 will gain over 15%

It's about 2,500 at the end of 2018. So it should be over 2,875 by the end of 2019.

4. Cyril Ramaphosa will win the 2019 Presidential Election in South Africa

It will take at least 20 years and much suffering for the black majority to vote the ANC out of power. Blacks in South Africa are more loyal to the ANC than blacks in America are loyal to the Democrats. Getting the South African blacks to vote for a non-ANC party is about as easy as getting someone to change religions.

5. Atiku Abubakar will win Nigeria's 2019 Presidential election

He'll kick Buhari out of power. It will be relatively peaceful. And Abubakar will be just as incompetent and ineffective as his predecessor. Nigeria will continue its lackluster performance, despite....

6. A barrel of petroleum will go up 25% in price

At the end of 2018, a barrel of petroleum costs $45. The stock USO costs $9.66 per share. Both of those prices will go up at least 25%.

7. I will finish The Unseen Africa book

I've written 15 out of 54 Chapters. I hope to put out one per week!

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