Artwork

Content provided by tastylive. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by tastylive or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.
Player FM - Podcast App
Go offline with the Player FM app!

Mastering Conditional Probabilities for Trading Success

17:49
 
Share
 

Fetch error

Hmmm there seems to be a problem fetching this series right now. Last successful fetch was on August 16, 2024 20:56 (1d ago)

What now? This series will be checked again in the next day. If you believe it should be working, please verify the publisher's feed link below is valid and includes actual episode links. You can contact support to request the feed be immediately fetched.

Manage episode 434461116 series 1262477
Content provided by tastylive. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by tastylive or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

The conversation highlights market volatility, focusing on conditional probabilities and their practical implications for traders. Gold is down, as are other markets, leading to increased volatility. The discourse delves deep into using theoretical models like the Black-Scholes and conditioning on events to predict market behaviors and manage risk. This includes discussions on conditional value at risk (CVaR) and empirical data on market trends. A key takeaway is the importance of being adaptable, as theoretical models may underestimate long runs.

  continue reading

274 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 

Fetch error

Hmmm there seems to be a problem fetching this series right now. Last successful fetch was on August 16, 2024 20:56 (1d ago)

What now? This series will be checked again in the next day. If you believe it should be working, please verify the publisher's feed link below is valid and includes actual episode links. You can contact support to request the feed be immediately fetched.

Manage episode 434461116 series 1262477
Content provided by tastylive. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by tastylive or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

The conversation highlights market volatility, focusing on conditional probabilities and their practical implications for traders. Gold is down, as are other markets, leading to increased volatility. The discourse delves deep into using theoretical models like the Black-Scholes and conditioning on events to predict market behaviors and manage risk. This includes discussions on conditional value at risk (CVaR) and empirical data on market trends. A key takeaway is the importance of being adaptable, as theoretical models may underestimate long runs.

  continue reading

274 episodes

All episodes

×
 
Loading …

Welcome to Player FM!

Player FM is scanning the web for high-quality podcasts for you to enjoy right now. It's the best podcast app and works on Android, iPhone, and the web. Signup to sync subscriptions across devices.

 

Quick Reference Guide