Central Banks Versus Bond Markets: The Clash Continues

The Moses and Methuselah Podcast

Summary

Equity and bond markets have stabilised after the banking tremors we saw in March, but bond investors remain convinced that inflation and future interest rates will come back down to earth more quickly than many vocal market pundits think. Peter and Jonathan are not entirely agreed on how this will all play out and continue their debate on this issue, while agreeing that as credit conditions tighten availability of finance will be more important than its cost, making strong and prudently managed balance sheets a primary consideration for equity and fund investors.

00:32 - Welcome back

00:50 - How central banks balance reducing inflation versus promoting instability in the banking system?

05:36 - Will the Fed change course?

09:10 - Governments and banks pulling in different directions

16:20 - Sell the last rate hike

20:15 - Impact of the availability of credit

25:41 - Close

About Your Hosts

Jonathan Davis started his career as a financial journalist on UK national newspapers, including The Times and The Economist, before qualifying as a professional investor and moving into a new portfolio career as an author, columnist (for The Independent and Financial Times), publisher and investment strategist. He is currently the editor of the annual Investment Trusts Handbook. You can find his newsletter and weekly investment trust podcast on his Money-Makers website. Apart from family, his chief recreation is playing bridge at a high level.

Peter Seilern began his career in financial services in October 1973, which coincided with the first oil shock and was followed by a brutal bear market and an explosion in inflation. After gaining experience in all aspects of the banking industry in Austria, Germany and Switzerland, he founded his own investment management business in 1989, today called Seilern Investment Management, based in London. Born in Trieste, Italy, in 1952, his background is quintessentially pan-European and he deeply believes in the necessity for European nations to continue to strive for ever closer political, economic and monetary union. He has been married for almost thirty-nine years and has three adult children. His hobbies include making and listening to music and reading.Buy Peter’s book Only the Best Will Do, master investor Peter Seilern reveals everything you need to know to practise the art of quality growth investing: finding the companies that can reliably deliver steady and strong growth for the long term.