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Short-Selling In 2021: Beware The Crowded Trade, And Eyes On Nvidia

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Manage episode 298830394 series 2964575
Content provided by Shortman Studios. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Shortman Studios or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

"I'd rather short a real company than a fraud or a meme stock."

Akram's Razor made this case on a recent Twitter Space, and we unpack the point on today's episode of the Razor's Edge. In a year when many short-sellers have been run over by trains, and have the AMC and GME shaped scars to prove it, betting against a popular, universally loved name may actually be safer. We go over Akram's historic approach to shorting, how that has to adapt to the current market, what the line is between a meme stock and an ordinary dud, and Nvidia's current position, which is more precarious than the market seems to be pricing in.

Topics Covered
  • 2:30 minute mark – Akram's historic shorting approach vs. the current market
  • 9:00 – Microstrategy (MSTR) hodlco vs. opco
  • 15:00 – Pay attention vs. avoid meme stocks
  • 20:30 – More tangible shorts
  • 24:30 – Sketching out Nvidia questions
  • 32:30 – Sketching out tech sector questions
  • 39:30 – The risk of relying on management to warn about slowdowns and the value of contrarianism (in spots)
  • 47:30 – Disputing numbers vs. disputing stories and the proof of stake risk
  • 53:30 – The ARM deal and Nvidia’s meme potential
  • 59:30 – Staying out the way of these memes
  • 1:06:00 – Building the “you’re crazy” basket
  continue reading

100 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 298830394 series 2964575
Content provided by Shortman Studios. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Shortman Studios or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

"I'd rather short a real company than a fraud or a meme stock."

Akram's Razor made this case on a recent Twitter Space, and we unpack the point on today's episode of the Razor's Edge. In a year when many short-sellers have been run over by trains, and have the AMC and GME shaped scars to prove it, betting against a popular, universally loved name may actually be safer. We go over Akram's historic approach to shorting, how that has to adapt to the current market, what the line is between a meme stock and an ordinary dud, and Nvidia's current position, which is more precarious than the market seems to be pricing in.

Topics Covered
  • 2:30 minute mark – Akram's historic shorting approach vs. the current market
  • 9:00 – Microstrategy (MSTR) hodlco vs. opco
  • 15:00 – Pay attention vs. avoid meme stocks
  • 20:30 – More tangible shorts
  • 24:30 – Sketching out Nvidia questions
  • 32:30 – Sketching out tech sector questions
  • 39:30 – The risk of relying on management to warn about slowdowns and the value of contrarianism (in spots)
  • 47:30 – Disputing numbers vs. disputing stories and the proof of stake risk
  • 53:30 – The ARM deal and Nvidia’s meme potential
  • 59:30 – Staying out the way of these memes
  • 1:06:00 – Building the “you’re crazy” basket
  continue reading

100 episodes

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