Weather Thursday June 13 2024 Fair in the northeast .... Heavy t-storms Friday then nice for the weekend in NYC ... Florida heavy storms continue

The Weather Man Podcast, I talk about weather!

The threat for Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding continues
over central and southern Florida through Friday...
...There's an Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms across parts of the
Middle Mississippi Valley on Thursday...
...There are Excessive Heat Warnings and Advisories over parts of the
Southwest, and western Texas...
A stationary boundary bisecting the Florida Peninsula will be the focus
for thunderstorm activity across much of the state over the next couple of
days. A complex of storms slowly moving through south-central Florida late
this afternoon and into the early evening will produce heavy to excessive
rainfall leading to significant flash flooding. Storms should move into
the Keys tonight before reloading for another round of storms on Thursday
and Friday. There are Slight Risks (at least 15%) in effect for parts of
central/southern Florida with the potential for upgrades over the next
couple of days.
Digging mid-level energy will support thunderstorm activity across
portions of the Middle Mississippi Valley Thursday afternoon and evening.
Thunderstorms are expected to initiate somewhere ahead of a cold front
propagating through the Upper Midwest Thursday afternoon before moving
into the eastern Iowa, northern Illinois/Indiana. Storms should congeal
into an MCS and push farther into the Midwest Thursday night. There's an
Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of Severe Thunderstorms in southern Iowa,
northwest Illinois and northern Missouri for late Thursday afternoon to
early evening. Very large hail, destructive wind gusts and a few tornadoes
are possible. This vort max will shift the convective threat into the
interior Northeast on Friday afternoon and evening, where scattered storms
with severe wind gusts will be possible. The upper low that has been
spinning just off the coast of southern/Baja California will move into the
Western U.S. on Thursday before influencing more thunderstorm activity
over parts of the Central Plains this Friday. Storms are forecast to
initiate on the lee side of the Central Rockies on Friday afternoon and
propagate eastward into the Central Plains that evening.
An upper-level ridge over the West will degrade and shift eastward as the
closed low move into the region over the next 24 hours. Temperatures will
moderate a bit, particularly over the Four Corners as well as California's
central valley, where Excessive Heat Warnings and Watches will come to an
end tonight. Anomalous temps should shift into the Northwest and northern
tier late this week beneath the ridge. In the meantime, Excessive Heat
Warnings and Advisories remain in effect across parts of the Southwest
into western Texas.