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Pure Bracket Wisdom

Pure Hoops Media

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A decade ago, Ed Feng was just a curious sports fan who wanted to win his bracket in March. He enjoyed books like Moneyball and Basketball on Paper but never put the ideas to use for winning a pool. That changed in 2008. After reading an academic paper on Google’s technology, Ed was inspired to apply his Stanford Ph.D. to the ranking of sports teams. From 2002 through 2018, his pre-tournament numbers predicted the winner of 71.2% of March Madness games (792-320). In this ten part podcast ser ...
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Come enjoy The Bettor Life. Life as a gambler is unique and fun. This podcast will talk to professional bettors and recreational gamblers alike about poker, table games, sports betting, slots, and other games of chance. Hosted by Timothy Lawson.
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Ben Stevens, the host of multiple shows on SportsGrid, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How he became Big Ten Ben (1:17). Two college football bets (3:40). Clemson (8:39). Ohio State (12:16). Michigan (21:59). Rutgers (24:15). Penn State (30:06). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site d…
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Clevta, a sharp NFL analyst and bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: An NFL bet on the Minnesota Vikings (1:21). His 2024 NFL preview (6:59). Philadelphia Eagles (12:52). Detroit Lions (22:10). Ohio State (26:07). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytic…
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Drew Dinsick, a distinguished quantitative bettor and co-host of the Deep Dive podcast, joins me for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: An overview of Olympic betting (1:18). Are there market making books for Olympics? (6:21). How Drew uses his swimming background to bet (11:33). An Olympics swimming bet (25:45). An NFL insight into t…
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Host Ed Feng introduces a new project: an audio preview for the 2024 football season that contains two in depth, data driven stories. He describe the project and then reads a sample about making accurate NFL spread predictions early in the season. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for…
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Luke Swain, a football and draft betting expert who goes by Vegas Refund, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His journey from DFS to sports betting (:45). The difference between NFL and NBA draft betting (5:56). His process for betting the NBA draft, which includes wisdom of crowds (13:05). Two NBA draft bets (18:00…
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Peter Bukowski, host of the Locked On Packers podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Why the Packers offense surged in 2023 (0:54). Evidence for the excellence of coach Matt Lafleur as a play caller (4:06). New Packers DC Jeff Hafley (10:31). Detroit Lions (18:50). Which team should be favored to win the divisi…
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Gill Alexander, tennis handicapper and the host of A Numbers Game on VSIN, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His quantitative process for betting tennis (0:47). A French Open bet (6:34). The men at the French Open (10:08). Tennis after Nadal and Djokovic (16:51). Why sports is better now (19:37). The Football Analy…
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Jim Sannes, the managing editor of digital media at FanDuel, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation on the Super Bowl weekend of motorsports. Highlights include: Model building for motorsports (1:26). Simulating motorsports results (7:50). The differences between Nascar and Formula 1 (11:20). Coca-Cola 600 (20:20). Monaco Grand Prix (24:55)…
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To generate preseason NFL rankings, The Power Rank takes market win totals and backs out a rating for each team. This analysis singles out a single team from the NFC South with by far the easiest schedule for the 2024 season. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To …
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Arif Hasan, owner of the Wide Left NFL substack, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His composite NFL big board to evaluate talent (:43). How to quantify the accuracy of the consensus big board (7:25). The two people that beat the consensus big board (10:35). Interesting players to watch based on the 2024 big board …
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I've been talking about this episode for about six months. There is a long list of reasons why this has taken so long to release, but I'll save you from my excuses. Zack White (AKA @GambleBalls on X) is a professional bettor and brewery owner. When he's not watching his multi-screen setup in his home office, he co-owns the Salty Turtle Beer Company…
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Kevin Cole, football analytics expert and founder of Unexpected Points, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Are tight ends like Brock Bowers overrated? (1:29). An NFL draft bet (4:10). The trajectory of JJ McCarthy (8:10). Arizona with the 4th pick (12:32). Another NFL draft bet based on wisdom of crowds (18:25). The…
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Matt Waldman, who creates the Rookie Scouting Portfolio based on countless hours of watching film, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The difficulty in projecting JJ McCarthy (2:34). Why quarterbacks fail in the NFL (14:46). How to improve NFL QB development (24:05). Bryce Young, Jordan Love (29:10). How to tell whe…
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Mississippi Rob opens the episode to help me go over the agenda for Biloxi in May. Then, Thomas Slade and his partner Melissa tell us about the Colorado trip in June. Use promo code "YOELEVEN" for 11% off at The Bettor Life online shop: www.bettormerch.com Want to launch your own podcast? Use promo code "BETTOR" at sign up for 2 months free when yo…
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Ryan O'Hanlon, the author of the excellent Net Gains: Inside the Beautiful Game's Analytics Revolution and writer for ESPN, joins the show to discuss Champions League. Highlights include: The one thing to take home from Net Gains (0:42). Man City vs Real Madrid (5:39). Bayern Munich vs Arsenal (15:28). Dortmund vs Atletic Madrid (22:26). Barcelona …
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Aaron Barzilai has a Stanford PhD and has worked for multiple NBA teams. He has also founded HerHoopStats.com, a comprehensive site for women's college basketball and WNBA analytics, and joins the show to discuss the 2024 Final Four. Highlights include: South Carolina, coach Dawn Staley vs North Carolina State (0:42). Iowa vs Connecticut (8:50). Of…
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Another monologue for you to snack on. I talk about each way I am enjoying March Madness - from survivor pools to open slot parlays. I also answer a handful of questions from listeners focused on my experience at the casino and in Vegas. Use promo code "YOELEVEN" for 11% off at The Bettor Life online shop: www.bettormerch.com Want to launch your ow…
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With the new rules in college basketball, transfers can make a big impact on a team. Edward Egros explores the data behind transfers and breaks down the impact on teams like Kansas, North Carolina State and Gonzaga. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free chea…
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You love March Madness because of the upsets, the underdog that slays the huge favorite. Edward Egros looks at the last five colossal upsets and spots trends in these games. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fi…
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Data and analytics are very good at predicting the outcome of March Madness. However, you might choose to go against the numbers in your bracket. This episode explores the cognitive science behind why you are still considering that 12 over 5 seed upset. Humans are worse than rats in dealing with randomness, and this has consequences in filling out …
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Do college basketball teams that perform better on the road have an edge in the NCAA tournament? Conversely, do teams that only thrive at home fail in March? Edward Egros looks at the evolution of home court advantage and how teams perform on the road compared to home. He identifies three teams to fade in the 2024 NCAA tournament. Bracket Wisdom is…
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The Mountain West has had a remarkable season, as the mid-major conference might get up to six teams in the 2024 NCAA tournament. Edward Egros takes a data based approach to break down San Diego State, a team that made the title game in 2023, as well as Utah State and Boise State. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to g…
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The Southeastern Conference has provided some of the best, most entertaining college basketball this season. Edward Egros breaks down the tournament chances for Auburn, Alabama and Kentucky. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it dro…
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Data is king, as predictive analytics should play a crucial role in predicting the outcome of the 2024 NCAA tournament. However, do not forget about a surprising predictive resource based on the wisdom of crowds. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat s…
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A short monologue for you to snack on this week. I talk about casino kiosk games, targeting play for future offers, and how my play would change if my local casino was different. Use promo code "YOELEVEN" for 11% off at The Bettor Life online shop: www.bettormerch.com Want to launch your own podcast? Use promo code "BETTOR" at sign up for 2 months …
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Professor Edward Egros, a sports analytics and betting expert who has worked for Fox, FanDuel and the NFL among other places, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The Big Ten team that can surprise in the NCAA tournament (2:13). The Big West team that could play Cinderella (4:07). Edward's favorite to win the 2024 tou…
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Ed Miller, co-author of the books Interception - The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting and The Logic of Sports Betting, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The one thing to take away from Interception (1:10). Betting versus making software for sports books operators (4:40). Why he and Matthew Davidow wrote Interceptio…
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