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The Macro Trading Floor

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The Macro Trading Floor

Alfonso Peccatiello & Andreas Steno Larsen | Blockworks

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Every week, one of the best worldwide macro investors joins this unique show to talk about the economy, markets and elaborate the next big actionable macro trade! The show is hosted by two young and institutionally successful European macro stars: Alfonso Peccatiello (former Head of a $20bn Investment Portfolio at ING) and Andreas Steno Larsen (former Chief Strategist at Nordea).
 
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Food Can Fix It

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Food Can Fix It

EAT: The Science-Based Global Platform for Food System Transformation

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Food Can Fix It is a podcast produced by EAT as part of our mission to create a fair and sustainable global food system for healthy people, animals and planet. Our weekly interviews spotlight the work of activist chefs, visionary political leaders, socially responsible investors and groundbreaking entrepreneurs and scientists who are transforming the way we produce, consume and think about food. Tune in to hear about how children in Peru are being taught to like dark chocolate, how used tea ...
 
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show series
 
Retail sales have been migrating online from stores for years. The pandemic gave a big boost to this migration, which has now eased off. In this Nordea On Your Mind podcast, Johan Trocmé and Viktor Sonebäck talk about what will come next, how the online share of retail sales could resume its structural growth trend, with demographics as a key drive…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso discuss the top stories of the week from the Bank of England announcing emergency gilt market operations, recent volatility in currency markets & the Nord Stream gas leak. With so much happening in currencies as the US dollar continues marching higher, Alfonso & Andreas take the t…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Bob Elliott Co-Founder, CEO & CIO of Unlimited Funds to the show. With U.S inflation still above 8%, Bob walks through previous periods of inflation and describes what kind of portfolios are best suited to periods of high inflation. How does the traditional 60/40, risk par…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Alfonso takes a week out and substitutes in Jack Farley Host of another Blockworks podcast titled "Forward Guidance". Andreas and Jack welcome Andrew Simon, Chief Operating Officer of Macro Hive to the show for a discussion on one of the most widely discussed topics in markets, energy. Seeing no sing…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Vincent Deluard Director of global macro at StoneX. Vincent outlines the new regime for inflation before taking a deep dive into the labor market and how structural shifts such as demographics & de-globalization are beginning to cause tectonic shifts for global markets. Fi…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Ben Melkman Founder & CIO of Light Sky Macro. Expecting a secular shift in inflation, Ben shares his thoughts on the current state of markets as the Fed continues their fight to slay the inflation dragon. Could the Fed be out of ammo? Are markets mispriced for a secular sh…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome David Woo CEO of David Woo Unbound to the show. Recording ahead of Jackson Hole, David shares his outlook on a US recession, Fed policy vs economic growth, whether or not the Fed will be able to slay the inflation dragon and the importance of understanding politics as well…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Whitney Baker CEO of Totem Macro to the show. With a background at some of the largest funds in the world, including Bridgewater, Whitney provides an expert view into the secular shift happening in markets today. Arguing that liquidity & globalization were two of the most …
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Nick Stadtmiller Director of Emerging Markets Strategy at Medley Advisors. With an expertise in emerging markets, Nick joins the show for a discussion on the macro forces driving EM's. From global inflation rates to the rising U.S Dollar's effect on EM currencies, Nick pro…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Teddy Vallee, Founder & Chief Investment Officer at Pervalle Global. After positioning to be short everything in the first half of 2022, Teddy now sees an environment where inflation will begin to roll over. With typical growth indicators slowing down such as commodities, …
 
Dean is looking at shorting the Nasdaq 100 ETF ($QQQ) by using a "butterfly" spread. He wants to fade a Fed pivot (he wants to bet against the consensus that the Fed will reverse course and loosen policy) by shorting duration-sensitive equities such as those in the Nasdaq. -- DAS Digital Asset Summit is crypto's most institutional conference. DAS i…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome best selling author and investment manager at Quadriga Asset Management Diego Parrilla to the show for a discussion on China. Diego makes the point that China's growth over the past 20 years is no longer sustainable as they battle high debt levels, demographic collapse & n…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Marko Papic Partner and Chief Strategist at Clocktower Group. With such a massive bull run in energy, particularly Oil since the March 2020 lows, is the bull run sustainable? With a geopolitical premium priced into energy markets since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, are …
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Julian Brigden Co-Founder of MI2 Partners. Making the statement that "macro is back with a vengeance", Julian joins the show for a wide ranging discussion on inflation, misconceptions in the yield curve inversion, the factors driving an equity bear market and the U.S Dolla…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas is joined by Jack Farley, Host of the "Forward Guidance" Podcast as Alfonso is away on holiday. They discuss the top stories of the week including the recent sell-off in commodities, policy errors by the ECB and a recent interview with Jerome Powell, Andrew Bailey & Christine Lagarde. Andreas…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso discuss the top stories of the week before offering up their very own trade idea for manoeuvring this environment. With all eyes on the Bank of Japan as they fiercely defend their yield curve control, many investors are worried about something breaking in Japan. Alfonso highlights…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Frances Donald Global Chief Economist & Strategist at Manulife Investment Management. Walking through the most important macro factor right now, inflation, Frances shares how every central bankers worst nightmare is manifesting itself in markets. Sharing her outlook on inf…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Jesse Felder, author of The Felder Report. Felder argues that a strong dollar, severe interest rate spikes, and surging commodity prices indicate that a deep earnings recession is on the horizon. Felder explains why he thinks a Fed pivot is likely and fleshes out his macro…
 
On today's episode of "The Macro Trading Floor," Alfonso and Andreas are joined by Nick Givanovic. Nick provides a wealth of knowledge having spent over 40 year in the investment industry. From 1983 - 1993, Nick ran the largest bond book in the world, and has worked at some of the largest firms in the world including JP Morgan and Salomon. Nick joi…
 
On today's episode of "The Macro Trading Floor," Alfonso and Andreas are joined by Darius Dale Founder & CEO of 42 Macro. After correctly forecasting a slowdown in economic growth, an end to the reflation trade & pricing in a bear market throughout 2022, Darius joins Alf and Andreas to share his macro thesis for the second half of the year. Is the …
 
The Basel IV global framework for bank regulation aims to harmonise how banks calculate their risk-weighted assets, but will lead to higher reserve capital requirements, particularly for lending to corporates. In this Nordea On Your Mind podcast, Johan Trocmé and Viktor Sonebäck talk about how this will affect corporate borrowers, and how they can …
 
On today's episode of "The Macro Trading Floor," Alfonso and Andreas are joined by Dario Perkins Managing Director, Global Macro at TS Lombard. Drawing parallels between today and the 1970's, Dario walks us through his macro framework as global economies face inflation, recession & structural demographic issues. As China experiences continued lockd…
 
On today's episode of "The Macro Trading Floor," Alfonso and Andreas are joined by a very special guest to discuss the top stories of the week. After a week in markets few will forget, Alfonso & Andreas discuss the dilemma central banks around the world face as they embark on tightening financial conditions in the face of soaring inflation. After o…
 
On today's episode of "The Macro Trading Floor," Alfonso and Andreas are joined by Saxo Bank CIO Steen Jakobsen. With 30+ years investing through some of the most volatile periods in market history, Steen compares previous market cycles to today's stating, "November last year was the single biggest event in my life". As the Fed begins its most aggr…
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Alfonso and Andreas are joined by Mike Green, portfolio manager and chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management. Mike shares his outlook for early signs of risks emerging in the economy and how those risks could impact markets throughout 2022. Drawing comparisons between the 2022 tech sell-off and …
 
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Alfonso and Andreas are joined by Lyn Alden, founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. Walking Alfonso and Andreas through her macro framework, Lyn explains the past two years of unorthodox monetary and fiscal policies. Drawing on the 1940s as an indicator, she correctly predicted the high inflation …
 
We are proud to present a brand new podcast launching on the Blockworks channel The Macro Trading Floor. Every week one of the best worldwide global macro investors will join Andreas Steno Larsen & Alfonso Peccatiello to discuss the economy, markets & provide an actionable trade idea. To kick off this exciting new series, Andreas & Alfonso are join…
 
Introducing The Macro Trading Floor, hosted by Alfonso Peccatiello and Andreas Steno Larsen, a unique financial markets podcast hosted by two young European macro stars that not only delivers insightful macro content, but also actionable investment ideas to investors across the world.By Alfonso Peccatiello & Andreas Steno Larsen | Blockworks
 
Global green energy transition was already urgent, and then came war in Ukraine, making it necessary for Europe to end its dependence on Russian energy imports. Massive investments will be needed, and in this Nordea On Your Mind podcast Johan Trocmé and Viktor Sonebäck talk about project finance – a potentially crucial tool to help fund the green t…
 
Large companies have since 2016 invested far less than they used to do historically. In this podcast, Johan Trocmé and Viktor Sonebäck from Nordea Thematics talk about how the world’s nations have committed under the Paris agreement to investing in limiting global warming to save the planet, and how companies will need to invest massively both in b…
 
In a Christmas edition podcast, Johan Trocmé and Viktor Sonebäck look back at an eventful year, and re-visit the Nordea On Your Mind themes of the year. What do they have in common, and will 2022 see more COVID-related themes?Disclaimer:All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid …
 
From supply chain bottlenecks and long delivery times to labour shortages and inflation, 2021 brought its share of economic surprises. Many of the challenges will continue into 2022, says Nordea Group Chief Economist Helge Pedersen.Disclaimer:All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be …
 
Does ownership matter for corporate value creation? Having a major owner or not? What kind of owner, with what agenda?In this podcast, Johan Trocmé, Viktor Sonebäck and Thea Koren talk about who owns Europe’s listed companies, and the striking differences in performance for different types of owners explored in the NOYM report ‘The ideal owners’.Di…
 
Johan Trocmé, Viktor Sonebäck and Thea Koren from Nordea Thematics talk about their 2021 treasury survey. How has the pandemic impacted financial performance and policies? Has digitalisation of corporate business models and automation of the treasury been helped or hindered? Are treasuries spending their time on the right things, and if not, what w…
 
Is the Danish economy on the brink of overheating? Will growing labour shortages become a problem? And can we expect the housing market boom to continue? Find out all this and more in this podcast with Nordea Chief Analyst Jan Størup Nielsen on the Danish economic outlook.Disclaimer:All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of sour…
 
Cryptocurrencies have seen their prices soar in the past 18 months and now have a total market cap above USD 2tn. Johan Trocmé and Viktor Sonebäck explore what cryptos are, what they are used for, what has driven the bonanza and whether there is a use case for them as a means of payment.Disclaimer:All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, reg…
 
How do you determine if a company is good at sustainability? ESG ratings vary greatly among providers, who are all measuring different things with different approaches. In this Nordea On Your Mind podcast, Viktor Sonebäck and Johan Trocmé talk to Nordea’s Anaïs Gilbert about how corporates should navigate this immature and rapidly evolving field.Di…
 
In this Nordea On Your Mind podcast, Johan Trocmé, Viktor Sonebäck and Kajsa Andersson discuss what has driven the hype for sustainability, why it is here to stay, and how their analysis clearly shows that it pays off through superior financial performance. They also make sense of ESG ratings, which are the natural tool for measuring a company’s su…
 
When will global economic activity be back to normal? Is rising inflation, particularly in the US, a cause for concern? What about ballooning government debt? And what can we expect from the red-hot housing markets? Find out all this and more in this podcast interview with Nordea Group Chief Economist Helge J. Pedersen on the latest Nordea Economic…
 
Did you think you would find drama in a podcast on bank regulations? Think again. Johan Trocmé, Viktor Sonebäck and Kajsa Andersson from Nordea Thematics talk about what Basel IV is, why the Basel Committee for Banking Supervision is involved in regulations to begin with, and what they are hoping to achieve with this finalisation of Basel III. Most…
 
In this Nordea On Your Mind podcast, Johan Trocmé and Viktor Sonebäck from Nordea Thematics talk to Henrik Immelborn who runs Debt Solutions and Loans in Denmark at Nordea Investment Banking. They discuss how Nordic large corporates fund themselves today versus 20 years ago, how they coped with the shock from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, and how …
 
Does capital structure matter for a company’s value? In this podcast, Johan Trocmé, Viktor Sonebäck and Johanna Rådemar from Nordea Thematics have fun trying to disprove nobel prize-winning economic theory. Their analysis in the Nordea On Your Mind report titled ‘The hunt for the right leverage’ suggests leverage has a big influence on both valuati…
 
Johan Trocmé and Viktor Sonebäck from Nordea Thematics talk with Adam Schatz, CEO of DIY and Home Furnishing e-tailer BHG Group, about the explosion in online shopping triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Will changes in consumer behaviour be permanent, and how do online and bricks-and-mortar retailers need to respond? What will be needed to succeed…
 
2020 has been a turbulent year, fundamentally defined by the COVID-19 pandemic. Viktor Sonebäck and Johan Trocmé reflect back on the Nordea On Your Mind topics covered during the year, evolving from navigating the initial shock to the economy, to the sometimes drastic changes in consumer behaviour brought by the pandemic, and how these could turn o…
 
Industry 4.0 may sound like a software update, but it is a German-invented name for the next big industrial revolution, after steam power, electric power and programmable logic. It is also the topic for Nordea's latest report of Nordea On Your Mind. In this podcast, Johan Trocmé and Viktor Sonebäck talk about findings from their report, like how pr…
 
Capital markets have rebounded from the COVID-19 shock, and consensus forecasts expect 2021 to be even better than the pre-pandemic 2019. Are corporates equipped to face a more challenging 2021 and 2022 if consensus forecasts are too optimistic, and is there a need for a contingency plan? It could take time to get back to normal, and the new normal…
 
The coronavirus blew a large hole in the Finnish economy. While private consumption is returning to normal as Finland slowly reopens, challenges faced by exporters and manufacturers are expected to actually worsen in the fall when order books are cleared. Will Finland be able to continue on its V-shaped recovery path? Listen to the podcast with Tuu…
 
Sweden has attracted international attention for its outlier coronavirus strategy, relying more on recommendations for people’s behaviour rather than a strict lockdown. So how has Sweden’s economy fared during the pandemic, and what’s the outlook going forward? Listen to the podcast with Nordea Chief Analyst Torbjörn Isaksson.Read more about Sweden…
 
When the coronavirus hit, Norway’s economy was expected to take one of the biggest blows, suffering the double whammy of falling oil prices as well as the pandemic. In this Nordea Markets Insights podcast, Norway Chief Economist Kjetil Olsen explains why Norway’s recovery is turning out to be much stronger and faster than anyone expected a couple o…
 
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