Episode 824: James Carafano of Heritage explains the importance of the spy balloon

Stacy on the Right

Guest Bio
Lt. Col. James Carafano is the Vice President, The Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for National Security and Foreign Policy, and the E. W. Richardson Fellow at the Heritage Foundation, and a decorated Army Veteran. On twitter he is (@JJCarafano)

These are Jay's five:

1. Fallout From Hunter’s Laptop? Now we all know that Hunter Biden’s laptop was, well, Hunter’s laptop. And we know Hunter had lots of dealings with China. So where is the intelligence community’s assessment of the national security risks that may have been exposed?

Did the community not produce one? If it didn’t, that’s malfeasance. If it did, where is it? You would think that, if it did one and found no issues, it would be on the front page of The Washington Post.

If it found some and are withholding that information—well, that’s not comforting either.

When you connect all these dots, it’s not a pretty picture. Either the U.S. intelligence community is not collecting and assessing critical information about the single greatest threat to our security or it is refusing to share its conclusions.

Is that because it’s too important to share or there is nothing to share, or it’s politically inconvenient to share?

1. Invading Ukraine?
   In retrospect, it’s absolutely clear that Beijing gave a green light to the Russian invasion. Did we know that before the Russian invasion? If we did, why didn’t we call Beijing out? And now that we do know, why isn’t Washington making a big deal out of it?

2. Will China Invade Taiwan?
   The intelligence community has no consensus assessment on this rather critical matter. We have seen lots of dates thrown around, but when you look into these analyses, there’s no accounting for how they came up with the date. There’s got to be a better method than throwing darts at a calendar.

3. Nuke Numbers?
   How many nuclear weapons does China have? The U.S. government won’t tell you. That may be because it doesn’t know.

The intelligence community will tell you that China is rapidly expanding its strategic force, so much so that Beijing will match—or even overmatch—Russia’s nuclear arsenal. Ours, too. That’s no intel coup. Analysts using open source (unclassified) documents and reports have been telling us that for years.

1. Whither COVID-19? It’s been more than two years since “COVID-19” entered our everyday vocabulary, and still we have no clear answer to the question: What was China’s role in unleashing the virus on the world? After years of denial, some U.S. officials now admit the virus may well have leaked from a Chinese lab.

Well, thanks, but many folks figured that out back in 2020. By now, you’d think the government could tell us all about the origin and spread of the disease.

Maybe they can’t, maybe they won’t. Either way, it’s a disgrace.

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Links:

• China maintains spy balloon is civilian, claims some in US 'have hyped it up to attack and smear China' | Fox News — The People's Republic of China is maintaining the claim that the Chinese balloon spotted over the northern United States is a civilian weather device. "Regarding the unintended entry of a Chinese unmanned airship into US airspace due to force majeure, the Chinese side has verified it and communicated it to the US side. It is a civilian airship used for research, mainly meteorological, purposes," said a Foreign Ministry spokesperson on Saturday. "Affected by the Westerlies and with limited self-steering capability, the airship deviated far from its planned course."