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Unravelling of the Western Hegemony with Alex Krainer
Manage episode 471400289 series 2984658
Interview recorded - 14th of March, 2025
On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of welcoming on Alex Krainer. Alex is has worked as a market analyst, researcher, trader and hedge fund manager since 1996. He is the founder Krainer Analytics and creator of I-System Trend following.
During our conversation we spoke about the geopolitical overview, why the world order is shifting, whether the US is different to the West, restructuring of the economy, the uniparty, impacts on the market and more. I hope you enjoy!
0:00 - Introduction
1:39 - Geopolitical overview
3:47 - Why is world order shift being ignored?
5:44 - When did shift begin?
9:17 - US different to the rest of the West
13:26 - Corporate colonialism
17:07 - Restructuring of the economy
18:47 - Can the West rise again?
24:07 - Uniparty
27:57 - How does this impact markets?
34:42 - One message to takeaway from conversation?
Alex is the founder of Krainer Analytics and creator of I-System Trend Following. He has worked as a market analyst, researcher, trader and hedge fund manager since 1996. Alex was born and raised in a socialist regime of former Yugoslavia, under one-party communist rule. As a 17-year old he joined a student exchange program and took up his university studies there, ultimately transferring to Switzerland on a scholarship where he completed a degree in Business and Economics.
From Switzerland his path led him to Venezuela where he lived for a year and experienced his first banking crisis in 1994 when 9 of Venezuela’s 16 largest banks failed and brought the country’s economy to a grinding halt. The same year he returned to Croatia and joined the military where he served through 1995 during the last phases of Croatia’s war of independence. In 1996, upon discharge from the military, Alex took employment at an oil trading company in Monaco. In 1998 he became the head of risk and CEO in 2000.
Alex had originated the firm’s research and development program in market analysis and application of neural networks and artificial intelligence in trading of financial and commodities markets. By 2007 Alex launched his own investment management business and was among the small minority of managers who generated positive investment returns (+27%) during the 2008 financial crisis. Over the following six years, his fund outperformed the Dow Jones Credit Suisse index of Blue Chip commodity futures trading funds. In 2011 Alex Joined Lee Robinson’s Altana Wealth to manage the firm’s inflation hedging strategy. In 2019 Alex created Altana Wealth’s systematic portfolio allocation strategy designed to bridge the gap between technology and finance.
In more recent years, Alex also busied himself as an author. He published his first book “Mastering Uncertainty in Commodities Trading” in 2015. In 2021 this book was selected as #1 on Financial-Expert.co.uk’s list of “The 5 Best Commodities Books for Investors and Traders.” In 2017 he published “The Grand Deception” which is available exclusively from the RedPill Press. In 2021 he published “Alex Krainer’s Trend Following Bible.”
Alex Krainer -
X - https://x.com/NakedHedgie
I-System - https://isystem-tf.com/
Substack - https://alexkrainer.substack.com/
Trend Compass - https://isystem-tf.com/trendcompass/
WTFinance -
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/
Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfn
iTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4
Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
336 episodes
Manage episode 471400289 series 2984658
Interview recorded - 14th of March, 2025
On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of welcoming on Alex Krainer. Alex is has worked as a market analyst, researcher, trader and hedge fund manager since 1996. He is the founder Krainer Analytics and creator of I-System Trend following.
During our conversation we spoke about the geopolitical overview, why the world order is shifting, whether the US is different to the West, restructuring of the economy, the uniparty, impacts on the market and more. I hope you enjoy!
0:00 - Introduction
1:39 - Geopolitical overview
3:47 - Why is world order shift being ignored?
5:44 - When did shift begin?
9:17 - US different to the rest of the West
13:26 - Corporate colonialism
17:07 - Restructuring of the economy
18:47 - Can the West rise again?
24:07 - Uniparty
27:57 - How does this impact markets?
34:42 - One message to takeaway from conversation?
Alex is the founder of Krainer Analytics and creator of I-System Trend Following. He has worked as a market analyst, researcher, trader and hedge fund manager since 1996. Alex was born and raised in a socialist regime of former Yugoslavia, under one-party communist rule. As a 17-year old he joined a student exchange program and took up his university studies there, ultimately transferring to Switzerland on a scholarship where he completed a degree in Business and Economics.
From Switzerland his path led him to Venezuela where he lived for a year and experienced his first banking crisis in 1994 when 9 of Venezuela’s 16 largest banks failed and brought the country’s economy to a grinding halt. The same year he returned to Croatia and joined the military where he served through 1995 during the last phases of Croatia’s war of independence. In 1996, upon discharge from the military, Alex took employment at an oil trading company in Monaco. In 1998 he became the head of risk and CEO in 2000.
Alex had originated the firm’s research and development program in market analysis and application of neural networks and artificial intelligence in trading of financial and commodities markets. By 2007 Alex launched his own investment management business and was among the small minority of managers who generated positive investment returns (+27%) during the 2008 financial crisis. Over the following six years, his fund outperformed the Dow Jones Credit Suisse index of Blue Chip commodity futures trading funds. In 2011 Alex Joined Lee Robinson’s Altana Wealth to manage the firm’s inflation hedging strategy. In 2019 Alex created Altana Wealth’s systematic portfolio allocation strategy designed to bridge the gap between technology and finance.
In more recent years, Alex also busied himself as an author. He published his first book “Mastering Uncertainty in Commodities Trading” in 2015. In 2021 this book was selected as #1 on Financial-Expert.co.uk’s list of “The 5 Best Commodities Books for Investors and Traders.” In 2017 he published “The Grand Deception” which is available exclusively from the RedPill Press. In 2021 he published “Alex Krainer’s Trend Following Bible.”
Alex Krainer -
X - https://x.com/NakedHedgie
I-System - https://isystem-tf.com/
Substack - https://alexkrainer.substack.com/
Trend Compass - https://isystem-tf.com/trendcompass/
WTFinance -
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/
Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfn
iTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4
Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
336 episodes
All episodes
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1 Economic Breakdown as Stock Market Crashes with Chris Vermeulen 24:49

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1 DOGE Crippling the US Economy with Dr Steve Keen 42:29

1 Unravelling of the Western Hegemony with Alex Krainer 37:19

1 The Coming Economic Reset in 2025 with Edward Dowd 32:01

1 An Economic Demolition is Imminent with Gregory Mannarino 33:14

1 The Global Financial System & Our Money are Broken with Lawrence Lepard 41:09

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1 Liquidity Crunch Threatens 'Everything Bubble' with Michael Howell 50:19

1 FED Mistake Guiding Economy into Recession with Steve Hanke 46:16

1 Energy Price Surge Driving Populism, Trump American Empire | Doomberg 48:05

1 Market Reckoning to Begin Trump Presidency with Dave Collum 1:09:31

1 The Collapse of the US Empire with Professor Richard Wolff 40:48

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1 Central Banks Desperate Action to Avoid Currency Collapse with Matthew Piepenburg 53:39

1 Civil War, Global Conflict, Extreme Market Volatility & The Fourth Turning with Neil Howe 1:16:31

1 End of US Hegemony as World Decouples with Glenn Diesen 2:08

1 FED Powerless to Prevent Debt Trap with Alasdair Macleod 45:44

1 'Debt Addiction' to Crash Economy by 2027 with Mel Mattison 45:11

1 Overleveraged Governments Fragile Under Bad Debt with John Rubino 35:08

1 Significant Capital Rotation as Global Investors Exit with Lyn Alden 53:16

1 FED Cuts To Drive Liquidity and Markets Higher with Michael Howell 42:30

1 'Roaring Twenties' As Technology Productivity Soars with Ed Yardeni 40:59

1 40% Stock Market Crash is Here with Simon Hunt 35:34

1 Collapsing Money Supply to Cause Recession in 2025 with Steve Hanke 37:26

1 Stagflation to Continue as the Economy Weakens with Bill Fleckenstein 38:56

1 Market Crash Catalyst for Recession? with Julian Brigden 41:02

1 Excessive Tightening To Initiate Historic Recession with Danielle DiMartino Booth 24:31

1 The Economic Downturn Is Here with Professor Richard Wolff 34:26

1 Beware of Shifting Tide, Risk of Big Crash with Dave Collum 53:38

1 Economic Bifurcation Perplexing FED with Liz Ann Sonders 36:59

1 Economic Catastrophe as Governments Destroy Average People with Marc Faber 36:47

1 Weak Data Suggesting Economy is Rolling Over with Louis-Vincent Gave 41:45

1 Economic Crisis "Much Worse than 2008" Imminent with Henrik Zeberg 40:28

1 Energy Remains “Historically Undervalued” with Adam Rozencwajg 46:46

1 Historic Stock Market Rally In Progress with David Hunter 36:47

1 Hell In Markets For Rest of 2024 with Michael Oliver 38:58

1 Extreme Debt Levels to "Wipe out Middle Class" with Michael Pento 27:06

1 Cheap Energy Helping to Avoid Recession? with Doomberg 37:32

1 Debt Crisis Inflating Assets Higher with Clive Thompson 44:29

1 Market Fears Runaway Inflation Causing Financial Crash with Larry McDonald 41:39

1 Speculative Euphoria Fuelling Extreme Valuations with Jesse Felder 46:32

1 Governments Sleepwalking into Debt Trap with Alasdair Macleod 38:32

1 Strong Economy Narrative Is Farcical! with Matthew Piepenburg 51:10

1 Market Turbulence in Coming Months Before Rebound with Michael Howell 51:53

1 Central Banks Continue to Buy Gold After Weaponization of Dollar with Rick Rule 37:25

1 Recession Still on Horizon Despite Market Strength with David Rosenberg 50:58

1 Another FED Error As Powell Won't Cut Rates? with Jim Bianco 48:28

1 Strong Rally to Continue as Retail Investors Surge Into Markets with Chris Vermeulen 35:27

1 The Stock Market is Really Expensive with Ted Oakley 30:13

1 The Global Financial System is Broken with Lyn Alden 44:48

1 Avalanche of Job Losses, FED Driving Economy into Recession with Danielle DiMartino Booth 26:13

1 Simon Hunt - Market Crash in 2024 to Force Central Banks to Act 26:30

1 Mass Bankruptcies on the Horizon? with John Rubino 40:38

1 Global Economic Turmoil Key Trend for 2024 with Gerald Celente 38:52

1 Largest Stock Market Rally in History with David Hunter 48:00

1 Stock Rally to Accelerate Before Next Great Recession This Year with Henrik Zeberg 36:47

1 Powell Christmas Rally to Continue into 2024? with David Hay 39:34

1 'Everything Bubble' Creating Dangerous Markets with Grant Williams 51:11

1 The FED is Dead: Their Only Tool is Narrative with George Robertson 1:00:04

1 US Debt, Pension Crisis & BRICs Threat with Peter Grandich 34:25

1 Repeat of Banking Crisis Imminent? with Rafi Faber 26:53

1 The Economy is Heading for Recession, People are Struggling! with Mario Innecco 20:51

1 The Economy Will Continue to be Strong with Nick Glinsman 44:23

1 'Everything Bubble' at Risk of Bursting? with Lawrence Lepard 41:11

1 This Stock Market Rally is Delusional! with Michael Oliver 30:42

1 Economic Ninja: Serious Market Disruptions in 2024 27:15

1 The FED has Lost Control of Global Bond Markets to BOJ with Weston Nakamura 52:30

1 A Recession Is Inevitable with Jared Dillian 23:02

1 Macro Regime Shift to Burst Technology Bubble with Tavi Costa 41:37

1 Credit Crunch to Lead to Global Banking Crisis with Alasdair Macleod 51:27

1 The Next Recession Will Be Far Worse than 2008 with Steven Van Metre 42:00

1 Money Destruction to Trigger Uncontrollable Deflation? with Randy Woodward 1:03:53

1 Could the Stock Market Decline by 50%? with Bob Elliott 43:48

1 Can the US Save Europe from an Energy Crisis Again? with Dr Anas Alhajji 57:07

1 A Recession In The Next 6 Months Is Inevitable with David Rosenberg 52:26

1 Interest Rate Squeeze to Drive Stocks & Bonds Lower with Andy Constan 34:41

1 Can US-China Conflict Be Avoided? with Cyrus Janssen 52:25

1 Worst Geopolitical and Socioeconomic Decline In Modern History with Gerald Celente 38:11

1 Global Depression by 2025 Inevitable? with Simon Hunt 35:15

1 Inflation and Recession Squeeze to Initiate Market Turmoil with Ted Oakley 34:00

1 Stock Market to All-Time Highs before Crash in 2024 with Henrik Zeberg 32:45

1 The Recession is Still Approaching with Michael Green 49:30

1 Huge Stock Market Reset Is Coming with Chris Vermeulen 30:13

1 Will Stagflation Create An Anti-Goldilocks Economy? with Francis Hunt 1:18:34

1 We Are Already In A Recession Despite Strong Liquidity with Marc Faber 39:57

1 The Recession has been Delayed, Not Cancelled with Jeff Snider 43:20

1 Energy Underinvestment to Induce "Decade of Shortages" with Adam Rozencwajg 30:54

1 Stagflation or Depression, Market Crash in 2024 & Assets to Protect Wealth with Michael Pento 34:15

1 Risk of Energy Warfare, Geopolitics, European Winter with Doomberg 24:11

1 Shadow QE to Save the Bond Market? with Michael Howell 43:29

1 FED Policy Errors, Bond Carnage to Continue & Higher Inflation for Longer with Jim Bianco 39:44

1 Predicting Financial Crises, Short-Term Policies, Bond Crash with Didier Sornette 47:52

1 Debt Markets Shifting Towards Collapse with Gregory Mannarino 30:23

1 Wil A FED Pivot Crash The Stock Market? with Amir Goren 34:24

1 We Are Approaching An Uncontrollable Debt Spiral? with Jesse Felder 32:26

1 Commodity Underinvestment to Lead to Supply Shock with Rick Rule 24:20

1 Accelerating Threat of World War 3? with James Ker-Lindsay 44:21

1 What Went Wrong with Brexit & How To Fix It with Peter Foster 34:02

1 RECESSION: Wealth Building Opportunity is Coming with Jaspreet Singh 32:31

1 China's Political Ideology Propelling Economic Collapse with Nick Glinsman 42:57

1 The Housing Meltdown Is Imminent with Eric Basmajian 43:56

1 Recessionary Conditions to Pressure Asset Prices with Lyn Alden 36:08

1 Credit Crisis to Collapse "Biggest Bubble in History" with David Hay 45:46

1 Widespread Bankruptcies and Serious Recession Imminent with Adrian Day 44:06

1 Debt Ceiling and/or FED Tightening to 'Break Markets' with Grant Williams 43:19

1 Markets Like These Will 'Slaughter Investors' with Dave Collum 45:35

1 Weaponization of Dollar to Destroy Global Economy? with Michael Every 46:52

1 The Implosion of the Biggest Stock Bubble in US History with Michael Oliver 32:23

1 Governments To Sacrifice Currency During Economic Collapse with Mario Innecco 28:55

1 The Golden Age of Corporate Misconduct & Fraud with Edwin Dorsey 30:00

1 China Challenge to Provoke New Economic Cold War? with Sir Paul Tucker 59:30

1 The FED Is No Longer Your Friend with Vincent Deluard 41:33


1 Stocks Are Overvalued, Beware of Correction with Chance Finucane 24:09

1 We Are on The Brink of an Economic Crisis with Mike "Mish" Shedlock 39:54

1 FED Dilemma Paving the Way for Rapid Global Recession with Hugh Hendry 52:53

1 Higher Interest Rates to Unravel 'Super Bubble' with Edward Chancellor 44:15

1 Current Government Spending is Unsustainable with Richard Sylla 46:57

1 Most Traders Are Wrong! Markets to Continue to Rally with Jason Shapiro 35:20

1 'Perfect Storm' for Commercial Real Estate Defaults with Daniel McNamara 28:05

1 The Fourth Turning is Here - From Crisis to a Golden Age with Neil Howe 54:53

1 Further FED Tightening to Influence "Break in the Market" with Thomas Thornton 29:04

1 Inflate or Default - The Dollar is in Trouble with Andy Schectman 42:01

1 Central Banks to Continue to Damage the Economy with Julian Brigden 51:35

1 Bullish Momentum to Continue with 'Melt-Up' to All-Time Highs with David Hunter 34:43

1 Painful Market Crash on the Horizon with John Rubino 43:37

1 Are We Still In A Bear Market? with Michael Gayed 21:28

1 FIAT Ponzi Creating “Government Doom Loop” with Lawrence Lepard 35:21

1 Fragile US Banks Struggling for Funding? with Michael Howell 39:13

1 Recession to Influence 'Deflationary Annihilation'? with Alex Gurevich 34:24

1 US Home Prices to All-Time Highs? with Anthony Vicino 32:24

1 US Energy Policy Driving Enemies Together? with Doomberg 37:28

1 Decade Long Bear Market Ahead with Marc Faber 41:15

1 The Dollar Collapse is Imminent with Alasdair Macleod 47:25

1 FIAT Currency Bubble to Burst? with Matthew Piepenburg 47:06

1 Central Banks Are In An Impossible Position with Clive Thompson 46:29

1 $100 Trillion Banking Bailout? with Rafi Farber 31:00

1 Has Europe Escaped The Energy Crisis? with Robert Bryce 32:30

1 The Debt Meltdown Has Just Begun with Gregory Mannarino 32:34


1 Will Pensions Run Out of Money and Collapse? with Ted Siedle 36:55

1 Will Bank Collapses Be Contagious? with David Woo 38:21

1 Long-Term Pain for Stocks & Bonds with Neal Berger 39:03
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