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Why Azerbaijan Might Actually Invade Armenia
Manage episode 383801664 series 3366290
Eurasia expert Kristofer Harrison makes the case for why the odds of an invasion of Armenia by Azerbaijan are much higher than the market price on Polymarket.
3:54: Interview with Harrison begins
5:06: Do hedge funds use political betting insights?
7:10: Background on Armenia and Azerbaijan
7:56: Why there are tensions between Armenia and Azerbaijan
12:15: Russia's role in the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict
14:29: Domestic politics in Armenia
15:18: Evidence that Azerbaijan is serious about invading
17:44: Why hasn't Azerbaijan already invaded Armenia?
18:43: Balance of power between Azerbaijan and Armenia
20:37: Have Russia and/orTurkey greenlighted an invasion?
22:08: Will the West stop a war?
24:12: Odds of an invasion
27:24: Influence of the weather in Nagorno-Karabach
29:57: How rogue is Aliyev?
33:43: Religion in Azerbaijan
35:05: How much does Azerbaijan care about international investment?
36:55: How keep up with news related to the Azerbaijan-Armenia market
38:44: Will Putin still be in power by the end of the year?
Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter: @ssgamblers
Join Star Spangled Gamblers on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/starspangledgamblers/posts
247 episodes
Manage episode 383801664 series 3366290
Eurasia expert Kristofer Harrison makes the case for why the odds of an invasion of Armenia by Azerbaijan are much higher than the market price on Polymarket.
3:54: Interview with Harrison begins
5:06: Do hedge funds use political betting insights?
7:10: Background on Armenia and Azerbaijan
7:56: Why there are tensions between Armenia and Azerbaijan
12:15: Russia's role in the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict
14:29: Domestic politics in Armenia
15:18: Evidence that Azerbaijan is serious about invading
17:44: Why hasn't Azerbaijan already invaded Armenia?
18:43: Balance of power between Azerbaijan and Armenia
20:37: Have Russia and/orTurkey greenlighted an invasion?
22:08: Will the West stop a war?
24:12: Odds of an invasion
27:24: Influence of the weather in Nagorno-Karabach
29:57: How rogue is Aliyev?
33:43: Religion in Azerbaijan
35:05: How much does Azerbaijan care about international investment?
36:55: How keep up with news related to the Azerbaijan-Armenia market
38:44: Will Putin still be in power by the end of the year?
Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter: @ssgamblers
Join Star Spangled Gamblers on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/starspangledgamblers/posts
247 episodes
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