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Spring has sprung in our region – from Tulips in the Skagit Valley to a fresh dusting of pollen just about everywhere else. There is always such a rush of optimism when the cold dark days of winter in the Pacific Northwest yield to the random weather days of Spring – will it be sunny, warm, cold, rainy, windy or some other adjective? All we can say…
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The team starts the discussion with what they are currently understanding from the data, also how different outlooks can come from the same data. Fun with data leads the team to discuss recession and inflation, worldwide, nation wide and right here in our Puget Sound region. Cam will go over the retail numbers. Hart and Bethany have insight on the …
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James, Hart and Bethany get together once again to talk forecasting while faced with a global pandemic, global changes throughout the labor market, supply chain, and massive turmoil within the commodities market, and the introduction of a war. Main topics of today's discussion are Inflation, Recession, Federal reserve and interest rate adjustments,…
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Join James, Hart, Bethany and newcomer Audrey as they discuss the current events of the economic day! In this episode the team covers the current forecast of Covid impacts, Inflation and recession risk, how supply chain entanglements and what people are spending money on, impacts inflationary pressures. Hart will discuss Fed actions, projections an…
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Covid Impacts - Omicron Inflation concerns Supply Chain updates - Imports are rising what does that mean? Employment - natural rate of unemployment, are wages actually rising? Discussion of real wages and median wages. How is the Fed Reacting - or not reacting How do the Retail Numbers look? The Holidays were a little different this year! Housing -…
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Hello and welcome to After Office Hours with the Puget Sound Economic Forecaster. This is your home for discussion about the Puget Sound region’s economy. The economy and what is affecting it continues to be in a high rate. We are recording this on October 15th for those keeping score – depending on when you are listening there are going to likely …
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We issued a special edition of forecaster last week to update the forecast we posted in mid-June. Taking this extra step is definitely out of the ordinary but if there is anything we have learned in the past 18 months – not much is ordinary. The team this week includes, James McCafferty, Hart Hodges, Bethany King and Josh Grandbouche. Are we worrie…
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Public policy is becoming a much larger ingredient in the forecast – stimulus, low rates, increased child tax credits, monthly stipends, and more. Supply chain issues, consumer demand shifts, minimum wage discussions and more are competing for attention as well. In the Forecaster we explore all of it. We have checked the math three times and it is …
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James, Josh, Hart and newcomer Brianna cover all the important topics and the effects we can maybe, hopefully, look forward to in the coming months. When asked if there is hope for the future, Hart's answer is "of course there is hope"... but it's complicated. The team parses out what we can expect over the coming months as it pertains to the local…
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We are now a few weeks out from the first publication of our September forecast. It seems like a great time to talk about what we know now and where are current thinking is at. On the show today: James McCafferty serves as the general manager and publisher for the newsletter. Dr. Hart Hodges is an economics professor at Western Washington Universit…
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We are now three weeks out from the first publication of our June forecast. It seems like a great time to talk about what we know now and where are current thinking is at. On the show today: Our special guest: Dr Steve Lerch is the Executive Director and Chief Economist for the Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast Council. Steve is respon…
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This week James, Hart and Josh are joined by Dr. Brandon Dupont to discuss the continuing impacts of the COVID-19 from a historical perspective. Dr. Brandon Dupont is an Economic Professor at Western Washington University. He has focused his work on topics related to 19th century banking crises and the history of economics. Brandon teaches courses …
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This week James, Hart and Josh are joined by Dr. Laurie Trautman and Dr. Anneliese Vance Sherman. Dr. Anneliese Vance Sherman, a consistent contributor to the Forecaster, works with the Washington State Employment Security Department as a Regional Economist. To say she has her finger on the pulse of our State’s and region’s employment data is an un…
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Join the WWU CEBR team, James McCafferty (our light comic relief), Hart Hodges and Joshua Grandbouche as the go in depth on the December issue of the Puget Sound Economic Forecaster. The 2019 economy has been a mixed bag. While there are a growing number of indicators to be concerned about, some, like consumer spending, remain strong. We have anoth…
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