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Is 4.1% Unemployment a Recession Warning?

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Manage episode 427895358 series 70567
Content provided by Dr. David Kelly. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Dr. David Kelly or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Despite a slightly higher-than-expected payroll job gain, the June employment report was on the soft side, with downward revisions to payroll gains from prior months, a drop in temporary employment and only modest gains in wages. However, the weakest aspect of the report was the unemployment rate, which edged up from 4.0% to 4.1%. This, in itself, wouldn’t be particularly notable were it not for the fact that the unemployment rate has now risen steadily over the past 14 months from a 54-year low of 3.4% set in April of last year.

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348 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 427895358 series 70567
Content provided by Dr. David Kelly. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Dr. David Kelly or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Despite a slightly higher-than-expected payroll job gain, the June employment report was on the soft side, with downward revisions to payroll gains from prior months, a drop in temporary employment and only modest gains in wages. However, the weakest aspect of the report was the unemployment rate, which edged up from 4.0% to 4.1%. This, in itself, wouldn’t be particularly notable were it not for the fact that the unemployment rate has now risen steadily over the past 14 months from a 54-year low of 3.4% set in April of last year.

  continue reading

348 episodes

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