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Trump's VP Pick: Qualifications versus Politics
Manage episode 424036578 series 3366290
3-Part Episode
Part I: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule), SSG TItle Belt Champ Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1), and Title Belt Challenger Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) debate whether or not Trump cares about qualifications in his VP decision, or whether it will come down to politics.
Part II: Doug Campbell (@tradeandmoney) analyzes how he won the 2023 Astral Codex Ten forecasting competition.
Part III: Saul Munn explains how to organize the forecasting community
0:11: Pratik introduces VP segment 0:26: Pratik introduces Campbell segment 1:05: Pratik introduces Munn segment 4:09: VP segment begins 8:43: 2028 considerations 18:13: Campbell segment begins 22:55: Expertise and prediction 28:10: Interview with Munn begins 28:45: The importance of in-person events 29:00: Manifest's origins 30:46: The political gambling community 32:11: Transitioning from an online community 34:04: How to organize the forecasting community 36:05: University clubs 37:06: Reluctance to organize events 38:15: EA Global 40:59: Low bar to community-building
Bet on who Trump will select as his running mate at Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, at polymarket.com.
SUPPORT US:
Patreon: www.patreon.com/starspangledgamblers
FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL:
Twitter: www.twitter.com/ssgamblers
251 episodes
Manage episode 424036578 series 3366290
3-Part Episode
Part I: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule), SSG TItle Belt Champ Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1), and Title Belt Challenger Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) debate whether or not Trump cares about qualifications in his VP decision, or whether it will come down to politics.
Part II: Doug Campbell (@tradeandmoney) analyzes how he won the 2023 Astral Codex Ten forecasting competition.
Part III: Saul Munn explains how to organize the forecasting community
0:11: Pratik introduces VP segment 0:26: Pratik introduces Campbell segment 1:05: Pratik introduces Munn segment 4:09: VP segment begins 8:43: 2028 considerations 18:13: Campbell segment begins 22:55: Expertise and prediction 28:10: Interview with Munn begins 28:45: The importance of in-person events 29:00: Manifest's origins 30:46: The political gambling community 32:11: Transitioning from an online community 34:04: How to organize the forecasting community 36:05: University clubs 37:06: Reluctance to organize events 38:15: EA Global 40:59: Low bar to community-building
Bet on who Trump will select as his running mate at Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, at polymarket.com.
SUPPORT US:
Patreon: www.patreon.com/starspangledgamblers
FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL:
Twitter: www.twitter.com/ssgamblers
251 episodes
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