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The recession they didn’t have to have

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Manage episode 433676470 series 1400104
Content provided by NAB - The Morning Call and Phil Dobbie. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by NAB - The Morning Call and Phil Dobbie or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Monday 11th August 2024


NAB Markets Research Disclaimer

Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB


Remember when Pauk Keating talked about the recession we had to have? Markets thought the US was heading the same way last week, but went off the idea as the week progressed. Thoughts of an emergency rate cut were quickly dismissed, but NAB’s Tapas Strickland says there’s still more than 25bp of cuts priced in for September. A 50bp cut could still happen before the end of the year. US inflation data is out this week but, unless there’s an outsize surprise, markets are unlikely to respond too much. The focus is on jobs now, although the Fed’s Michelle Bowman outlined several inflation risk factors on Friday that are worth watching for.



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1191 episodes

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Manage episode 433676470 series 1400104
Content provided by NAB - The Morning Call and Phil Dobbie. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by NAB - The Morning Call and Phil Dobbie or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Monday 11th August 2024


NAB Markets Research Disclaimer

Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB


Remember when Pauk Keating talked about the recession we had to have? Markets thought the US was heading the same way last week, but went off the idea as the week progressed. Thoughts of an emergency rate cut were quickly dismissed, but NAB’s Tapas Strickland says there’s still more than 25bp of cuts priced in for September. A 50bp cut could still happen before the end of the year. US inflation data is out this week but, unless there’s an outsize surprise, markets are unlikely to respond too much. The focus is on jobs now, although the Fed’s Michelle Bowman outlined several inflation risk factors on Friday that are worth watching for.



Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

  continue reading

1191 episodes

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