Artwork

Content provided by Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, Scott Eastman, Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, and Scott Eastman. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, Scott Eastman, Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, and Scott Eastman or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.
Player FM - Podcast App
Go offline with the Player FM app!

Ep. 93: Kjirste Morrell Interview

1:00:19
 
Share
 

Manage episode 295481068 series 1260429
Content provided by Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, Scott Eastman, Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, and Scott Eastman. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, Scott Eastman, Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, and Scott Eastman or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Episode 93 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Robert and Scott interview fellow superforecaster Kjirste Morrell. Kjirste is a mechanical engineer and was interviewed for Adam Grant's recent bestseller Think Again. We discuss forecasting from an engineer's perspective (0:10); the value of comments on a forecasting question (4:30); what Kjirste meant by the phrase "the joy of being wrong" (8:35); how to combat bias in forecasting (14:05); a couple of tricky, longer-term Metaculus questions (29:15); how many people will have set foot on the moon by 2030 (46:25); and Kjirste's experience working on the Segway at Dean Kamen's DEKA Research. As always, you can reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or at nonprophetspod@gmail.com. (recorded 5/14/2021)

  continue reading

66 episodes

Artwork

Ep. 93: Kjirste Morrell Interview

NonProphets

13 subscribers

published

iconShare
 
Manage episode 295481068 series 1260429
Content provided by Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, Scott Eastman, Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, and Scott Eastman. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, Scott Eastman, Atief Heermance, Robert de Neufville, and Scott Eastman or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Episode 93 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Robert and Scott interview fellow superforecaster Kjirste Morrell. Kjirste is a mechanical engineer and was interviewed for Adam Grant's recent bestseller Think Again. We discuss forecasting from an engineer's perspective (0:10); the value of comments on a forecasting question (4:30); what Kjirste meant by the phrase "the joy of being wrong" (8:35); how to combat bias in forecasting (14:05); a couple of tricky, longer-term Metaculus questions (29:15); how many people will have set foot on the moon by 2030 (46:25); and Kjirste's experience working on the Segway at Dean Kamen's DEKA Research. As always, you can reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or at nonprophetspod@gmail.com. (recorded 5/14/2021)

  continue reading

66 episodes

All episodes

×
 
Loading …

Welcome to Player FM!

Player FM is scanning the web for high-quality podcasts for you to enjoy right now. It's the best podcast app and works on Android, iPhone, and the web. Signup to sync subscriptions across devices.

 

Quick Reference Guide