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BREAKING: Job Market Just Revised Down 800,000! (Payroll Crash)

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Manage episode 435557047 series 2679639
Content provided by Jeff Snider. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jeff Snider or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Was Macy's the latest victim of the strong labor market? That doesn't make sense, of course, and now the government data has been revised massively lower to better align what really happened last year with where we are this year. The new figures show not just one-third fewer jobs gained, more importantly what that does the rate of change in the rate of change (2nd derivative). It ends up in Macy's sales forecast.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

CNBC Macy’s cuts sales forecast as department stores struggle to draw shoppers
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/macys-m-q2-2024-earnings.html

Macy's Quarterly Results
https://www.macysinc.com/newsroom/news/news-details/2024/Macys-Inc.-Reports-Second-Quarter-2024-Results/default.aspx

BLS QCEW Home
https://www.bls.gov/cew/

BLS QCEW CES Preliminary Benchmark Announcement
https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesprelbmk.htm

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

  continue reading

860 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 435557047 series 2679639
Content provided by Jeff Snider. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jeff Snider or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.

Was Macy's the latest victim of the strong labor market? That doesn't make sense, of course, and now the government data has been revised massively lower to better align what really happened last year with where we are this year. The new figures show not just one-third fewer jobs gained, more importantly what that does the rate of change in the rate of change (2nd derivative). It ends up in Macy's sales forecast.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

CNBC Macy’s cuts sales forecast as department stores struggle to draw shoppers
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/macys-m-q2-2024-earnings.html

Macy's Quarterly Results
https://www.macysinc.com/newsroom/news/news-details/2024/Macys-Inc.-Reports-Second-Quarter-2024-Results/default.aspx

BLS QCEW Home
https://www.bls.gov/cew/

BLS QCEW CES Preliminary Benchmark Announcement
https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesprelbmk.htm

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

  continue reading

860 episodes

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