Best Simplifying Super Podcasts (2024)

1
GameStop Options Activity Prior to Roaring Kitty Reemergence | S&P 500 Makes New High | 90% of the Time No Recession or Stagflation | When Covered Calls Get Called Away Early 1:03:12

8h ago1:03:12

1:03:12

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial start by looking at GameStop’s (GME) call option open interest and activity in the days prior to Roaring Kitty tweeting . They notice the increase in options activity ahead of the surge in the stock’s price and volume spike and whether the options market led the stock market on GME. Then they …

1
Episode #122: Federal Budget 2024 - what a second surplus means for Australian households 17:09

1d ago17:09

17:09

In this week's Federal Budget, the government announced a second consecutive surplus for the first time in 20 years amid questions over what will be done to arrest inflation. Join Shane and My as they unpack the winners and losers, looking at plans for A Future Made in Australia, housing affordability, cost of living pressures and what we can learn…

1
Goldilocks Stock Market and What Could Derail It? | Interest Rates Aren’t Historically High | Cheap to Hedge the Downside Now with Options 59:56

3h ago59:56

59:56

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial discuss the idea that the stock market is in a Goldilocks period based on sustained higher margins and earnings growth. Then, they discuss how out of the headlines the Fed has already started easing by reducing their balance sheet runoff each month. Why reducing the Overnight Reverse Repo usag…

1
Episode #121: Rates on hold and crystal balling next week's budget. 13:31

1h ago13:31

13:31

The RBA decided to keep rates unchanged for the 4th consecutive meeting as inflation continues to fall and expectations are that inflation will go below target next year. Join Shane and Diana this week as they unpack the RBA's decision, look at the latest household spending data and preview some of the key highlights in next week's Federal Budget. …

1
Reinvesting High Dividends Deep Dive | Unemployment & the Fed | Option Time Value Explained | Shareholder Yield 1:02:49

17h ago1:02:49

1:02:49

Derek Moore is back with Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial this week to discuss the Jay Powell Fed decision and the latest in employment and inflation. Then, they do a deep dive into dividend reinvestment. Specifically, analyzing the idea of acquiring more shares and can dividends reduce or eventually pay down your initial cost? They then do …

1
#179: Has Prime's Day Come and Gone? 27:42

22d ago27:42

27:42

We poke the potential bursting bubble of Logan Paul’s Prime drink brand to see if it pops and share a couple other products that consumers guzzled down in mass quantities then tossed aside. Get show notes for this episode and check out past episodes of the Speaking Human podcast by visiting speakinghuman.com. #Podcast #SpeakingHuman #VO #Branding #…

1
Episode #120: Revisiting retail and home prices: will we see another rate hike? 16:16

3d ago16:16

16:16

Data this week on retail and home prices showed that the consumer is still struggling in Australia amid growing concerns there could be another rate hike this year. The growth story in our view is that Australia is different to other markets because the consumer is much more sensitive to rising interest rates. Join Shane and Diana as they look at t…

1
Episode #119: Inflation: how did we get it so wrong? 13:32

13d ago13:32

13:32

The latest inflation numbers are in and it's held up more than expected. Overall, inflation is still trending down on an annual basis but progress slowed in the March quarter which will concern the RBA. Join Shane and Diana as they look at the inflation data, discuss what the government is considering ahead of their Federal Budget and why there is …

1
Episode #118: How vulnerable are shares? 14:47

19d ago14:47

14:47

Increasing fears of an escalation between Israel and Iran has left markets concerned amid growing geopolitical tensions. Meanwhile, The Fed has been winding back its comments about cutting rates this year after a third month of higher inflation numbers.Join Diana and Shane this week as they look at expectations for equities, why Australian inflatio…

1
Now Its 1 Fed Rate Cut? | Nvidia Options Volatility Implied Move at Earnings | Sell in May and Go Away in Election Years? | Inflation Higher Than 1970s? 39:41

8d ago39:41

39:41

Derek Moore discusses the declining probabilities for Fed interest rate cuts in 2024. Plus, how PCE Supercore did not make the case for Fed rate cuts. Later, looking at the analyst’s expectations for earnings growth within the S&P 500 Index. Finally, comments on a paper showing how using the pre-1983 methods to compute CPI Consumer Price Index show…

1
Market Correction | Mortgage Rates Higher | No Thanks 24-Hour Trading | Synthetic Options 58:12

16d ago58:12

58:12

Derek Moore and Mike Puck from ZEGA Financial discuss Friday’s selloff. It’s official, we are in a 5% market correction. Looking back at other corrections greater than 5% from the highs. Mortgage rates move back up while 10-year treasury yields surge. Commodities are higher on the year but still down from all-time highs. Gold makes another all time…

1
#178: People Who Hate Mayonnaise Love This Episode 26:53

1M ago26:53

26:53

We discourage everyone from listening to this episode and hearing our thoughts on the new ad for NotMayo. Just rip out your earbuds now, because you do not want to know what we have to say. Get show notes for this episode and check out past episodes of the Speaking Human podcast by visiting speakinghuman.com. #Podcast #SpeakingHuman #VO #Branding #…

1
Market Selloff | No Rate Cuts? | Bitcoin vs Gold | CPI Inflation Sticky | VIX Curve 56:08

23d ago56:08

56:08

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss Friday’s selloff. So, was it all the readjustment of Fed rate cut expectations? Is CPI Inflation putting the Fed in a box? Michael Saylor says Bitcoin is better than Gold. The rally in Gold that everyone is sleeping on. CPI Supercore trending higher showing services not goods are the …

1
Episode #117: The Australian property market, income and happiness and rising petrol prices 16:02

1M ago16:02

16:02

This week Diana and Shane look at seven key things you need to know about the Australian property market, why the link between income and happiness is messy and what’s driving higher petrol prices.Important information:This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important you consider your personal circu…

1
Buying At All-time Highs Better? | S&P 500 Returns After Last Hike | Developed International Beats the S&P | How To Tell Whether Options Are Expensive 58:40

2M ago58:40

58:40

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, are back to explore surprising data about buying the market at all-time highs vs any other day. Plus, how do markets and bonds perform post the last fed hike? Later, while you were sleeping developed international markets outperform U.S. markets. And listener question “who do I know what a go…

1
Episode #116: How to invest in the current macro environment 15:34

1M ago15:34

15:34

Global markets have had a strong start to 2024 with US markets at a record high and a similar uplift seen in Australia. But, the macroeconomic backdrop remains complicated and downside risks are high which makes for an interesting investing environment. Join AMP's Deputy Chief Economist Diana Mousina and SMA Lead Portfolio Manager Brad Creighton as…

1
Most Record Highs Since 2013 | The Fed No Rush to Cut? | VVIX and VIX Super Quiet | Value vs Growth | Cocoa More Valuable than Gold? 27:37

2M ago27:37

27:37

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss Fed governor Waller (not Christopher Walkin) hinting the Fed should be in no rush to cut interest rates. Plus, we haven’t seen this many record stock market highs since Q1 of 2013. So, what does that mean if anything? Examining VVIX and VIX which both are really quiet and low right no…

1
#177: 40 Years of Lost Beef 28:28

2M ago28:28

28:28

We turn our TV dials back four decades to analyze an iconic fast-food commercial featuring big fluffy buns and a spunky senior citizen asking one of the most important questions of our time. Get show notes for this episode and check out past episodes of the Speaking Human podcast by visiting speakinghuman.com. #Podcast #SpeakingHuman #VO #Branding …

1
Episode #115: Inflation surprised on the downside in February 13:11

2M ago13:11

13:11

This week saw some important news on inflation with headline inflation unchanged at 3.4% which was less than expected. While the RBA is not rushing to change its stance, it was pleasing to see lower than expected levels of inflation in February with forecasts of a further slowing in inflation to 3.3% by June, which should see the start of rate cuts…

1
The Fed Gets Bullish? | Markets Don’t Go Down Just Because They Go Up | Yield Curve Inversion Record | Bitcoin Halving 56:21

2M ago56:21

56:21

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss the Fed getting bullish by reducing unemployment estimates, raising GDP growth estimates, and doing nothing else but the market liked it. All while the yield curve inversion sets a record for longest in history. What is Bitcoin halving and what does it do for supply and demand? Lookin…

1
Episode #114: RBA Not ruling anything out or anything in 9:52

2M ago9:52

9:52

While the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep the cash rate on hold this week at 4.35%, there was a noticeable shift in Governor Michele Bullock's tone, indicating the RBA remains fairly cautious but are getting less hawkish. Join AMP's Chief Economist Dr. Shane Oliver and Deputy Chief Economist Diana Mousina as they look at the key take outs…

1
Michael Saylor is Right on Bitcoin? |Worst Crash Since 1929 Coming? | Semiconductors Get Big Flows | 0 DTE Option Stats 56:41

2M ago56:41

56:41

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, talk through some examples of options trading in 0 DTE options on the SPX and Nvidia. Plus, a hedge fund manager says the worst crash since 1929 is coming. Looking at huge inflows into the semiconductor ETFs. Derek actually agrees with Michael Saylor’s points on Bitcoin including whether it’s…

1
Worst Market Timing Ever? | Options Cost of Carry | Option Put Call Parity | Unemployment Bad News Is Bad News? 1:07:09

3M ago1:07:09

1:07:09

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss how the magnificent 7 stocks aren’t all going up this year. Plus, reviewing what the worst time to buy stocks was and how investors would have done even if they had. Later, they explain why the last 10-15 years before retirement need growth but hedging. How Japan’s central bank might …

1
#176: Punctuatin’ Brand! Names? 20:20

3M ago20:20

20:20

We exclaim our questions about companies adding punctuation marks like apostrophes, periods, and exclamation points to their names and logos. Get show notes for this episode and check out past episodes of the Speaking Human podcast by visiting speakinghuman.com. #Podcast #SpeakingHuman #VO #Branding #Marketing #Advertising #Business #Punctuation #B…

1
Why VIX Is Hard to Trade | SuperCore PCE High Again?| High Yield Bond Spreads | The Fed Is Not Cutting? | Semiconductors Surging (Again) 1:00:23

3M ago1:00:23

1:00:23

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, explain why it’s so hard to trade the VIX via options or VIX futures given the nature of the products and how VIX works. Supercore PCE, yeah that’s a thing now, came in hot so what does that mean for the Fed and rates? Speaking of the Fed cutting rates, what if they don’t cut this year? Later…

1
Nvidia To the Moon | Implied Volatility and Earnings | Earnings and Markets Have Low Correlations? | Nvidia Cheap? 46:56

3M ago46:56

46:56

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss Nvidia’s beat on earnings, their march towards $2trillion market cap, and how as earnings forecasts rise, even though the stock has made new highs, forward PE ratios go lower. Then, they explore what the options market via implied volatility was forecasting for an Nvidia move post ear…

1
Put & Call Implied Volatility Mismatch? | US Dollar vs S&P 500 Correlation | Sticky Inflation | Japan Recession | Explaining Why Stocks Go Up (or down) 55:13

3M ago55:13

55:13

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, follow up on last week’s PE ration (useless?) discussion explaining how stocks go up or down based on earnings, multiples, and other factors. Then they delve into correlations between the US Dollar Index and the S&P 500 Index. Later, the surprising fact that as Japan’s Nikkei Index makes 35-y…

1
Episode #113: Inflation expectations 5:47

3M ago5:47

5:47

AMP's Deputy Chief Economist Diana Mousina simplifies inflation expectations and the gender financial literacy gap; in light of the RBA's recent look at the public's understating of the inflation target and inflation expectations as a test of economic financial literacy.Important information:This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your c…

1
#175: Super Bowl Celebrity Ad Fatigue 25:43

3M ago25:43

25:43

We head into overtime to huddle up on Schwarzenegger, Walken, and whether throwing famous faces into Super Bowl commercials still scores with viewers. Get show notes for this episode and check out past episodes of the Speaking Human podcast by visiting speakinghuman.com. #Podcast #SpeakingHuman #VO #Branding #Marketing #Advertising #Business #Super…

1
Is the Forward PE Useless?| S&P 500 Election Seasonality | Gen Z vs. Gen X Special 1:12:29

3M ago1:12:29

1:12:29

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, ask whether forward PE ratios are predictive of future market direction? Then they review how the S&P 500 Index has performed during each presidential election going back to 1996. Does it matter which party (Republicans or Democrats) are in office for markets? Is Tesla going to get kicked out…

1
#174: The Solo-Snoop Smoke Storm 24:27

4M ago24:27

24:27

We apply heat to Solo Stove’s decision to ax their CEO after a viral campaign failed to ignite sales and ask the essential question “what is successful marketing?” Get show notes for this episode and check out past episodes of the Speaking Human podcast by visiting speakinghuman.com. #Podcast #SpeakingHuman #VO #Branding #Marketing #Advertising #Bu…

1
Episode #112: Five problems with the Australian tax system 11:09

4M ago11:09

11:09

The Australian Government’s changes to the Stage 3 tax cuts have refocussed attention on the need for tax reform. Failure to adequately reform the tax system could further damage productivity growth and living standards in Australia. Join AMP's Chief Economist Dr. Shane Oliver as he unpacks the Stage 3 tax cuts, examines why tax reform is needed in…

1
Episode #111: Still cautious but less concerned: why the RBA left rates on hold 6:39

4M ago6:39

6:39

At its February meeting, the RBA left the cash rate at 4.35%, with noted progress in reducing inflation and bringing demand back to supply. While probably reluctant to raise rates again, the Reserve Bank still has a mild tightening bias and remains somewhat cautious. Join AMP's Chief Economist Dr. Shane Oliver as he unpacks Governor Bullock's comme…

1
Too Focused on Fed Rates?| META Earnings Implied Volatility | NAV Erosion Myth 1:02:31

4M ago1:02:31

1:02:31

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss the Fed and Powell press conference market reaction. Plus, they look at META and Apple option’s implied volatilities did or didn’t predict the post earnings moves. 1994-95 experience in Fed rates and bond yields compared to today. Later, they set the record straight on what NAV erosio…

1
#173: The Timelessness of Tetris 28:48

4M ago28:48

28:48

We drop the pieces in place to unlock how the best-selling video game of all time continues to obsess players 40 years after its creation. Get show notes for this episode and check out past episodes of the Speaking Human podcast by visiting speakinghuman.com. #Podcast #SpeakingHuman #VO #Branding #Marketing #Advertising #Business #Television #tetri…

1
Explaining Telsa Implied Volatility | Bitcoin Selloff Post Spot ETF | What History Tells Us About Election Year Returns 43:44

4M ago43:44

43:44

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, are it at once again where they analyze Tesla’s implied volatility right before earnings vs what happened. Did the option’s market misprice premiums? Also, in the episode they talk about Bitcoin’s drop as a sell the news buy the rumor example while Derek argues that Bitcoin’s volatility make …

1
#172: Wrangling the Marlboro Man 25:26

4M ago25:26

25:26

We smoke out the rough and rugged legacy of the iconic Marlboro Man marketing campaign that rode the trails of pop culture for over 40 years leaving many blackened lungs behind. Get show notes for this episode and check out past episodes of the Speaking Human podcast by visiting speakinghuman.com. #Podcast #SpeakingHuman #VO #Branding #Marketing #A…

1
What Option Volatility Means for Markets | Is the Market Too Dovish on Interest Rate Expectations? | Does the Fed Need an Economics Lesson? 45:55

4M ago45:55

45:55

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, are back to discuss whether the Fed grasps how prices historically always rise. That prices never drop and inflation dropping doesn’t mean prices go down. Then they discuss the forward earnings estimates showing growth for the S&P 500 Index while comparing price to sales compared to January o…

1
Episode #110: Falling inflation – what does it mean for investors? 10:39

4M ago10:39

10:39

The surge in inflation coming out of the pandemic and its subsequent fall has been the dominant driver of investment markets over the last two years. But what’s driving the fall, what are the risks and what does it mean for interest rates? Join AMP's Chief Economist Dr. Shane Oliver as he looks at the key implications for investors.Important inform…

1
Bitcoin ETF Sell the News? | Expect Stock Market Corrections | Value vs. Growth | Travel Inflation Cooling? 49:05

4M ago49:05

49:05

Derek Moore and Mike Puck of ZEGA Financial join up to discuss the run up and selloff in bitcoin around the bitcoin spot etf launches. Is it the obvious buy the rumor sell the news situation? How CPI components like lodging away from home and travel pricing are starting to cool. Later, examining the value vs growth debate and whether this is the ye…

1
Episode #109: Is high Australian household wealth a source of support for consumers? 6:40

5M ago6:40

6:40

AMP's Deputy Chief Economist Diana Mousina takes a closer look at Australian household wealth. Why did we have one of the lowest rates of disposable income growth per capita amongst OECD countries in mid 2023? Important information:This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important you consider your p…

1
Episode #108: Four reasons for optimism 13:20

5M ago13:20

13:20

2024 is likely to see positive returns helped by falling rates but they are likely to be more constrained and volatile than seen in 2023 given risks around the timing of rate cuts, recession risks and geopolitics. Join AMP's Chief Economist Dr. Shane Oliver as he unpacks the five key themes and lessons from 2023, the three primary challenges we fac…

1
Hedging With Options Examples | Soft Landing? | US Congress Trading Returns | Is Good News or Bad News Good? 50:00

5M ago50:00

50:00

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, are back this week to discuss some hedging examples and how hedging is cheap right now. They even go through a few examples. Then they get into the sharp rise in container shipping costs before discussing the weaker PMI Services data. Later they note Bloomberg’s data showing articles mentioni…

1
#171: Best TV Title Sequences 26:45

5M ago26:45

26:45

We tune in to the TV show opening intros that keep our thumbs off the fast forward button and our eyeballs glued to the screen. Get show notes for this episode and check out past episodes of the Speaking Human podcast by visiting speakinghuman.com. #Podcast #SpeakingHuman #VO #Branding #Marketing #Advertising #Business #Television #Streaming #Desig…

1
2024 Predictions | Late Year Rally Bullish? | What if Investors Are Expecting Too Many Rate Cuts? 51:28

5M ago51:28

51:28

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, go through their 2024 predictions and review how right or wrong they were in 2023. Why predictions are so hard to make and why they are overrated. When markets go up over 10% in the final 2 months of the year historically what does that mean for returns the following year? How earnings growth…

1
0 DTE Options to Blame for Selloff? | 2024 Targets for S&P 500 Index | Fed Dot Plots Always Wrong? 48:10

5M ago48:10

48:10

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss how people are blaming the Wed 1.5% selloff on 0 DTE options while the CBOE says not so fast as dealers may have been buying stocks during the drawdown thus stabilizing markets. Later they talk shipping container rates spiking higher due to issues in the Suez Canal and Red Sea. Is thi…

1
Episode #107: Five key lessons from 2023 8:54

5M ago8:54

8:54

Join AMP's Deputy Chief Economist Diana Mousina as she takes a deep dive on the five key lessons we learnt from 2023 and what to expect in the next 12 months.Important information:This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important you consider your personal circumstances and speak to a financial advis…

1
Everyone Betting on Rate Cuts | Blackrock Buying 44% of Homes? | Record Call Option Volume & VVIX and VIX Out of Synch? 44:08

5M ago44:08

44:08

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss the new consensus of the Fed doing multiple rate cuts so what could go wrong? Record call option volume while the VVIX makes a move higher while the VIX continues lower. Viral article said 44% of home sales were to big institutions like Blackrock and Innovation homes but it was less t…

1
Episode #106: 2023 saw the return of Goldilocks, but what’s in store for 2024 for investors? 11:40

5M ago11:40

11:40

Despite lots of angst at the start of the year, 2023 turned out far better for investors with stronger than feared growth despite lots of bumps along the way. With high levels of inflation persisting in 2024, uncertainty in the Chinese economy and property sector, continuing geopolitical risks around recession and the lagged impact of rate hikes, t…

1
S&P 500 Targets | VIX Index Largest 7-Week declines | Simplifying Synthetic Long Stock with Covered Calls | Labor Force Participation 1:00:13

6M ago1:00:13

1:00:13

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, join up once again to discuss the drop in the VIX Index off the highs. How S&P 500 2024 targets are showing up and why investors may not care. Labor force participation turned down so what does that mean if anything? Finally, Simplifying what synthetic long stock strategies are and synthetic …

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